Pavel头像
盈利高手
俄罗斯职业体育分析师,是欧洲最知名的分析师之一。
  • 477

    方案

  • 3721

    粉丝

Good arguments for this pick 世预赛 波黑vs乌克兰

2021-11-16

比赛分析

欧洲预选

已完赛

星期三2021-11-17 03:45

解读理由

A paramount game for Ukraine as they hope to push Finland off the 2nd place tonight and take a place in the qualifying play-offs of March 2022.

The good news for visitors is that their opponent has just recently lost motivation due to a negative result in the match against Finland (1-3 defeat, quite surprising outcome given all context) and goes into the match tonight on the background of broken hopes + with intentions to rotate the starting lineup. Key figures, Dzeko and Pjanic, are expected to not be involved in the game. Dzeko is 100% ruled out with an injury; Pjanic should be rested. Obviously this is great news for Ukraine and a significant boost to their odds in tonight’s encounter.

Bosnia is also going to miss another influential figure - wingback Kolasinac sustained an injury midway through the Finnish match. It basically means hosts are a key man down in every compartment. On top of those issues they are bound to rotate as the manager promised to give time to those less involved in qualifiers.

The setup for Ukraine is not looking too good as France will be unmotivated vs. Finland. Should Finland draw - Ukraine will only be able to overtake them in the table with a 2+ goals vs. Bosnia. Finnish victory vs. France will make the Ukrainian result, whatever it is, meaningless. The fate is not in their own hands, feet, but they will give it a try for sure.

Ukrainians delivered a very impressive performance against Bulgaria in the warmup friendly on Friday - albeit the 1-1 draw, they were super strong going forward and outperformed Bulgaria 4.8 vs. 0.28 on Xg parameter. So the fair outcome would’ve been a 3-4 goal win for Ukraine.

Manager Petrakov pleasantly surprised by transforming the team from his beloved 343 (3421) to a 433 formation, the one his predecessor Shevchenko had been using for 2+ years. He’s brought Atalanta’s attacking mid Malinovskiy after a conflict and has seen Man City’s Zinchenko return from injury - this in comparison to October games, where both were missing.

I anticipate Ukraine to edge this game out and take key 3 points.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

对于乌克兰来说,这是一场至关重要的比赛,他们希望在今晚将芬兰挤出第二名的位置,并进入2022年3月的比赛。

对客队来说,好消息是,他们的对手已经最近失去了动力由于对阵芬兰的结果(1 - 3失利,相当令人吃惊的结果给所有上下文)的背景和进入今晚的比赛打破希望+旋转首发阵容的意图。关键人物哲科和帕尼亚奇将不会上场。哲科100%因伤不能上场;Pjanic应该休息。很明显,这对乌克兰来说是个好消息,也大大提高了他们在今晚的比赛中的胜算。

波斯尼亚还将失去另一位有影响力的人物——边后卫科拉西纳奇在与芬兰的比赛中受伤。这基本上意味着主人是每个隔间的关键人物。最重要的是,他们必须轮换,因为教练承诺给那些不太参与预选赛的球员时间。

乌克兰的形势看起来不太好,因为法国将对芬兰失去动力。如果芬兰队和波黑打成平局,乌克兰将只能在2球以上的情况下在积分榜上超过芬兰队。芬兰对法国的胜利将使乌克兰的结果变得毫无意义。17、命运不在自己手中、自己脚上,但他们一定会去试一试。

乌克兰在周五与保加利亚的热身赛中表现令人印象深刻——尽管是1-1战平,但他们的前进能力非常强大,在Xg参数上超过了保加利亚4.8比0.28。所以公平的结果应该是乌克兰以3-4的比分获胜。

主教练彼得拉科夫惊喜地将球队从他钟爱的343(3421)阵型转变为433阵型,这是他的前任舍甫琴科已经使用了2年多的阵型。他带来了亚特兰大的攻击型中路球员马林诺夫斯基,也看到了曼城的津琴科从伤病中恢复——这与十月份的比赛相比,他们都缺席了比赛。

我预计乌克兰会在这场比赛中险胜,拿下关键的三分。

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。