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芬兰人,有自己投注模型,公开记录的2136场比赛场均盈利率超10%
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Revenge time?

2021-11-05

比赛分析

西甲

已完赛

星期六2021-11-06 04:00

解读理由

Cadiz..one of my absolute favourite cities in the world and there is nothing not to like in the people.I sincerely want them to stay up in La Liga but unfortunately the team itself is very weak and they do need serious amount of luck to survive!
Athletic have lost only once so far, they are 8th in the table, but the top-10 teams could be in almost any order - except Vallecano who do not belong there - and in the expected goals - performance data 9 of the best teams all deserve about 20 points so far!
How have Athletic played recently?
The handicap looks like it is well set, the home side have beaten only one team by this handicap, Mallorca 2-0 at home.

However the xG-data suggests that also Alaves and Villarreal should had been beaten by, at home at San Mames.
Cadiz surely are not any better team than any of those, they do belong to bottom-5 by any metrics.
But they have managed to get points!

What worries me is that when do lose, they lose by 2 goals or more. Important midfielder Alarcon is suspended today.
There are some injuries at both camps, not much change there but Athletic have their top cb Inigo Martinez suspended today, which would be a big absentee against some better attacking team, but tonight the home side will have the ball and pressure from early on!
The younger of the Williams brothers, Nico, who is the better player of them might be the key here. The big borther Inaki perhaps has the pace, but Nico has the skill and the brains, and those are the attributes needed to open up the stabborn Cadiz side.
Last season Cadiz won here even if they finished the match with 9 players, it was one of the matches that ended the era of Garitano as Bilbao coach, and with Marcelino there is no reason to look back, they are fighting for top4- finish and cup and European glory!
3-0
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