Real Betis host Getafe at Estadio Benito Villamarín for this La Liga round 7 battle. I see the hosts as very heavy favorites here and my pick is a home win. Let's take a look at reason behind this bet..

Real Betis are in terrific form and have lost just one match so far in La Liga. On the 16th of August they also beat Celtic in the Europa League 4-3 at home. The visitors, on the other hand, have lost all of their six matches!They scored just two goals and have allowed ten goals. Indeed, their offensive play has been very poor. In their most recent match Betis beat Osasuna 3-1 away from home and played a impressive match as underdogs. They created some 2.35 in expected goals whereas Osasuna recorded some 0.80 goals. A week ago they were unlucky not to get all three points at home versus a decent team Espanyol. It was 2-2 draw but Betis were the better team creating 2.50 in expected goals - Espanyol's number was 1.10 goals. The visitors were very effective in making the most of their chances. They had a total of four shots on target whereas Betis had nine. With a similar performance Betis should be very close to winning today. Before the Espanyol match they played yet another very good match versus Granada away from home winning 2-1. Even a more clear win would not have unjustified as they recorded some 2.60 in expected goals whereas the hosts' number was 0.70.

How about Getafe then? Well, they sure have some room for improvement but will it be enough to avoid relegation? I have my doubts.. Their offense is so bad that I think there is a big chance they once again fail to score today. In their latest two matches they have created about 0.30 in goal expectancy for much which tells a lot. Their defense has not been convincing either. It is hard to say anything positive about them..

To sum up, there is a big difference in raw class  - also the hosts have good fans and are in a lot better form. Home win is very probably here!