In my opinion Palmeiras have really good chances to avoid loss in today's match.

This is revenge of Copa Libertadores Semi Final. One week ago Palmeiras won 3:0 on away against River Plate and for sure they have more than 95% chances to make a big final. Palmeiras last time played in Copa Libertadores final in 2000. Motivation is on the highest possible level. On the other hand I think there is not too big hope in River Plate camp. Maybe if they will have to play revenge at home, I will give some chances for them, but today if Palmeiras will score a goal this match up will be done. Palmeiras should be able to do it without too many problems. They are very strong home team - Palmeiras went unbeaten in 45 of last 50 home matches in all competitions. Palmeiras don't have any problems with goalscoring at home - they scored at least one goal in 47 of last 50 home matches, 25 times they scored more than one goal. On the other hand is not easy to score goals against Palmeiras on away - in 41 of last 50 home matches they conceded less than 2 goals, they kept clean sheet 26 times. River Plate have poor defense on away - they conceded at least one goal in 32 of last 50 away matches in all competitions.

Atmosphere in team as well should make a difference. After big win against River Plate, Palmeiras recorded another win in league against Sport Recife. Morale in team is great and players wants to go with momentum. River Plate 3 days ago lost another match at home, this time 0:2 in league against Independiente. For sure they not coming with big confidence here.

Palmeiras have big advantage in fitness department. In last league match coach rested his key players, team is fresh and ready to go. Palmeiras don't have any new absences. On the other hand River Plate against Independiente used almost all key players, their line up looked almost the same like in first match against Palmeiras. Players may feel tired. River Plate today have one new absence - midfielder Jorge Carrascal is suspended.

I trust here for Palmeiras.

在我看来，帕尔梅拉斯有很大的机会保持不败。

这是解放者杯半决赛的对决。一个星期前，帕尔梅拉斯在客场对河床比赛中以3：0获胜，可以肯定的是，他们有超过95％的机会打入决赛。帕尔梅拉斯上次参加解放者杯决赛是在2000年，球队的动力很足。另一方面，我认为河床晋级的希望并不太大。也如果他们在主场还进行复仇，我认为还有一些机会，但是今天，如果帕尔梅拉斯进球，这场比赛的悬念将会终结。帕尔梅拉斯应该能够做到，不会出现太多问题。他们是一支主场非常强大的球队-在所有比赛中，帕尔梅拉斯在过去50场主场比赛中保持45场不败。在进球方面没有任何问题-他们在过去50场主场比赛中有47场至少取得了一个进球，25场进球超过一球。在客场对阵帕尔梅拉斯也很难进球，最近50场比赛中，有41场比赛他们失球少于2个，他26次保持零封。河床的客场防守不佳-在所有比赛中，他们过去50场比赛中有32场至少被打进一个球。

球队中的气氛也应该会有所体现。在大胜河床之后，帕尔梅拉斯在对阵累西腓的比赛中又取得了一场胜利。球队的士气很高，球员们希望动力十足。 河床3天前在主场0：2输给了独立，这是他们在国内的比赛。当然，他们在国际赛场没有太大的信心。

帕尔梅拉斯在上一场联赛中，教练让关键球员休息了，球队的体能非常充沛。帕尔梅拉斯没有任何新的缺席。另一方面，河床对阵独立队派上了几乎所有关键球员，他们的阵容看上去几乎与对阵帕尔梅拉斯的第一场比赛相同，球员可能会感到疲倦。今天的河床队有一个新的缺席球员-中场豪尔赫卡拉斯卡遭遇停赛。

本场我相信帕尔梅拉斯可以不败。