In my opinion Sevilla have really good chances to avoid loss in today's match up. +0 AH looks like very nice bet here.

It's a last round match and situation in group is very tough. Lille is first with 8 points, Salzburg second with 7, Sevilla third with 6 and Wolfsburg fourth with 5 points. For Salzburg even draw is superb result because one point will give them qualification into knockout stage and they may be first Austrian team in 1/16 of Champions League since season 1990/1991. Sevilla have to play for 3 points here.

First match between both teams finished with draw 1:1, but Sevilla played last 40 minutes with one player less on the pitch as they received red card. In overall Salzburg played 4 matches against Sevilla and failed to win every time. Salzburg have very poor record against Spanish teams in European Cups - they recorded only one win in last 11 matches against them (7 losses in the process). Without any shadow of doubt Sevilla have much bigger experience on the biggest stage and that should make big difference today. Salzburg failed to win in 8 of last 11 home Champions League group stage matches.

Both teams have squad problems before today's match. Sevilla is without important striker En-Nesyri (he received red card in first match against Salzburg), experienced right defender Navas, right winger Lamela (all of them didn't played since early November) and left defender Acuna (he get injured in last round La Liga game). On the other hand Salzburg absences list is much longer - experienced central midfielder Januzovic, talented striker Koita (28 goals in 52 matches), key central defender Wober, important central defender Vallci and key left defender Bernardo. In addition to that their key offensive player Okafor is under big question mark before today's match. That should have bad impact on Salzburg performance today and Sevilla should be able to take advantage because of that.

Since end of October Salzburg played 7 matches in all competitions and they recorded only two wins in league. In last league match they won 2:1 at home by two late goals against poor Hartberg. Defensive formation don't have any stability - they kept only one clean sheet in last 7 matches. With today's absences will be very hard for them to not concede at least one goal against Sevilla. Spanish team coming for this game in much better form. Since friendly matches in July they lost only 3 matches.. In last 6 matches in all competitions they lost only once - against Real Madrid on away 1:2 by late goal from Vinicus. Defensive formation works on very good level - they kept clean sheet in 4 of last 6 matches. They don't have problems with goalscoring - they scored at least one goal in last 10 matches in a row in all competitions.

I don't see home win at all here. Sevilla should score at least one goal here and make at least one point. They deserves to be much bigger favorite here than bookies wants to suggest for us in odds.

在我看来，塞维利亚有很好的机会避免在今天的比赛中输球。塞维利亚不败看起来是个不错的选择。

这是最后一轮比赛，小组赛形势非常严峻。里尔以8分排名第一，萨尔茨堡以7分排名第二，塞维利亚以6分排名第三，沃尔夫斯堡以5分排名第四。对于萨尔茨堡来说，即使平局也是极好的结果，因为一分将使他们有资格进入淘汰赛阶段，他们可能是自1990/1991赛季以来欧洲冠军联赛1/16中的第一支奥地利球队。塞维利亚必须在这里打3分。

两队的首场比赛以 1:1 战平，但塞维利亚在最后 40 分钟的比赛中因领到红牌而在场上少了一名球员。总体而言，萨尔茨堡与塞维利亚进行了4场比赛，每次都未能取胜。萨尔茨堡在欧洲杯对阵西班牙球队的战绩非常糟糕——他们在过去的 11 场比赛中只取得了一场胜利（其中 7 场失利）。毫无疑问，塞维利亚在最大的比赛中拥有更大的经验阶段，这应该在今天产生很大的不同。萨尔茨堡在过去11场主场欧冠小组赛中有8场未能取胜。

在今天的比赛之前，两支球队都有阵容问题。塞维利亚没有重要的前锋恩-内西里（他在对萨尔茨堡的首场比赛中就被红牌罚下）、经验丰富的右后卫纳瓦斯、右翼拉梅拉（自11月初以来都没有出场）和左后卫阿库纳（他在上赛季受伤）一轮西甲比赛）。另一方面，萨尔茨堡的缺席名单要长得多——经验丰富的中场球员亚努佐维奇、天才前锋科伊塔（52场比赛打入28球）、关键中后卫沃伯、重要中后卫瓦尔奇和关键左后卫贝尔纳多。除此之外，他们的关键进攻球员奥卡福在今天的比赛前也被打上了一个大大的问号。这应该会对萨尔茨堡今天的表现产生不利影响，因此塞维利亚应该能够利用这一点。

自 10 月底以来，萨尔茨堡在所有比赛中踢了 7 场比赛，他们在联赛中只取得了两场胜利。在上一场联赛中，他们在主场以 2:1 的比分战胜了可怜的哈特伯格。防守阵型没有任何稳定性——他们在过去的 7 场比赛中只保持了一张不失球。由于今天的缺席，他们很难在对阵塞维利亚的比赛中至少丢一个球。西班牙队以更好的状态参加这场比赛。自 7 月的友谊赛以来，他们只输了 3 场比赛。在所有比赛的最后 6 场比赛中，他们只输了一次 - 客场 1:2 对阵皇家马德里，维尼库斯的后期进球。防守阵型发挥了非常好的水平——他们在过去 6 场比赛中有 4 场保持零封。他们在进球方面没有问题——他们在所有比赛的最近 10 场比赛中至少打进一球。

我不认为萨尔茨堡可以取胜。塞维利亚应该在这里至少打进一球并至少获得一分。