I waited with this bet until last moment because I wanted to see the latest odds movements for today's match up.

Odds on hosts win slashed down by 1.20 on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits. I fully agree with this trend.

In my opinion Gimnasia have really good chances to avoid loss in today's match up.

Gimnasia today don't have any new important absences and their line up should look exactly the same like in previous round. 5 days ago they played crazy match in Cup against Argentinos at home, they lost 2:3. Now once again they will play at home, so at least they don't have to travel in last days. As well I expect reaction and improved performance in defense. They were solid at the back in league matches so far - they kept clean sheet in 3 of 6 matches. They went unbeaten in 3 home matches. It's not easy to break them down.

On the other hand River Plate had hard schedule in last days-this is fourth match for them in 11 days. Just 4 days ago they played in Brazil against Atletico MG. They lost 0:3 and get eliminated-morale must be very low. Players for sure can feel tiredness-9 players which played in last match will play today as wel.

In these circumstances I see good chances for hosts.