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外籍分析师
芬兰人,有自己投注模型,公开记录的2136场比赛场均盈利率超10%
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Welcome Brentford!

2021-08-13

比赛分析

英超

已完赛

星期六2021-08-14 03:00

解读理由

Class and xG

Arsenal do always sound like a top team, but in my papers they are somewhere at 6-8th in the rankings. The promoted side Brentford is rather low in most analysts papers, but if all goes well I can see them even in the top-10! Brentford have been top in all underlying data in Championship for some years, and finally they got the promotion they deserve! Pointless to talk about player value or budget with these as their approaches are completely different, Brentford like to buy cheap and grow value and class of their players. They are the prime example of “moneyball”.

Form

There is only preseason, and not much can usually be said. Brentford have played 6 games, won 4 of them including Valencia and Watford, drew with Man Utd and lost to West Ham. On the other hand Arsenal are 0-1-3, and even lost to very low class Hibernian. Not much to build self-confidence whatever the lineups!

Coaching and tactical approach

Thomas Frank at Brentford is likely to field a 5-defender line, they are good with the possession as well but now at one step bigger league the transitions will have a bigger role. At Arsenal more was expected from coach Mikel Arteta, whose performances were shaky. Arsenal are free from European football which is only a good thing, but recently Arteta has changed his favoured formation from 3-man defense to 4-2-3-1, but unless there are quick results he is under a sacking threat as most fans are not happy with him. Arsenal rely heavily on their wings, perhaps Frank knows how to block Pepe and Aubameyang?

Team news

Brentford miss midfielder Dasilva and Jensen, but top striker Toney is likely to start.

Arsenal are without cb Gabriel, defensive midfielder Partey and striker Nketiah while also defender Holding is a doubt.

Both to score, and it is likely to give Brentford at least one point tonight! 1-1.

Possible lineups


阿森纳看起来总是像一支顶级球队,但在我的定位中,他们排在第 6-8 位。升班马布伦特福德在大多数分析师的排名中相当低,但如果一切顺利,我认为甚至有可能在前 10 名中看到他们!布伦特福德在英冠联赛中一直名列前茅,他们终于升级!谈论球员价值或预算毫无意义,因为他们的方法完全不同,布伦特福德喜欢低价购买并增加球员的价值和等级。他们是这类球队的典型代表。

只看季前赛,可以说两队准备差不多。布伦特福德已经踢了6场比赛,赢得了包括瓦伦西亚和沃特福德在内的4场,与曼联打平,输给了西汉姆联。另一方面阿森纳则是1平3负,甚至输给了等级很低的希伯尼安。无论阵容如何,都无法建立自信!

布伦特福德的托马斯弗兰克可能会派出 5 名后卫,他们也擅长控球,但现在在更大的联盟中,过渡将发挥更大的作用。在阿森纳,教练米克尔·阿尔特塔(Mikel Arteta)的表现令人期待,他的表现不稳定。阿森纳摆脱了欧洲足球只是一件好事,但最近阿尔特塔将他喜欢的阵型从3人防守改为4-2-3-1,但除非有快速的结果,否则他就像大多数球迷一样面临被解雇的威胁对他不满意。阿森纳严重依赖他们的侧翼,也许弗兰克知道如何阻挡佩佩和奥巴梅扬?

布伦特福德错缺少了中场达席尔瓦和詹森,但顶级前锋托尼很可能首发。

阿森纳缺少中卫Gabriel、防守型中场 Partey 和前锋 Nketiah,而后卫 Holding 出战存疑。

预测两队都可以进球,今晚很可能至少布伦特福德可以拿到一分! 比分参考1-1。

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