Jarkko头像
外籍分析师
芬兰人,有自己投注模型,公开记录的2136场比赛场均盈利率超10%
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Madness!

2021-11-20

比赛分析

英超

已完赛

星期六2021-11-20 23:00

解读理由

With these odds, in my papers Brentford are favourites to win this one despite the managerial change to Eddie Howe at the home side. The problems of Newcastle were in the player material, not in coaching and until the transfer window opens there is not they can do.

There is so much to do for Howe. Newcastle are likely to turn into a more counter attacking team, but what can they do to their defensive worries? Today also centreback Dummet continues to be sidelined, winger Fraser unlikely to play.

In the xG-data tables Newcastle are 19th as well as in the actual table, they are clearly bottom-2 along with Norwich. The only positive piece of data that I can find is that they have at least scored 8 goals from open play, alhthough they have conceded 18 meantime!

Brentford have lost their last 4 league games and it does eat up the self-confidence, but they are still in top-6 in the performance data based tables and it seems more like variance than anything else. They were clearly the better side against both Norwich and even strong Chelsea! There are injuries, but the active Brentford side can handle those if they just keep their head. Wissa, Jörgensen, Jensen, Ajer, Bach and Raya may be unavailable.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我的分析中,尽管主场的管理层换成了埃迪·豪,布伦特福德还是最有希望赢得这场比赛。纽卡斯尔的问题在于球员,而不是教练,在转会窗口打开之前他们无能为力。

豪有很多事要做。纽卡斯尔很有可能变成一支更善于反击的球队,但是他们能做些什么来解决他们的防守问题呢?今天中后卫杜迈特继续缺席,边锋弗雷泽也不太可能上场。

在xg数据表中,纽卡斯尔是第19名,在实际的表中,他们显然和诺维奇并列倒数第二。我能找到的唯一积极的数据是,他们至少在公开比赛中进了8个球,尽管他们同时也丢了18个球!

布伦特福德最近输掉了4场联赛,这确实让他们失去了自信,但他们在基于表现数据的表格中仍然排在前6名,这似乎比任何其他东西都更有差异。他们在对阵诺维奇甚至强大的切尔西时都表现得更好!他们受伤了,但是布伦特福德队可以处理这些,只要他们保持冷静。Wissa, Jörgensen, Jensen, Ajer, Bach和Raya都不能上。

预测比分1-3。

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