In my opinion Spartak have really good chances to avoid loss in today's match up. +0 AH looks like very nice bet to play here.

First match of the group stage between both teams finished with Legia 1:0 away win, but they had a lot of luck in Moscow. They won by goal scored in 90+1 and from the game they not deserved for that result. Spartak had 23 shots in that game (Legia only 7) and according to the expected goals scored model should score more goals than Legia.

So far Legia played two home matches in Europa League (1 win/1 loss), but they had luck-they conceded 4 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should concede 6.55. Spartak already played two away matches against much stronger teams than Legia (Napoli & Leicester) and they were able to make 4 points. They shouldn't lose today as well.

Spartak before first match against Legia was in big crisis, but now they are in much better state. They lost only once in last 7 matches in all competitions and in the process they avoided loss against strong teams like Lokomotiv, Leicester or Napoli. In Russian league they are only 5 points behind spot in European Cups. In this group 3 points wil guarantee for them place in knockout stage. Atmosphere in team is good now and for sure they have self-belief and all required tools to make positive result today.

Legia made very good results in first two opening matches in this group - in September they won against Spartak and Leicester, but since then they are in horrible form, the worst in club history. Since third October they played 13 matches in all competitions and lost 10 times (!!!). Twice they won against lower league teams in Polish Cup.. In Europa League group they are on last place and they have to win against Spartak to get qualification. They have to play open football and I see big troubles for their poor defensive formation - they conceded at least one goal in 11 of last 13 matches in all competitions. In Europa League they lost last 3 matches in a row and conceded 10 goals. In addition to that their the most experienced key central defender Artur Jędrzejczyk is suspended. This is huge blow for the team and should have very bad impact on their performance at the back today.

Spartak not coming to Warsaw with the strongest possible line up, but they still have so many quality players upfront like Moses, Lucas or Promes and they should be able to make big damages for out-of-form, poor Legia defensive formation. Spartak scored at least one goal in last 13 matches in a row in all competitions and that should be enough today to make at least one point and avoid loss. Spartak deserves to be much bigger favorite in this game than bookies wants to suggest for us in odds.

在我看来，斯巴达克有很好的机会避免在今天的比赛中输球。双选平负看起来是很好的选择。

两队小组赛首场比赛以华沙客场1:0取胜告终，但他们在莫斯科的运气还是不错的。他们在 90+1 的进球获胜，他们不应该得到这样的结果。斯巴达克在那场比赛中有 23 次射门（华沙只有 7 次），根据预期进球模型，斯巴达应该比莱吉亚进球更多。

到目前为止，华沙在欧联联赛中打了两场主场比赛（1胜1负），但他们运气不错——丢了4球，但按照预期进球模型，他们应该丢6.55球。斯巴达克已经与比华沙（那不勒斯和莱斯特）强得多的球队进行了两场客场比赛，他们取得了 4 分。他们今天应该不会输。

斯巴达克在与莱吉亚的首场比赛之前就陷入了大危机，但现在他们的状态好多了。他们最近 7 场比赛中只输了一场，他们在对阵莱斯特或那不勒斯等强队都没有输球。在俄罗斯联赛中，他们仅落后欧战区5分。在本组中，3分将保证他们进入淘汰赛阶段。现在球队气氛很好，他们肯定有自信在今天取得积极的结果。

华沙在本组的前两场首场比赛中取得了非常好的成绩——9 月份他们战胜了斯巴达克和莱斯特城，但此后他们的状态非常糟糕。自 10 月 3 日以来，他们在所有比赛中打了 13 场比赛，输了 10 场。他们两次在波兰杯上战胜了低级别联赛球队。在欧罗巴联赛小组中，他们排在最后，他们必须战胜斯巴达克才能获得出线资格。必须踢的更加开放，他们糟糕的防守阵型带来了很大的麻烦——他们在过去 13 场比赛中的 11 场比赛中至少丢了一个球。在欧联杯中，他们输掉了最近三场比赛，丢了10球。除此之外，他们最有经验的关键中后卫Artur Jędrzejczyk 被停赛。这对球队来说是巨大的打击，应该会对他们今天在后防的表现产生非常不利的影响。

斯巴达克没有以最强阵容来到华沙，但他们仍然有很多像摩西、卢卡斯或普罗梅斯这样的优秀球员，他们应该能够对状态不佳的莱吉亚防守阵型造成很大的威胁。斯巴达克在所有比赛的连续 13 场比赛中至少打进一球，这足以让他们在本场至少获得一分，避免输球。莫斯科斯巴达斯巴达克在这场比赛中应该比指数体现的更受欢迎。预测莫斯科斯巴达不败。