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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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5th WINNER in a row?

2021-10-12

比赛分析

欧洲预选

已完赛

星期三2021-10-13 02:45

解读理由

Sweden vs Greece

Sweden welcome visitors from Greece at Friends Arena in Stockholm for this FIFA World Cup qualification battle with high stakes. Both teams have a true chance of earning a ticket to World Cup in Qatar next year. Spain lead the group and are very likely to win it and qualify directly - Sweden have twelve points and Greece have nine points at the moment with several matches still remaining. I strongly believe Sweden will be the one to take second place and get a chance to play in the qualification play offs. Let's take a closer look..

Sweden have convinced me of their class during the past years. As underdogs they defend extremely hard and are well-organised. They forced Spain into a 0-0 draw last summer in EURO 2020 despite being dominated by one of the best teams in the World. They even qualified for the play offs rounds and were the better team versus Ukraine despite eventually losing during the extra match after receiving a red card. We must remember Ukraine are, not top-10 team in the World, but still a very good team and have for example played two draws versus reigning World Champions France in theirqualification group. Sweden have not played a bad match for ages and even beat a top-5 team in the World Spain about a month ago at home! Spain very the better team in terms of expected goals but Sweden were very effective in making the most of their scoring chances. It was a fine performance from the always solid Swedes! In their most recent match they crushed a rising football country Kosovo 3-0 at home. They were of course heavy favorites but the performance was a very good one indeed. They recorded twenty scoring attempts and the shots on goal statistics were 10-3 for Sweden. A similar performance would mean they have very good chance of winning Greece too today despite Greece of course being a better team than Kosovo. Sweden have won four of their latest matches in this group so far.

How about Greece then? They did not even qualify for the EURO 2020 last summer.. The level of Greek football is undoubtedly in decline! Greece beat Georgia in their most recent match 2-0 away from home but Georgia are a very bad team and have just one point so far and have a goal difference of 2:11. The draw came versus Greece - very disappointing match from Greeks.. Greece did beat Sweden at home 2-1 a while ago but had luck on their side - Sweden were the better team in that match.

To sum up, in the capital of Sweden, Stockholm, in front of a huge crowd to boost them, I see Sweden having a clearly over 60% chance of winning. Especially their defense and team play are much better than Greece's!

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

瑞典人在斯德哥尔摩的朋友体育场欢迎来自希腊的游客,为这一国际足联世界杯资格赛的高风险竞争。这两支球队都有机会赢得明年卡塔尔世界杯的入场券。西班牙在小组中领先,很有可能赢得小组赛并直接出线——瑞典目前积12分,希腊积9分,目前还有几场比赛。我坚信瑞典队将获得第二名,并有机会参加预选赛。让我们仔细看看…

瑞典在过去几年里让我相信了他们的阶级。作为弱势球队,他们防守非常努力,而且组织良好。在去年夏天的2020年欧洲杯上,尽管被世界上最好的球队之一统治,他们还是迫使西班牙0-0战平。他们甚至获得了附加赛的资格,并在与乌克兰的比赛中表现更好,尽管他们最终在加时赛中被红牌罚下,输掉了比赛。我们必须记住,乌克兰虽然不是世界排名前十的球队,但仍然是一支非常优秀的球队,比如在预选赛中与卫冕冠军法国队打了两场平局。瑞典队已经很久没有打过一场糟糕的比赛了,甚至一个月前在主场击败了世界排名前五的西班牙队!西班牙队在预期进球数上更胜一筹,但瑞典队在充分利用进球机会方面非常有效。一向稳健的瑞典人表现得很好!在最近的一场比赛中,他们在主场以3-0击败了正在崛起的足球国家科索沃。他们当然是最受欢迎的演员,但是表演确实非常好。他们记录了20次射门,瑞典的射门次数是10-3。类似的表现意味着他们今天也有很大的机会赢得希腊,尽管希腊当然比科索沃强。到目前为止,瑞典队已经在小组中赢得了四场比赛。

那么希腊呢?去年夏天,他们甚至没有获得2020年欧洲杯的参赛资格。希腊足球的水平无疑在下降!希腊在最近的一场客场比赛中以2比0击败了格鲁吉亚,但格鲁吉亚是一支非常糟糕的球队,目前只积一分,净胜球差2比11。平局是对希腊,希腊人非常失望的比赛。希腊不久前在主场以2比1击败了瑞典,但运气很好,瑞典在那场比赛中表现更好。

总而言之,在瑞典首都斯德哥尔摩,在一大群为他们加油的人群面前,我认为瑞典获胜。尤其是他们的防守和团队合作都比希腊队好得多!

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