It's a late call from me, but odds on hosts raised up by 0.30 from opening odds on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and now I see excellent value on Lokomotiv. They should be favorite here. Odds are incorrect for me.

Lokomotiv played 5 times against Sochi and they lost only one time, on away. Last match between both teams at this stadium finished with comfortable Lokomotiv 3:1 win.

Other good reason to play Lokomotiv is their league balance. Despite run of poor form, they still have only one loss in current season (11 rounds played). Even leaders of the table from Zenit lost already twice. In last league match against Rubin they back from 0:2 behind on away and show good mental toughness. Lokomotiv scored for 2:2 in 90+4. Good performance upfront as they finished with 24 shots that game.

Sochi form is not on the highest level: 2 wins and 2 losses in last 4 matches. In those matches where they recorded wins they had a lot of luck (Zenit played 50 minutes with 10 players). They won 3:2 in last round against Rostov at home, but they didn't played better than their opponents.

Lokomotiv is extremely strong home team-they went unbeaten in 29 of last 35 home league matches. On the other hand Sochi won only 10 of last 36 away league matches.

I simply cannot see Sochi as a favorite here and for sure value is on home side.