It is no secret that Elche are not among my favourite teams, but today they have some important factors ebhind them. They are at home in decent form, and Real Madrid are partly thinking about Champion's league next week and they will rotate, for example top scorer Benzema is out today!

The small sample of Elche reveal a few things. They are not a very good side, but significantly better at home than on their travels, in fact without a loss since May.

So far Elche have scored 8 goals this season, and there is a big difference in the way how they create chances. All 8 goals have been scored from open play! No set pieces, no penalties. Lucas Boye has proved to be a useful striker. Elche are free of injury worries apart from Piatti.

Which is a good match-up to Real, who have conceded 9 goals from open play and only two from set pieces. This could be a more entertaining that thought at first sight!

Now the main point behind this is though the CL fixture ahead. Unless the teams have already qualified they do struggle in these fixtures, they either rotate too much, or take the match too carefully trying to avoid injuries. There is a saying that if you give only 90% of your effort you only get 50% of the performance.

So we all know who is the significantly better team, but in case Elche make this look like an even game or even snatch a point I would not be surprised at all.

1-1?

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

众所周知，埃尔什不是我最喜欢的球队，但今天他们有一些重要的因素。他们在主场的状态很好，皇家马德里也在考虑下周的冠军联赛，他们将进行轮换，比如顶级射手本泽马今天缺席!

埃尔切的小样本揭示了一些事情。他们不是一支很好的球队，但在主场比在客场表现要好得多，事实上，自从5月份以来，他们就没有损失过。

到目前为止，埃尔什本赛季已经进了8个球，他们创造机会的方式有很大的不同。所有8个进球都是在公开比赛中打进的!没有定位球，没有点球。卢卡斯·博伊已经证明了他是一名有用的前锋。除了皮亚蒂，埃尔什没有受伤的烦恼。

这是对皇马的一场不错的比赛，皇马在公开比赛中丢了9个球，定位球只丢了2个。乍一看，这可能更有趣!

这里的重点是前面有CL装置。除非球队已经获得了资格赛，否则他们在这些赛程中会遇到困难，他们要么轮换过多，要么在比赛中过于小心地避免受伤。有一种说法是，如果你只付出了90%的努力，你只能得到50%的成绩。

所以我们都知道谁是明显更好的球队，但万一埃尔切把这场比赛搞得像一场平局，甚至抢到一分，我一点也不会感到惊讶。

预测比分1:1。