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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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Who will win in big Ligue 1 match today? 法甲焦点大战

2021-10-27

比赛分析

法甲

已完赛

星期四2021-10-28 03:00

解读理由

In my opinion Nice have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Both teams coming for this game without any new, important absences so their line ups should look exactly the same like in previous round.

Nice have big advantage in fitness department. Since 17 October, this is third match for them. Last match they played 3, days ago at home (they don't have to travel). Before that game they had 7 days break. On the other hand this is fourth match for Marseille since 17 October. It's third away match in a row. 6 days ago they played in Roma against Lazio in Europa League, 3 days ago they played in Paris. They travelled a lot. Players for sur are tired. 10 players played in last two games and they are projected to play today as well. Tiredness may be a problem for Marseille today.

Nice is full of confidence at the moment. They won 3 of last 4 matches. In last round they won against strong Lyon at home 3:2. They showed great mental toughness as they bounced back from 0:2. Atmosphere in team is great and they wants to go with momentum today. Nice don't have problems with goalscoring - they scored 11 goals in 5 home league matches, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score even more (12.40!). They have many options upfront - already 11 different scorers in current season (best result in whole league).

Marseille results depends too much on Payet performance. He played a lot last weeks and he is not so young anymore (34 years old). Hard to expect top class performance from him in every match, especially in 3 days gap schedule which is really hard . Marseille failed to score in last two away matches in a row.. They are not coming here in top form as they failed to win in 5 of their last 6 matches.

Nice is more fresh and is in better form. They have better defense (best in whole Ligue 1) and they are much more dangerous upfront at the moment (only PSG have better offensive formation so far). In addition to that they have home advantage . In last match between both teams at this stadium Nice recorded comfortable 3:0 win and for sure they coming here full of confidence and self-belief. I see at least one point for hosts today.


在我看来,尼斯很有可能在今天的比赛中至少拿到一分。

两支球队都没有出现任何新的重要缺席,因此他们的阵容应该与上一轮完全相同。

尼斯在体能上有很大的优势。自10月17日以来,这是他们的第三场比赛。他们在 3 天前在主场进行的最后一场比赛(他们不必旅行)。在那场比赛之前,他们有7天的休息时间。另一方面,这是马赛自 10 月 17 日以来的第四场比赛。这是连续第三场客场比赛。 6天前他们在欧罗巴联赛中对阵拉齐奥,3天前他们在巴黎比赛。他们的球员累了。前两场比赛有 10 名球员参加,预计他们今天也将参加比赛。疲倦可能是今天马赛的一个问题。

尼斯此刻信心满满。他们在过去的 4 场比赛中赢了 3 场。上轮他们在主场3:2战胜了强大的里昂。他们表现出很强的韧性从 0:2逆转 。球队气氛很好,他们今天想要保持势头。尼斯在进球方面没有问题——他们在 5 场主场联赛中攻入 11 球,但根据预期进球模型,他们应该进球更多(12.40!)。他们前期有很多选择——本赛季已经有11名不同的得分手(全联盟最佳成绩)。

马赛的成绩很大程度上取决于 Payet 的表现。上周他踢了很多场比赛,他不再那么年轻了(34 岁)。很难期待他在每场比赛中都有一流的表现,尤其是在3天的间隔赛中,这真的很难。马赛连续两场客场比赛都没有进球。他们没有以最佳状态来到这里,因为他们在过去的 6 场比赛中有 5 场没有获胜。

尼斯体能更好,状态更好。他们有更好的防守(在整个法甲联赛中是最好的),而且他们现在的前场更有威胁(到目前为止,只有巴黎圣日耳曼拥有更好的进攻球员)。除此之外他们有主场优势。两队在本场比赛的最后一场比赛中,尼斯以 3:0 轻松取胜,他们肯定是满怀信心。我认为今天主队至少可以拿分。

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