I waited with this bet until last moment because I wanted to see the latest odds movements.

Odds on hosts raised up by 0.40 from opening odds on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits. I don't agree with this trend and now I see excellent value on home side.

Burton have good mental advantage before today's match because in previous season they were able to record two wins against Charlton.

Burton have confidence on the highest possible level as they won last two matches in a row (two cup matches on away).

Burton so far looks better than Charlton as they have 6 points more in league table. That's why I were surprised to see Charlton as a favourite here.

Burton didn't lost in 6 of 8 home league matches so far, on the other hand Charlton won only 2 of 7 away matches.

Both teams have some squad problems-Burton is without two key defender Hamer and Brayford. On the other hand Charlton is without 3 important defenders-Matthews, Gunter and Lavelle. In addition to that key strikes Leko (2 goals) and Washington (3 goals ) are unavailable today. That should have bad impact on their performance today.

Burton didn't lost in 31 of last 48 home league matches and in my opinion they have all required tools to make at least one point today as well. For me market moving in wrong direction.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

我一直等到最后一刻，因为我想看看最新的走势。

我不同意这种趋势，现在我看到了很好的价值在主场。

在今天的比赛之前，伯顿有很好的心理优势，因为在上个赛季他们有能力对查尔顿取得两场胜利。

伯顿有信心在最高水平上，因为他们赢得了最近的两场比赛(两场杯赛)。

伯顿目前看起来比查尔顿好，他们在积分榜上多得了6分。这就是为什么我很惊讶地看到查尔顿在这里是最受欢迎的球员。

到目前为止，伯顿在8场主场比赛中没有输掉6场，而查尔顿在7场客场比赛中只赢了2场。

两支球队都有一些阵容问题——伯顿没有两名关键后卫哈默尔和布雷福德。另一方面，查尔顿缺少了3个重要的后卫——马修斯，冈特和拉维尔。除此之外，莱科(2个进球)和华盛顿(3个进球)今天也无法进球。这应该会对他们今天的表现产生不好的影响。

伯顿在过去的48场主场比赛中没有输掉31场，在我看来，他们今天也需要至少一分的工具。对我来说，市场正在走向错误的方向。