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俄罗斯职业体育分析师,是欧洲最知名的分析师之一。
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11/9. Best Friday's pick. 俄甲 叶尼塞vs巴蒂卡

2021-09-10

比赛分析

俄甲

已完赛

星期五2021-09-10 20:00

解读理由

This is basically the only interesting pick to consider on a slow Friday on the way back from international break.

The Russian 2nd division has been tricky to predict on the pre-market recently largely due to the generally low level of the competition, which throws in a degree of unpredictability to any match. Hence, caution is advised with this pick even if it sounds reasonable on paper.

Baltika has been aiming for promotion in the past 2 seasons and this campaign is no exception. They got off to a slow start, failing to find wins in the opening 6 rounds. However, since mid-August fortunes have changed for the Kaliningrad club and they’ve started moving up the table closing in on the targeted top 4 zone.

Baltika has actually had a tricky schedule of late, facing the likes of such decent opponents as Rotor, Neftekhimik (drawing both), Kamaz (1-0 away win) and Torpedo Moscow (1-1). Kamaz is currently 3rd placed in the league, so the 3 points against them on the road was a strong achievement. Then the most recent 1-1 draw vs. Torpedo Moscow (1st position in the table) went in line with the streak of good displays. This was only Torpedo’s 2nd game in the season that they failed to take maximum points.

Baltika’s squad is basically at full strength and there is a great deal of depth about it too as they stocked the roster up nicely during summer.

The seriousness of the team's approach towards this fixture underlined by Baltika travelling 2 days before the game, on Wednesday.

Yenisey may be sitting just 1 point behind Baltika in the table, however, their ambitions and squad is of significantly lower caliber. They’ve already had a change of manager and the new figure has not sparked any life into them. Yenisey had an underestimated easy sequence of games in the tournament facing Lipets (last in the table), Volgar (2nd from the bottom), Olimp Dolgoprudniy (then one of the 4 relegation teams) and Tekstilshik (3rd from the bottom). In other words, for the last 1 month (SKA Khabarovsk aside), Yenisey has been playing against teams from the bottom 6 of the table.

Baltika has lost just 1 game so far, their main problem has been the inability to get wins (6 draws in 9 rounds). Visitors have a good H2H balance against today’s opponent (2-2-0 in last 4 meetings) and I do believe they should be good enough to stretch the unbeaten run both in the H2H vs. Yenisey and in the league.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

这基本上是唯一有趣的选择,考虑在一个缓慢的周五从国际休息回来。

俄罗斯队的二级联赛在赛前很难预测,很大程度上是因为比赛水平普遍较低,这给任何一场比赛都带来了一定程度的不可预测性。因此,建议谨慎选择这种选择,即使它在纸上听起来合理。

在过去的两个赛季里,巴尔蒂卡一直在为晋级而努力,这个赛季也不例外。他们起步缓慢,在开始的6轮比赛中都没有取得胜利。然而,自从8月中旬以来,这支加里宁格勒俱乐部的命运发生了变化,他们开始向前四名的目标迈进。

事实上,巴尔蒂卡最近的赛程表很复杂,面对的是像阿罗、奈夫特希米克(两队都平局)、卡马斯(客场1-0获胜)和鱼雷莫斯科(1-1获胜)这样不错的对手。卡马斯目前排名联盟第三,所以在客场对他们的3分是一个强大的成就。在最近的1-1战平莫斯科鱼雷队(积分榜第一)的比赛中,他的表现也很不错。这只是鱼雷在本赛季的第二场比赛,他们没有拿到最大得分。

巴尔蒂卡的阵容基本上是满员的,而且他们在夏天的时候很好地储备了阵容,阵容也很有深度。

球队对待这场比赛的态度的严肃性在周三比赛前两天的客场之行中得到了印证。

叶尼塞在积分榜上可能只落后巴尔蒂卡一分,然而,他们的雄心和球队的实力明显较低。他们已经换了经理,新的数字并没有给他们带来任何活力。叶尼塞在本届杯赛中对阵利贝特(排名最后)、伏尔加(倒数第二)、奥林普·道格普鲁尼(当时的4个降级队之一)和泰克斯提尔希克(倒数第三)的几场比赛被低估了。换句话说,在过去的一个月里(哈巴罗夫斯克SKA队除外),叶尼塞一直在和排名倒数第六的球队比赛。

巴尔蒂卡到目前为止只输了一场比赛,他们的主要问题是不能赢球(9轮6平)。客队在与今天的对手的H2H比赛中保持了良好的平衡(过去4场比赛是2-2-0),我相信他们在H2H对叶尼塞和联赛中都有足够的实力保持不败。

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