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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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Wrong odds and great value in La Liga! 西甲分享 莱万特vs格拉纳达

2021-11-01

比赛分析

西甲

已完赛

星期二2021-11-02 04:00

解读理由

In my opinion Granada have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up. Odds on hosts are simply too low and for sure value is on away side.

For me is very hard to see Levante as so big favorite in La Liga game against anyone at the moment. So far, after 11 matches they are still without even a single win..

Granada for sure feel their chances today. Their confidence before this game should be on high level as they went unbeaten in 5 of last 6 matches against Levante.

3 rounds ago Levante changed coach. Paco Lopez left the club and Javier Pereira replaced him. You can see small progress (probably it is 'new coach effect) - 2 points in 3 matches, but defensive formation still don't have consistency at all. Levante have the worst defensive formation in whole league and they conceded 7 goals in last two matches! I expect same problems for them today. Levante today will play without 3 important central defenders - Rober (9 matches), Postigo (3 matches) and Mustafi (6 matches). Will be extremely hard for hosts to keep clean sheet without them. Levante should have problem with creativity as well - their best assistant and key central midfielder Melero (9 matches) is unavailable, same as other key central midfielder Radoja (6 matches). In addition to that Levante biggest star and key striker Roger is not fit enough to play in first squad today. Really long list of important absences in home team. It's a huge blow for them and that should have very bad impact on their performance today.

Granada is much more solid at the back - they conceded only 3 goals in last 4 matches. They coming for today's match in much better form as they went unbeaten in last 3 matches in a row. Confidence must be sky high. In last two rounds they showed really big fighting spirit - in last two matches they scored goals after 90'. In last match they recorded 1:1 draw at home against Getafe, but they played on really high level and really deserved for 3 points. Granada fully controlled that game (77% ball possession). They were very creative (18 shots, 2.02 expected goals scored) and very solid at the back (allowed opponents to make 6 shots, 0.45 expected goals conceded). If they continue to play on this level they should be able to make good result today.

Levante with their depleted squad shouldn't be a favorite against opponent's which are in better form at the moment. Granada should be able to score at least one goal and finish today match with at least one point in the pocket.

在我看来,格拉纳达有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少得一分。选择客队很有价值。

对我来说,现在很难看到莱万特在西甲比赛中如此受欢迎。到目前为止,在11场比赛之后,他们仍然没有取得一场胜利。

格拉纳达队今天肯定有胜算。他们在这场比赛前的信心应该是很高的,因为他们在最近6场对莱万特的比赛中有5场不败。

3回合前莱万特换了教练。帕科·洛佩斯离开了俱乐部,哈维尔·佩雷拉取代了他。你可以看到小小的进步(可能是“新教练效应”)——3场比赛得了2分,但防守阵型仍然没有连贯性。莱万特拥有全联赛最差的防守阵型,他们在最近两场比赛中丢了7个球!我想他们今天也会遇到同样的问题。莱万特今天将缺席3名重要中卫的比赛——罗伯斯(9场比赛)、波斯蒂戈(3场比赛)和穆斯塔菲(6场比赛)。没有他们,主人很难保持干净。莱万特的创造力也有问题——他们最好的助手和核心中场梅雷罗(9场比赛)和其他核心中场拉多亚(6场比赛)都无法上场。除了莱万特最重要的球星和关键前锋之外,罗杰今天还不能参加一线队的比赛。主队有很多重要的缺阵。这对他们来说是一个巨大的打击,应该会对他们今天的表现产生非常坏的影响。

格拉纳达的后防线更加稳固,他们在最近4场比赛中只丢了3个球。他们以更好的状态来参加今天的比赛,因为他们在过去三场比赛中保持不败。信心一定很高。在上两轮比赛中,他们表现出了强大的斗志——在上两场比赛中,他们在90分钟后进球。在上一场比赛中,他们在主场1:1战平赫塔菲,但他们踢得非常高,理应得到3分。格拉纳达完全控制了那场比赛(77%的控球率)。他们非常有创造力(18次射门,2.02个预期入球),在后场非常稳固(让对手射门6次,0.45个预期失球)。如果他们继续在这个水平上比赛,他们今天应该能取得好成绩。

莱万特队的阵容已经很弱了,不应该是他们最喜欢的对手,因为他们现在的状态更好。格拉纳达至少有能力进一球,并在今天的比赛中至少获得一分。

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