About a month ago there was a similar type of a game to this when West Ham hosted Liverpool, won 3-2 and we were on West Ham with a plus handicap that time. Is there a reason to repeat that bet?

Both yes and no. Since then West Ham have been poor in their latest games as you see:

In the same time period Chelsea are 2-2-0, but I would put more emphasis on the expected goals in the games which are the small numbers below the actual score line.

Yes, there are two draws, but Chelsea are creating almost crazy amount of goal expectation, and with the stats they produced they should had beaten Burnley 9 times out of 10, United 8. So there has been some unlucky results. The latest win away at Watford was however more hard fought, and it did show that they missed midfield key players Kante and Kovacic.

The Chelsea coach Tuchel has had some time now to find proper replacements from them, Mount might take a role there, but as Jorginho is set to be back it is hard to see Chelsea as a weak outfit this afternoon! They do have the last CL group stage game away at Zenit on Wednesday, but as they have already qualified - with one goal conceded so far in the 5 games and some huge performances, that is place to take things easy and concentration is fully on this.

Lukaku played only a small part last time off the bench and he is starting today as well. West Ham are not at all bad team, but in short today they will be only 2nd best and I do not see them scoring against this impressive Chelsea side who have conceded only 6 goals in their 14 EPL games this season, and only 3 of them have come from open play, 2 from penalties. The xG against them suggests that there should be more though, but I interpret it so that the defense and keeper are working well and covering most of the shots, and indeed none of the goals come from outside the box.

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本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

大约一个月前，有一场类似的比赛，西汉姆主场迎战利物浦，我们以3-2的比分战胜了西汉姆。有理由再赌一次吗?

从那以后西汉姆在最近的比赛中表现很差，正如你所看到的:

在同一时期，切尔西是2-2-0，但我更强调的是在比赛中预期的进球，也就是低于实际得分线的小数字。

是的，有两场平局，但是切尔西创造了几乎疯狂的进球期望，根据他们的数据，他们本应该在10场比赛中击败伯恩利9次，曼联8次。所以也有一些不幸的结果。然而最近客场对沃特福德的胜利更加艰难，这表明他们失去了中场关键球员坎特和科瓦奇。

切尔西教练图切尔现在有一些时间来寻找合适的替补，芒特可能会在那里扮演一个角色，但由于乔吉尼奥将会回来，今天下午很难看到切尔西是一支弱队。他们将在周三面对泽尼特进行冠军杯小组赛的最后一场比赛，但由于他们已经出线了——在5场比赛中丢了1球，还有一些精彩的表现，这是一个可以放松的地方，他们的注意力都集中在这一点上。

卢卡库上一场比赛只打了一小部分替补，他今天也将首发。西汉姆是不坏的球队,但总之今天他们将只有2号最好,我不看到他们得分反对这个给人深刻印象的切尔西失球6个14本赛季英超比赛,其中只有3来自开放,2处罚。xG对他们的表现表明他们应该有更多的进球，但我的理解是这样的，防守和门将都工作得很好，能够覆盖大部分的射门，实际上没有一个进球来自禁区外。

预测比分0:2。