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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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La Liga: These lines are really too high

2021-01-10

比赛分析

西甲

已完赛

星期日2021-01-10 23:15

解读理由

In my opinion Cadiz have really good chances to make good result in today's match up.

Cadiz don't have any new absences, so their line up should look exactly the same like in previous round. Alavés have much serious squad problems before today's match - their key central defender Laguardia (16 matches) is suspended. 3 key players (all of them played in last matches) are doubtful - central defender Navarro (14 matches), left defender Duarte (15 matches) and top scorer Perez (4 goals and 2 assists in 14 matches).

Cadiz plays better season and is in better form. They are on 10th position, 4 places above Alavés. After poor streak of 3 losses, in last two matches Cadiz went unbeaten so they coming for today's match with good confidence. In both matches they had higher expected goals number than opposition. Alavés won only once in last 7 matches. They had problems with creativity - in 4 of last 6 La Liga matches their expected goals scored number was below 0.65. In last away match against Osasuna they played 82 minutes with one player more (red card in 8' for Osasuna) and they still weren't able to win. Osasuna even leaded 1:0 and Alavés needed goal from penalty kick to get one point. It's hard to trust for Alavés after such performance on away. In overall Alavés is very poor away team - Alaves they lost 46 of last 84 away La Liga matches (131 goals conceded in the process).

Cadiz have excellent streak against Alavés - they are unbeaten against them in last 7 matches in a row. Alavés hates to play against Andalusian teams - only one win in last 13 La Liga matches against team from that region. On the other hand Cadiz went unbeaten in 5 of last 7 matches against Basque teams.

I see very good value in these lines. Cadiz deserve to be bigger favorite.


我认为加的斯在今天的比赛中确实有很好的机会取得好成绩。

加的斯(Cadiz)没有新缺席,因此他们的阵容应该与上一场完全一样。阿拉维斯在今天的比赛之前有很多严重的阵容问题-他们的关键中卫拉瓜迪亚(16场比赛)被停赛。3名关键球员(所有球员都参加了最后一场比赛)出战unyielding-中后卫Navarro(14场比赛),左后卫Duarte(15场比赛)和头号得分手Perez(14场比赛4个进球和2个助攻)。

加的斯的表现更好,状态也更好。他们排在第十位,比阿拉维斯高4位。经过3连败之后,加的斯在前两场比赛中保持不败,因此他们充满信心地参加了今天的比赛。在两场比赛中,他们的预期进球数均高于对手。阿拉维斯(Alavés)在最近7场比赛中仅赢了一次。他们的创造力有问题-西甲联赛前6场比赛中有4场他们的预期进球低于0.65。在上一场比赛中对阵奥萨苏纳,他们场上多一名踢了82分钟的比赛(奥萨苏纳在8分钟染红),但他们仍然无法取胜。奥萨苏纳甚至以1:0领先,而阿拉维斯则需要靠点球来进球。在取得如此表现后,很难再相信阿拉维斯。总体而言,阿拉维斯的客场战绩很差-在最近84场客场的西甲联赛中输了46场(在此过程中失球131球)。

加的斯在与阿拉维斯的比赛中表现出色-连续七场比赛都保持不败。阿拉维斯(Alavés)不擅长和这个区域的球队比赛(Andalusian)比赛-在过去的13场西甲联赛中,与该地区的球队对决仅赢了一场。另一方面,加的斯在与巴斯克队的最后7场比赛中有5场保持不败。

我认为本场加的斯很有投注价值。预测加的斯不败。

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