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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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Really incorrect odds in La Liga today!

2021-10-26

比赛分析

西甲

已完赛

星期三2021-10-27 03:00

解读理由

In my opinion Espanyol have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up. They shouldn't be underdog in this game. For me these odds are simply incorrect.

For me is hard to see Bilbao as a favorite at this stadium. Espanyol didn't lost against Bilbao in last 6 home matches in a row. Is hard to trust for Bilbao in away matches as they won only 12 of last 61 away La Liga matches.

Espanyol coming for today's match full of confidence, team is in great form. In their last 6 matches they lost only once - against strong Sevilla on away. They were able to win in last 3 home matches in a row (big win against Real Madrid in the process). Striker Raul de Tomas is in red hot form, he have already 5 goals and 2 assists on his account and for sure he will be very hard to stop today as well. Espanyol don't have problems with creativity at the moment, they scored more than one goal in last 3 matches in a row. At home Espanyol scored 6 goals in 5 matches, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 7.53.

Bilbao won last two matches in a row, but twice they played at home. They are much worse team when they have to play on away. Number not lying-they had a lot of luck in away matches so far. They went unbeaten in all 4 away matches so far (only 1 win in the process). They conceded only one goal, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 4.75! It's huge difference.

Espanyol scored at least one goal in 18 of last 22 matches against Bilbao (in 9 of last 11 home matches against them). They should be able to score today as well and that should be enough to make at least one point at the end of the day. Bilbao is without a win in last 4 La Liga matches played at Tuesday and in last 5 away matches played at Tuesday. Their coach Marcelino failed to win in last two matches in a row against Espanyol too.


在我看来,西班牙人有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少取得一分。他们不应该在这场比赛中处于劣势。对我来说,这些赔率根本不正确。

很难将毕尔巴鄂看作是本场的热门。西班牙人最近6场主场对阵毕尔巴鄂没有输球。毕尔巴鄂在客场比赛中很难相信,因为他们在过去的 61 场西甲客场比赛中只赢了 12 场。

西班牙人对今天的比赛充满信心,球队状态很好。在过去的 6 场比赛中,他们只输了一次 - 客场对阵强大的塞维利亚。他们能够在最近的 3 场主场比赛中连续获胜(在此过程中大胜皇家马德里)。前锋劳尔·德·托马斯(Raul de Tomas)处于炙手可热的状态,他已经有 5 个进球和 2 次助攻,当然他今天也很难停下来。西班牙人目前在创造力上没有问题,他们连续3场比赛打进一球以上。西班牙人在主场5场比赛打进6球,但根据预期进球他们的的进球数应该是7.53。

毕尔巴鄂连续赢得了最后两场比赛,但他们两次在主场比赛。当他们必须在客场比赛时,他们是更糟糕的球队。数字没有说谎——到目前为止,他们在客场比赛中运气很好。到目前为止,他们在所有 4 场客场比赛中保持不败(仅赢了 1 场)。他们只丢了一个球,但按照预期的失球模型,他们应该失球4.75!这是巨大的差异。

西班牙人在过去 22 场对阵毕尔巴鄂的比赛中有 18 场至少打进一球(过去 11 场主场比赛中有 9 场对阵他们)。他们今天也应该能够得分,这应该足以在一天结束时至少获得一分。毕尔巴鄂在周二进行的最后 4 场西甲比赛和周二进行的最后 5 场客场比赛中均未获胜。他们的教练马塞利诺在对阵西班牙人的最后两场比赛中也连续两场未能获胜。预测西班牙人不败。

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