Jarkko头像
外籍分析师
芬兰人,有自己投注模型,公开记录的2136场比赛场均盈利率超10%
  • 1578

    方案

  • 6617

    粉丝

Getafe to change course?

2021-09-26

比赛分析

西甲

已完赛

星期一2021-09-27 03:00

解读理由

Unlikely.

Absolutely nothing speaks for Getafe here, but that was also pretty much the case of Alaves last night with Atletico Madrid, and in general there are no certain wins in this league. However the results and xG of Getafe speaks volumes of their class, or the lack of it. The only times they have created more than 1 goal worth of expcected goals xG were in the opening game when they played almost all game with 11 v 10 players, and away at Vallecas in the Madrid derby, but in that game most of it came from the penalty they missed when already 3-0 down in 85th minute! Personally I do not agree with the way this data company handles penalty xG, but it is a different story altogether, in a bigger picture these are very useful.


Last time they almost got something from Atletico, but Luis Suarez spoiled the party with two late goals. It would had been very undeserved though, and tonight they are even worse off from last rounds as midfielder Aleña is suspended today, their key midfieder Arambarri continues as injured, and there are half a dozen more less important players marked as doubts or injuries. The one positive news is the return of Sandro, but can we expect goals from him really?

So Getafe have lost all 6 games so far and it is a historically bad record for them and I doubt the board is looking long the failures of new coach Michel, but visiting Betis have never been easy for them even when they have been in form, one win out of 13 matches!

Betis on the other hand have been in excellent form, and in the midfield Fekir and Canales currently form the most creative and dangerous pair in the league.

Betis have scored a lot recently, but they do create even more, they are effective and entertaining despite not really having a top striker in the squad, unless we count Willian Jose as such? 7 goals however scored in last 3 games, and with some better finishing it could be 10 or more as they did shoot almost 60 times between those last 3.


Betis are almost unbeatable, they have the best record of all European top-5 leagues in avoiding losses, they welcome back Pezzella, and I expect a comfortable home win, 3-0 or so here.

Possible lineups:


对于赫塔菲来说,没有什么能说明问题,但对于昨晚在马德里竞技的阿拉维斯来说也是如此,总的来说,在这个联赛中没有确定的胜利。然而,赫塔菲的成绩和预期进球充分说明了他们的阶级,或者说是缺乏阶级。他们唯一一次创造超过1个预期进球数的是在首场比赛,当时他们用11打10打了几乎所有的比赛,还有客场对阵巴列卡斯的马德里德比,但那场比赛的大部分进球都来自他们在第85分钟3-0落后时错过的点球!就个人而言,我不同意这家数据公司处理罚款xG的方式,但这是完全不同的故事,从更大的角度来看,这些是非常有用的。

上次他们几乎从马竞那里得到了一些东西,但苏亚雷斯在最后时刻的两粒进球毁了这场派对。这是非常不公平的,今晚他们的情况比上一轮更糟,中场阿莱尼亚今天被停赛,他们的核心中场阿拉姆巴里继续受伤,还有6名次要球员被怀疑或受伤。唯一的好消息是桑德罗的回归,但我们真的能期待他进球吗?

所以赫塔菲已经失去了所有6场比赛到目前为止,这是一个历史性的不良记录,我怀疑董事会正在长新教练米歇尔的失败,但访问贝蒂斯从来没有容易,即使他们已经在形式、一个赢了13场比赛!

另一方面,贝蒂斯的状态非常好,在中场费基尔和卡纳莱斯目前是联盟中最有创造力和最危险的组合。

贝蒂斯最近进了很多球,但他们创造了更多,他们效率很高,很有娱乐性,尽管球队中并没有一个顶级前锋,除非我们把何塞也算在内。在过去的3场比赛中有7个进球,如果有更好的射门方式,可能会是10个或更多,因为他们在过去的3场比赛中有近60次射门。

贝蒂斯几乎是不可战胜的,他们有欧洲前5强联赛中避免输球的最好记录,他们欢迎佩泽拉的回归,我期待一场轻松的主场胜利,3-0左右。


观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。