In my opinion Cuiaba have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

First match of the season between both teams finished with draw 0:0. At home Cuiaba should be able to avoid loss once again. They are solid team at home-they didn't lost in 11 of 16 home matches so far. On the other hand Internacional is not so strong on away-they won only 4 of 16 away matches in current season so far. Internacional as well had a lot of luck-they conceded 17 goals in away matches, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 25.96(!). It's huge difference.

Cuiaba lost last two matches in a row, but twice they played on away. For sure they are happy to back home tonight as they didn't lost in last 4 home matches in a row. They don't have any new absences and their line up should look exactly the same like in previous round.

Internacional is not in top shape at the moment - they won only 2 of last 7 matches and both of them at home. Is hard to trust for them on away. They coming for today's game with serious squad problems - 4 key players which played in last round are unavailable today - midfielders Lindoso & Mauricio and defenders Cuesta & Moises. In addition to that first goalkeeper Daniel and important midfielder Taison are still not fit enough to play. It's huge blow for the team and should have very bad impact on their performance today.

In these circumstances value on home side is really big.