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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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Late call: wrong odds in MLS today

2021-08-19

比赛分析

美职足

已完赛

星期四2021-08-19 07:30

解读理由

It's late call from me, but odds on hosts raised up by 0.20 from opening odds on big Asian markets with the biggest possible limits and now I see excellent value on home side. I don't agree with market movement here.

Of course, Union lost their last home match against team from NYC, but they had awful start in that game. They conceded quick goal by silly error from defensive formation and in 16' Martinez received red card.. Today I expect much more focused performance from hosts.

In last MLS match they played on away against the strongest by far team in whole league - New England Revolution. They lost 1:2, but no shame at all. Now Union back to home where they are extremely hard to beat - they didn't lost in 32 of last 37 home MLS matches. In that case is hard to see them as a underdog against anyone at home. Union today don't have any important absences and coming for this match with the strongest possible line up.

NYCFC after impressive run of results at home in July, in last week's slowed down visibly. In last 3 rounds they played against teams from bottom half of the table and they didn't looked impressive. They won only at home against Inter Miami. They failed to win on away against Toronto and Chicago, so it's hard for me to see them as a favorite against super solid at home Union. Guests are still without important striker Heber (19 goals in 42 matches for the club).

I see great value on home side.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

我打的很晚了,但是主场赔率比亚洲大市场的开盘价提高了0.20,而且可能有最大的限制,现在我看到主场的价值非常高。我不同意这里的市场走势。

当然,联盟在上一场主场比赛中输给了来自纽约的球队,但他们在那场比赛中开局糟糕。由于防守阵型上的愚蠢失误,他们快速失球,16年马丁内斯被红牌罚下。今天,我希望主持人的表现更加集中。

在上一场大联盟的比赛中,他们客场对阵全联盟最强的球队——新英格兰革命队。他们1:2输了,但一点也不丢人。现在曼联回到了自己的主场,在那里他们很难被击败——他们在过去37场大联盟主场比赛中没有输掉32场。在这种情况下,很难看到他们在国内处于劣势。今天曼联没有任何重要的缺阵,他们将带着最强的阵容来参加这场比赛。

纽约城在7月份骄人战绩之后,在上周的增速明显放缓。在最近的3轮比赛中,他们与排名靠后的球队交手,他们看起来并不令人印象深刻。他们只在主场赢了国际迈阿密。他们没能在客场赢下多伦多和芝加哥,所以我很难把他们看成是主场最受欢迎的球队。客人们仍然没有重要的前锋赫伯(为俱乐部42场比赛打入19球)。

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