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外籍分析师
芬兰人,有自己投注模型,公开记录的2136场比赛场均盈利率超10%
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Relegation battle already!

2021-01-11

比赛分析

主队埃尔切LOGO

埃尔切

西甲

已完赛

星期二2021-01-12 02:00

客队赫塔费LOGO

赫塔费

解读理由

I do not often go backing Getafe as I do not like - or actually value - their aggressive pressing game without much talent with the ball simply is not my cup of tea. Until this season though the style of Bordalas has worked, they have even reached European games!

Tonightthey however have two new excellent signings for the midfield as they loaned Japanese Kubo from Villarreal, and La Masia talent Aleña from Barcelona, and they also meet the league's clearly worst team Elche, the one and only relegation candidate whose luck has turned and they are regressing to the mean.

Elche are now 18th with 16 points, but they have been extremely luck in most of the games where they have gained points, and basically scored from a very low xG-numbers. xG-data would grant them only 9 points, and their current goal difference of -5 should be about -15!

The last 7 games are without a win, but the two draws vs Real Madrid and Osasuna were almost deserved ones. In some of the games they have created close to 0 of xG. It might also be that their most interesting match is not this one, but the cup game vs Rayo Vallecano on Saturday!

The last Getafe results and xG are not that much to brag about either. They used to be best pressing team in the whole Europe big-5 last season, now they are one year older and the actions have decreased on an individual level.

Their only win is over Cadiz, two good draws v Bilbao and Celta and almost one vs Atletico, but as mentioned I am expecting a lot from the new players, and also added competition for the midfield. So far they have used only 23 players, which is an indication of no depth in the squad. Soon it will be 25.

In the Getafe team there are some new pairings likely to be created, there will be fresh legs, and in my papers they are a midtable team, and as they managed to lose in the cup away at Cordoba they will make everything possible to secure 3 points tonight.

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本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

我不经常支持赫塔费,因为我不喜欢——或者说不重视——他们没有太多控球天赋的侵略性压制比赛不是我的菜。在本赛季之前,尽管波达拉斯的风格发挥了作用,但他们甚至进入了欧洲赛场!

Tonightthey然而有两个新的优秀球员的中场从比利亚雷亚尔他们借给日本Kubo说,和拉马西亚人才阿勒娜从巴塞罗那,显然他们也满足联盟的糟糕的团队埃尔切,唯一的降级候选人的运气已经回归到平均水平。

埃尔切现在以16分排在第18位,但他们在大多数比赛中都非常幸运,他们的得分非常低。xG-data只能给他们9分,而他们现在5分的净胜球差应该是-15分左右!

过去的7场比赛没有一场胜利,但是对皇家马德里和奥萨苏纳的两场平局几乎是应得的。在一些游戏中,他们创造了接近0的xG。也许他们最有趣的比赛不是这一场,而是周六对阵瓦列卡诺的杯赛。

最后的Getafe结果和xG也没有什么好吹嘘的。上赛季他们曾是欧洲五巨头中压力最大的球队,现在他们大了一岁,个人的表现也有所下降。

他们唯一的胜利是对加的斯,对毕尔巴鄂和塞尔塔的两场平局和对马竞的几乎一场平局,但正如我提到的,我对新球员有很多期待,同时也增加了中场的竞争。到目前为止,他们只使用了23名球员,这表明阵容没有深度。很快就要25了。

在赫塔菲的队伍中,有一些新的组合可能会被创造出来,会有新的对手,在我的文章中,他们是一支处于中间位置的队伍,因为他们在科尔多巴的比赛中输掉了比赛,所以他们今晚将竭尽所能去争取3分。

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