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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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My bet for big match Porto - Benfica 葡超焦点战 波尔图vs本菲卡

2021-01-15

比赛分析

葡超

已完赛

星期六2021-01-16 05:00

解读理由

In my opinion Benfica have really good chances to make at least one point in this match up.

Obviously both teams are on the highest level in Portugal for many years. The same story in current season. Both teams have 31 points in the table after 13 rounds - exactly the same balance (10 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss). For sure they will fight till the end of the season for the title, together with Sporting (current leaders of the table with 35 points).

I believe Benfica in current season plays football on little bit higher level. They scored less goals than Porto, but they are more creative team. They scored 2 goals more from open play. Benfica created so far 42 big chances to score, 14 more in comparison to Porto. Benfica as well missed more big chances and this is reason why Porto scored more goals, but it's hard to say they have bigger firepower in attack. Both teams kept clean sheet 5 times so far, but Benfica conceded less goals. Benfica as well is the best team in league with the ball - they have the highest average ball possession (63.6%) and they have the biggest number of accurate passes per game (480.9). Will be very hard for Porto to control middle zone.

I see one big advantage for Benfica today. Benfica coming for this match with the strongest possible line up. Their players are fresh. 3 days ago in cup game (4:0 win) only couple of players from today's squad played - left defender Grimaldo (7 minutes), midfielder Silva (16 minutes), midfielder Weigl (7 minutes). Almost all key players had 7 days rest. On the other hand Porto today have two key players in doubt - central defender Mbemba and midfielder Otavio (2 goals and 4 assists). In addition to that Porto 3 days ago in Cup game needed extra time to win against Nacional. Key players like midfielder Corona (2 goals and 4 assists), midfielder Oliveira (7 goals and 4 assists) or striker Taremi (6 goals and 1 assists) played there 120 minutes and for sure they are tired. That should make difference today.

I trust for Benfica here.

在我看来本菲卡有很好的机会在这场比赛中至少得一分。

很明显,这两支球队在葡萄牙都处于多年来的最高水平。本季也是如此。在13轮之后,两支球队在积分榜上都有31分——完全相同的成绩(10胜3平1负)。可以肯定的是,他们将和里斯本竞技(目前积分榜上领先的35分)一起为冠军奋战到赛季末。

我相信本菲卡在本赛季的水平会更高一些。他们的进球比波尔图少,但他们是一支更有创造力的球队。他们在正赛中又进了2个球。本菲卡迄今为止创造了42次进球机会,比波尔图多了14次。本菲卡也错过了更多的机会,这也是波尔图进球更多的原因,但很难说他们的进攻火力更强。到目前为止,两队都有5次没有失球,但本菲卡失球较少。本菲卡也是联盟中最好的控球球队——他们拥有最高的平均控球率(63.6%)和最多的场均准确传球数(480.9次)。波尔图很难控制中场。

我觉得本菲卡今天有一个很大的优势。本菲卡带着最强的阵容来参加这场比赛。他们的球员状态良好。3天前的足总杯比赛(4:0获胜),只有几个主力球员参赛了——左后卫格里马尔多(7分钟),中场席尔瓦(16分钟),中场威格尔(7分钟)。几乎所有的关键球员都有7天的休息。另一方面,今天波尔图的两名关键球员也有问题——中后卫姆本巴和中场奥塔维奥(2球4助攻)。此外,3天前波尔图在足总杯的比赛中需要到加时赛才能战胜国民队。关键球员如中场科罗娜(2球4助攻),中场奥利维拉(7球4助攻)和前锋塔雷米(6球1助攻)在场上踢了120分钟,他们肯定很累。这在今天应该会有所不同。

我信任本菲卡。

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