Valencia in serious relegation threat this season, mostly because of the owner's choice not to buy anyone but only sell - or give out players for free! They still have had a decent starting lineup in most of the games, but today the fresh absentees make things very complicated, look at the pic below!

There are first choice keeper, centreback and a winger and a few useful rotation players, and it makes Valencia's options very limited from the bench, but the starting-11 is still just a decent one.

At Cadiz none of the absentees is a key figure and they are easily replaced. Midfielder Salvi who tested positive for covid is the biggest missing.

Valencia are in the relegation zone, they have won 3 of their 16 games. Not all of their performances have been horribly bad, but they are too inexperienced and too short of class, and as the board of directors make life difficult - for example the coach Javi Gracia wants to leave but they do not let him - there is occasionally lack of fighting spirit.

Last time Valencia won a game was 8 rounds ago with a penalty hat trick over Real Madrid, since then the results and xG look like this:

They have not been the better side in any of these games. The schedule itself has been rather difficult and admittedly Cadiz are worldbeaters either, but there is a reason to doubt if the +50% favourism for them makes any sense?

Cadiz then?

I was pretty sure they would be one of the teams relegated for sure, but they have proved me wrong and currently I am sure only about Elche going down. Cadiz are 12th with 19 points, the xG-data suggests they should have 1-2 points more and a better goal difference too. There has been a bit of unluck in both boxes, although especially vs Barcelona they were extremely lucky in the attacking one!

Their last 7 games show a worrying trend.

After winning Barcelona they have not scored in last 4 games, and looking at xG it is just about right apart from the Valladolid game. The problem with Cadiz is that they can never take the driver's seat and control the game. With their mediocre player material they need to defend deep and rely on counters, and for example Getafe and Betis denied taking any risks and it shows in the results.

Fortunately for them Valencia has been an attacking team, and as they make quite a lot of defensive mistakes they have to try to attack, and that will give Negredo and Lozano in the Cadiz attack chances to exploit. Cadiz have scored 11 goals, 10 of them from open play, mostly due individual skill of the attacking pair.

A big six-pointer at hand! If Cadiz keep Valencia out of set pieces Cadiz are strong candidates for at least a point, but as Valencia have scored 11 goals from set pieces that is the element that might decide today.

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本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

瓦伦西亚本赛季面临严重的降级威胁，主要是因为俱乐部老板选择不买任何人，而只出售——或者免费赠送球员!他们在大多数比赛中仍然有一个不错的先发阵容，但是今天新的缺席让事情变得非常复杂，看看下面的图片!

有首发门将、中后卫和一名边锋，还有一些有用的轮换球员，这使得瓦伦西亚在板凳上的选择非常有限，但首发11人仍然是一个不错的人选。

在加的斯，没有一个缺席的球员是关键人物，他们很容易被替换。中场球员萨尔维的新冠病毒检测呈阳性是最大的缺阵。

瓦伦西亚处于降级区，他们在16场比赛中赢了3场。不是所有的表演都是很坏的,但是他们太缺乏经验和太短的类,以及董事会使生活困难——例如教练杰维格雷西亚想离开但是他们不让他——偶尔缺乏战斗精神。

上次瓦伦西亚赢了一场比赛是在8轮之前，在与皇家马德里的比赛中上演了一个点球帽子戏法，从那以后的结果和小张看起来是这样的:

他们没有在任何一场比赛中表现得更好。日程安排本身就相当困难，而且无可否认加的斯也是世界之星，但我们有理由怀疑加的斯对他们的50%优待是否有意义?

加的斯呢?

我很确定他们会是降级的球队之一，但是他们已经证明我错了，目前我只确定埃尔切会降级。加的斯队以19分排在第12位，xg的数据显示他们应该多得1-2分，也有更好的进球差。两个禁区都有些运气不佳，尤其是对巴萨的进攻，他们非常幸运!

他们最近的7场比赛显示出令人担忧的趋势。

在赢了巴塞罗那之后，他们在过去的4场比赛中都没有进球，看看小泽，除了和巴利亚多利德的比赛，一切都很好。加的斯队的问题是他们永远无法掌控比赛。由于他们平庸的球员素质，他们需要防守的深度和依靠反击，例如，赫塔菲和贝蒂斯拒绝承担任何风险，这在结果中得到了体现。

幸运的是，瓦伦西亚是一支进攻型球队，他们在防守上犯了很多错误，他们不得不尝试进攻，这给了内格雷多和洛扎诺在加的斯的进攻机会。加的斯队已经进了11个球，其中10个是在公开比赛中，主要是由于这对进攻组合的个人技术。

一个巨大的6分即将到来!如果加的斯让瓦伦西亚在定位球之外，加的斯至少是一个强有力的候选人，但由于瓦伦西亚已经在定位球中打进11球，这可能是决定今天比赛的因素。