Arsenal vs Tottenham

Two under-performing teams go head to head in English Premier League round 6 battle at the Emirates Stadium in London. I do not quite agree with the current odds reflecting that Arsenal being clear favorites. Let's take a closer look..

I was pretty negative about Arsenal already before the season started. They did spend a lot of money on new players but the quality of these players was pretty mediocre. On my analysis about the season opening Brentford vs Arsenal match I wrote that they are over-rated and not nearly as good as some years ago - or even last year.. Well, they have been even worse and I have lowered their power rating - that illustrates teams' overall class - from the start of the season and currently rate them as the 9th best team in the Premier League. Arsenal's lower than expected by the betting market level was revealed already versus Brentford where their offense was very poor! Brentford won the match 2-0 and expected goals ratio was 1.90 -1.00 for Brentford. After that Arsenal were humiliated at home - they lost 0-3 to Chelsea. My fans and myself won another bet on this one as Chelsea were offered too high odds. Losing to a top team Chelsea was not a surprise as such but the way it looked on the pitch was very worrying for Arsenal. They had no chance at all to take even a point! Chelsea created some 3.70 in expected goals whereas Arsenal's number was 0.60. After that Manchester City slaughtered Arsenal 5-0 at the Etihad Stadium creating 4.50 in expected goals - Arsenal recorded a pathetic number - 0.12 goals. After this Arsenal finally got a win but it came against Norwich, the worst team in the Premier League. Their performance was not convincing at all though - a narrow 1-0 win. Last Saturday Arsenal defeated another lowly team, Burnley, 1-0 away from home after a pretty balanced match. The hosts would have definitely deserved a draw. Expected goals were 0.95 for Burnley and 1.05 for Arsenal. Once again Arsenal's offense was lame!

How about Tottenham then? They have not been too good either so far. Still, I rate them as the 5th best team in the Premier League. They have a lot room for improvement and having their South Korean star Son back helps a lot. However, they did beat Manchester City in the season opener 1-0 at home! They too have lost to Chelsea 0-3, but, unlike Arsenal, at least had some chances in the match especially in the first half and could have taken a 1-0 lead. In terms of expected goals Chelsea were better 2.4-0.9 and did deserve the win. Two weeks ago Tottenham very not good versus a decent team Crystal Palace losing 0-3 away from home. However, we must remember the score was 0-0 before Tottenham's Japhet Tanganga was sent off. Let's remember Tottenham did not have their key player Son in this match. With him on the field I believe the match would have looked quite different.. Super star striker Harry Kane has not been good lately but he has started many seasons slowly and I do expect him to enhance his performances soon. When he does, and with Son playing, Tottenham will start scoring goals!

To sum up, Tottenham are the better team but with home advantage on Arsenal's side it should be a very balanced match. Value is on Tottenham not losing here!

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

两支表现不佳的球队将在伦敦酋长球场举行的英超第6轮比赛中交锋。

在赛季开始之前，我就对阿森纳持否定态度。他们确实在新球员上花了很多钱，但这些球员的质量相当平庸。在我对布伦特福德对阵阿森纳的赛季揭发战的分析中，我写道他们被高估了，甚至不如几年前，甚至不如去年。好吧，他们更糟糕，我已经降低了他们的实力评级——这表明了球队的整体水平——从赛季开始，现在把他们评为英超第9强的球队。阿森纳低于投注市场预期的水平已经在对布伦特福德的比赛中暴露出来了，他们的进攻非常糟糕!布伦特福德以2-0获胜，预期进球率为1.90 -1.00。在那之后，阿森纳在主场被羞辱了——他们0-3输给了切尔西。我和我的球迷又赢了一次，因为切尔西的赔率太高了。输给顶级球队切尔西并不意外，但在球场上的表现让阿森纳非常担忧。他们连拿一分的机会都没有!切尔西的预期进球数为3.70个，而阿森纳的预期进球数为0.60个。曼城在阿提哈德球场以5-0大败阿森纳，创造了4.50个预期进球——阿森纳的记录是可怜的数字——0.12个进球。在这场比赛之后，阿森纳最终取得了一场胜利，但却是在对阵英超最差球队诺维奇的比赛中。他们的表现一点也不令人信服——1-0险胜。上周六，在一场相当平衡的比赛后，阿森纳客场1-0击败了另一支实力较弱的球队伯恩利。东道主绝对应该打一场平局。伯恩利的预期进球数为0.95，阿森纳的预期进球数为1.05。阿森纳的进攻又一次无能为力!

那托特纳姆怎么样?到目前为止，他们的表现也不太好。尽管如此，我还是认为他们是英超第五强的球队。他们有很大的提升空间，韩国明星孙正义的回归对他们有很大帮助。然而，他们在赛季揭幕战中主场1-0击败了曼城!他们也0-3输给了切尔西，但与阿森纳不同的是，他们至少在比赛中有一些机会，特别是在上半场，他们本可以1-0领先。在预期进球数方面，切尔西以2.4-0.9领先，胜利当之无愧。两周前，托特纳姆热刺在客场0-3输掉了水晶宫的比赛中表现不佳。然而，我们必须记住，在热刺的唐甘加被罚下之前，比分是0-0。让我们记住，在这场比赛中，热刺队没有主力球员孙兴慜。如果有他在场上，我相信比赛看起来会大不一样。超级明星前锋哈里·凯恩最近表现不太好，但他在很多赛季开始的速度很慢，我确实希望他能很快提高自己的表现。届时，孙兴慜上场，热刺队将开始进球!

总而言之，热刺是更好的球队，但主场优势在阿森纳这边，这应该是一场非常平衡的比赛。价值在于热刺不会输!