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外籍分析师
英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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Amazing record and difference in quality

2021-01-10

比赛分析

主队巴利亚多LOGO

巴利亚多

西甲

已完赛

星期一2021-01-11 04:00

客队巴伦西亚LOGO

巴伦西亚

解读理由

In my opinion Valencia have really good chances to make at least one point in this match up.

Both teams without any new absences before today's game. For me Valencia have much better players - 10 of 11 Valladolid players are over 27 years old. I don't see there players with potential to play in the bigger clubs. On the other hand Valencia have a lot of interesting players in squad and for sure in future they going to play in bigger clubs - left defender Gaya (25yo, value: 52mln€), central defender Diakhaby (24yo, value: 32mln€), midfielder Musah (18yo, 14 matches already), central midfielder Soler (24yo, value: 52mln€) or striker Gomez (24yo, value: 42mln€). Valencia have on the bench coach Javi Garcia - his teams played twice against Valladolid and he never lost.

Valladolid so far made 2 points more than Valencia, but Valencia plays better football, especially in offense. Valencia scored 7 goals more. They created 7 big chances to score more and have more shots on target per game (3.9 to 3.2). In defense both teams are on similar level - both teams conceded at least one goal in 15 of 17 matches so far. Valencia is little bit better team with the ball - they have higher average ball possession and more accurate passes per game. Valencia in current season were able to play very close match against Atletico (0:1 loss by late goal) or win 4:1 (!) against Real. They have potential to play on much higher level than Valladolid.

In overall Valladolid is poor home team - they won only 12 of last 46 home matches in La Liga. Valencia have poor start of the season, but still they were able to get 1 point at Camp Nou against Barcelona (3:3). Valladolid won only 2 of last 7 league matches. These wins wasn't convincing at all. 3:2 at home against Osasuna - expected goals scored for Valladolid 2.02, for Osasuna 2.37. 1:0 on away against Getafe in last round, but Getafe played very poor. Valencia lost only 2 of last 6 matches - they lost 0:1 at home by late goal against strong Sevilla and on away 1:2 against Granada - once again by very late goal.

Valencia have amazing streak against Valladolid. They are unbeaten against them in last 10 La Liga matches in a row. Valencia didn't lost against Valladolid since 2009. Valencia as well have impressive record at this stadium - they are unbeaten in last 8 matches La Liga in a row here, last time Valencia lost here in 2003.

I see good chances for Valencia today.


在我看来,瓦伦西亚确实很有机会在这场比赛中取得至少一分。

这两支球队在今天的比赛之前没有任何新增的缺席。对我来说,瓦伦西亚拥有更好的球员-11名巴利亚多利德球员中有10名年龄超过27岁,这支球队的潜力不大。另一方面,瓦伦西亚有很多有天赋的球员,并且可以肯定的是,将来他们会在更大的俱乐部踢球-左后卫加耶(25岁,价值:5,200万欧元),中卫后卫迪哈比(24岁,价值:3,200万欧元),中场穆萨(18岁,已经进行14场比赛),中场索勒(24岁,价值:5200万欧元)或前锋戈麦斯(24岁,价值:4200万欧元)。瓦伦西亚的教练哈维·加西亚(Javi Garcia)的球队两次与巴利亚多利德(Valladolid)比赛,从未输球。

巴利亚多利德到目前为止比瓦伦西亚多2分,但是瓦伦西亚的表现更好,尤其是在进攻方面,巴伦西亚多进了7球。他们创造了很多机会,每场比赛的射正次数更多(3.9-3.2)。在防守端,两支球队的水平都差不多-到目前为止,两支球队在17场比赛中有15场至少失球1次。巴伦西亚拥有更好的控球能力-他们的平均控球率更高,场均传球更准确。瓦伦西亚在本赛季能够与马竞难分上下(最后时刻失球,0:1输球),4:1战胜了皇马!。他们有潜力发挥比巴里阿多利德更高的水平。

从总体上看,巴利亚多利德的主场战绩不佳-他们在西甲联赛的最近46场主场比赛中仅赢了12场。巴伦西亚本赛季开局不佳,但他们仍然能够在诺坎普对阵巴塞罗那的比赛中得到1分(3:3)。巴拉多利德(Valladolid)在最近7场联赛中仅赢了2场。但这些胜利一点也不令人信服。 3:2主场迎战奥萨苏纳-预期进球数为巴利亚多利德2.02,奥萨苏纳2.37。在上一轮对赫塔菲的比赛中0:1输球,但赫塔菲的表现非常糟糕。瓦伦西亚在过去6场比赛中仅输了2场-他们在主场0:1输给了强大的塞维利亚,在对格拉纳达的比赛中1:2失利-都是在比赛最后时刻丢球。

巴伦西亚对巴利亚多利德有出色的交手纪录。在最近的10场西甲比赛中,他们保持不败。巴伦西亚自2009年以来就没有输给过巴拉多利德。巴伦西亚在这个球场上也有骄人的战绩-他们在西甲联赛的最近8场比赛中保持不败,这是巴伦西亚上一次在这座球场输球还是在2003年。

我认为瓦伦西亚有很好的机会不败。

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