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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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How many goals they will score today?

2021-09-29

比赛分析

日职

已完赛

星期三2021-09-29 18:00

解读理由

It's a late call from me, but I waited with this bet until last moment because I wanted to see the latest odds movements and the most possible line ups.

Kobe today have only one new absence-central midfielder Samper is unavailable, but that shouldn't be problem because new central midfielder Leo Osaki looked great in last match and get player of the match award. Kobe should be able to fight in the middle- Kawasaki will play in the middle with Kento Tachibanda, he is very average in current season. Kawasaki don't have any new absences.

Odds on hosts raised up by 0.20 from opening odds on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and I fully agree with this trend. I see very good value on away side and +1.5 Asian handicap looks like very safe bet.

In last 7 matches between both teams only once Kobe lost against Kawasaki with more than one goal margin. Last match between both teams at this stadium finished with hosts 3:2 win.

For me this line is simply too high, Kawasaki covered -1.5 handicap line only in 2 of last their 11 matches in all competitions. Kobe didn't lost by more than one goal margin in their last 19 matches in a row!

As well is not easy to score a goals against Kobe as they have third-best defensive formation in whole league and they kept clean sheet in last two matches in a row.

Kobe scored at least one goal in 4 of last 5 matches, on the other hand Kawasaki conceded at least one goal in 5 of their last 6 matches. Kobe have chances to score and if they will do it, Kawasaki will have big problems to cover HC line.

In these circumstances I trusted for Kobe. This line is too high.

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