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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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How many goals they will score today?!

2021-10-28

比赛分析

主队哈尔姆斯LOGO

哈尔姆斯

瑞超

已完赛

星期五2021-10-29 01:00

客队奥雷布洛LOGO

奥雷布洛

解读理由

In my opinion Halmstad have really good chances to make 3 points in today's match up.

First match of the season between both teams finished with Orebro 1:0 home win, but that was fully undeserved result. Halmstad shouldn't lose that game. They had 62% ball possession (212 accurate passes more), they had 9 shots more and higher expected goals scored number.

6 matches left - Halmstad is in relegation zone, one point behind safe place, but so far they played better than their results shows. They recorded 11 draws (the highest number in whole league) and this one of the reason of their current situation. They created and missed many big chances to score. They scored 19 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 32. It's huge difference. At the moment they don't have problems with goalscoring as they scored in last 4 matches in a row. They coming for today's game full of confidence as they recorded big away win 3:2 in last round against Hacken. They don't wants to stop now, they wants to make comfortable win front of home crowd and go with momentum till end of the season to avoid relegation. Morale in team is on good level. They don't have any new absences so their line up should look exactly the same like in previous round.

On the other hand Orebro situation is terrible. They are 11 points behind safe place. They lost last 4 matches in a row. In last round they lost 1:2 at home against Degerfors in derby match. Team looked spiritless and now morale must be on the very low level. Orebro defensive is the worst in whole league and they don't have any stability at the moment. They conceded more than one goal in last 4 matches in a row and I see continuation of this streak today. Orebro conceded at least one goal in 21 of 24 matches Allsvenskan matches so far. As well I don't see big motivation in players eyes - 10 players contract's will expire at the end of the season and probably they looking for new clubs as they don't wants to play on lower level. There is not too much believe in club chances to avoid relegation. In addition to that they coming for today's game with huge squad problems. Key midfielder Collander (21 matches) is stills unavailable. 4 players are suspended: defenders Almeback and Skovgaard & midfielders Friday and Seger. All of them played in last round match. This is huge blow for the team and should have very bad impact on their performance today.

In these circumstances I don't see any other result than home win here. Halmstad have all required tools to make comfortable win today.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,哈尔姆斯塔德有很好的机会在今天的比赛中得到3分。

两队本赛季的第一场比赛都以主场1:0的胜利结束,但这是完全不应该的结果。哈尔姆斯塔德不应该输掉这场比赛。他们有62%的控球率(212次准确传球),他们有9次射门和更高的预期进球数。

还有6场比赛——霍尔姆斯塔德处于降级区,落后安全地带一分,但到目前为止,他们的表现比结果显示的要好。他们记录了11个平局(全联盟最高的数字),这是他们目前状况的原因之一。他们创造了很多得分的机会,但却错过了很多。他们进了19个球,但根据预期进球得分模型,他们应该进32个。这是巨大的差异。现在他们在进球方面没有问题,因为他们在最近4场比赛中都有进球。他们满怀信心地来到今天的比赛,因为他们在上一轮比赛中以3:2的比分战胜了Hacken。他们不想现在就停下来,他们想要在主场的观众面前轻松取胜,并且保持势头直到赛季结束以避免降级。团队士气良好。他们没有新的缺阵,所以他们的阵容应该和上一轮一样。

另一方面,Orebro的情况很糟糕。他们落后安全地带11分。他们连输了最后4场比赛。在上一轮的德比中,他们在主场1:2输给了德格福斯。球队看起来无精打采,现在士气一定很低。Orebro的防守是全联盟最差的,他们现在没有任何稳定性。他们在最近的4场比赛中丢了不止一个球,今天我看到了这种连胜的延续。到目前为止,奥雷布罗在对阵阿尔斯文斯坎的24场比赛中有21场至少丢了一球。我也没有看到球员们有多大的动力——10名球员的合同将在赛季结束后到期,他们可能会去寻找新的俱乐部,因为他们不想在低级别联赛踢球。没有多少人相信俱乐部有机会避免降级。除此之外,他们是带着巨大的阵容问题来参加今天的比赛的。核心中场科兰德(21场比赛)仍然不能上场。4名球员被禁赛:后卫阿尔梅巴克、斯科夫加德和中场球员以及西格尔。他们都参加了最后一场比赛。这对球队是一个巨大的打击,应该会对他们今天的表现产生非常坏的影响。

在这种情况下,除了主场获胜,我看不到其他任何结果。霍尔姆斯塔德拥有今天轻松取胜所需的所有工具。

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