Really incorrect odds today in Serie A
2021-01-09
比赛分析
解读理由
In my opinion Genoa have really good chances to make at least one point in this today's match.
I really don't see Bologna as a favorite of this match because in overall they are not better team than Genoa. Both teams finished last 4 seasons in bottom half of the table. Potential and quality is on very similar level.
I believe home advantage will make a difference - Bologna went unbeaten in 46 of last 84 home Serie A matches. They don't had problems with goalscoring as they scored 103 goals in these matches. On the other hand Bologna is poor away team - they won only 18 of last 84 away Serie A matches. Their defense wasn't stable at all - they conceded 141 (!) goals in these matches. Bologna won only 1 of last 12 away Serie A matches.
Bologna today will play without their first goalkeeper Skorupski and key defender De Silvestri. Today they will use in defensive formation two second-choice players - Paz (5 matches) and Dijks (5 matches). This is big chance for Genoa to score some goals. Genoa offensive is good enough to do it - they scored at least one goal in 12 of last 14 matches in all competitions. On the other hand Genoa defense looked good in past against Bologna - they kept clean sheet 27 times against them in Serie A - they don't have better results against other team in competition. Genoa didn't conceded a single goal in last 2 home matches against Bologna.
Bologna as well is not in better form - they were not able to make a win in last 7 matches in a row. On the other hand Genoa made 4 points in last 3 matches. In last home game they were able to stop Lazio (8th), match finished with draw 1:1. In last round they lost on away 1:2 against Sassuolo, but Sassuolo looks great so far in current season - they are on 5th position at the moment.
In last 4 matches in last two season Genoa didn't lost against Bologna. I believe they are able to continue this streak today.
我认为热那亚确实有很好的机会在今天的比赛中取得至少一分。
我真的不认为博洛尼亚是这场比赛的热门,因为总的来说,他们并不比热那亚更好。这两支球队都在积分榜底部的最后四个赛季完成了比赛。潜力和质量处于非常相似的水平。
我相信主场优势会有所作为-博洛尼亚在过去84场意甲联赛中有46场保持不败。他们在进球方面没有问题,因为他们在这些比赛中打入103球。另一方面,博洛尼亚是可怜的客场球队-他们仅赢了84场意甲联赛中的18场。他们的防守根本不稳定-在这些比赛中他们失球141(!)。博洛尼亚在最近12场意甲联赛中仅赢了1场。
今天的博洛尼亚将缺少他们的第一守门员Skorupski和关键后卫De Silvestri。今天,他们将在防守阵型中使用两名第二选择球员-Paz(5场比赛)和Dijks(5场比赛)。这对热那亚来说是很大的机会目标。热那亚的进攻足以做到这一点-他们在所有比赛的最后14场比赛中有12场至少得分了一个进球。另一方面,热那亚的防守在过去对阵博洛尼亚的比赛中表现不错-他们在意甲联赛中对阵他们的比赛保持了27次不败-在比赛中对阵其他球队时他们没有更好的成绩。热那亚在与博洛尼亚的最近2场主场比赛中均没有失球。
博洛尼亚的状态也不佳-他们连续7场比赛无法获胜。另一方面,热那亚在最近3场比赛中取得4分。在上一场主场比赛中,他们能够阻止拉齐奥(8th),比赛以1:1平局结束。在最后一轮,他们对萨索洛以1:2输了,但是萨索洛在本赛季到目前为止看起来不错-他们目前处于第5位。
在过去的两个赛季的最后四场比赛中,热那亚没有输给博洛尼亚。我相信他们今天能够继续这种势头。预测热那亚不败。
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