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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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Who will win big Premier League match?!

2021-08-28

比赛分析

英超

已完赛

星期日2021-08-29 00:30

解读理由

In my opinion Chelsea have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

I believe this is at least 50/50 game and Liverpool not deserves to be favorite here.

Last matches between both team's been played at this stadium in March. Chelsea already with Tuchel on the bench came at Anfield and won here 1:0. Chelsea outplayed Liverpool in that game - they let them to make only 7 shots (0.28 expected goals scored).

Today Liverpool as well should have big problems with goalscoring. Chelsea in first two matches of the season looked amazing at the back. They recorded two comfortable wins (against Crystal Palace and Arsenal) and they faced only 10 shots (0.60 expected goals conceded).

Liverpool as well won in first two matches and as well not conceded a single goal, but they played against much worse opposition (two relegation contenders - Norwich & Burnley) and they didn't looked so consistent at the back like Chelsea. For example Norwich had 1.51 expected goals scored against them.

Chelsea finally have top striker upfront - Lukaku back to club and he will be very dangerous. Chelsea have a lot of options in offense - 5 goals scored by 5 different players so far. They should be able to score today as well - Chelsea scored at least one goal in 11 of their 12 matches against Liverpool at Anfield.

Looks like Tuchel learnt Klopp. He had bad results against him at the start, but he recorded two wins in last two matches, so he have good mental advantage before today's game.

I trust for Chelsea here.


在我看来,切尔西有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少拿到一分。

我相信这是一场五五开的比赛,利物浦应该没有优势。

两队之间的最后一场比赛是在三月份在这个体育场进行的。切尔西已经和新教练图赫尔一起来到了安菲尔德,并在这里以 1:0 获胜。切尔西在那场比赛中击败了利物浦——他们只让利物浦射门 7 次(预期进球数为 0.28)。

今天利物浦在进球方面也应该有很大的问题。切尔西在本赛季的前两场比赛中的后防表现令人惊叹。他们取得了两场轻松的胜利(对阵水晶宫和阿森纳),而且对手只有 10 次射门(失球数为 0.60)。

利物浦在前两场比赛中也取得了胜利,并且一球未失,但他们的对手(两个保级竞争者 - 诺维奇和伯恩利)实力较弱,而且他们的后防线看起来不像切尔西那样稳定。例如诺维奇的预期进球为1.51。

切尔西终于有了顶级前锋——卢卡库回到俱乐部,他将非常具有威胁。切尔西在进攻方面有很多选择——到目前为止,5 个不同的球员打进了 5 个进球。他们今天也应该能够进球——切尔西在安菲尔德对阵利物浦的最近12场比赛中有 11 场至少打进一球。

看起来图赫尔很了解克洛普。最初对克洛普的成绩很差,但最近两场比赛都取得了两胜的成绩,所以在今天的比赛之前,他有很好的心理优势。

我相信切尔西可以不败。

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