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俄罗斯职业体育分析师,是欧洲最知名的分析师之一。
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One of my best leagues is back 擅长的德甲联赛回归

2021-08-13

比赛分析

德甲

已完赛

星期六2021-08-14 02:30

解读理由

Opening game of the 2021/22 Bundesliga season will see Borussia Gladbach and Bayern go face to face in a really puzzling encounter. The controversy surrounding the affair is caused by two new managers, Adi Hutter at Gladbach and Julian Nagelsman at Bayern. It is indeed tough for both the bookmakers and specialist to correctly evaluate all the changes that have occured at the reigning champions camp and hence price them up without making an error.

In my opinion the given odds give too much respect towards an average looking Gladbach side.

The club’s done nothing on the market this summer except for bringing attacking midfielder Wolf from RB Leipzig system. Otherwise their roster has the same look as at the end of 2020/21 season. What’s more, leading attacking players Embolo, Marcus Thuram, Allasane Plea are either injured or not fully fit. None of them are tipped by the German resource kicker.de to start on Friday, which leaves Gladbach with aging 32 year old sniper Stindl, average winger Hermann and returnee Laszlo Benes (from Augsburg, end of loan).

Midfield is short of ever injured Denis Zakaria.

At the back regular left fullback Bensebaini is out and will be replaced by an 18-year old Joe Scally.

So overall hosts have issues in all compartments + are under a new manager Hutter. The heritage left to him from former head coach Rose could not be called as “decent”. Gladbach were a mess towards last season, failed to finish inside European Cup zone and had no proper gameplay to offer.

Things are not too bright for Nagelsmann either. But I will start from where I finished with Gladbach - in my opinion, Nagelsmann inherits a great team left for him by Hansi Flick. It is so well tuned, that all you have to do is sit down and ride, while improving certain areas. Muller, Goretzka, Sane, Gnabry and Lewandowski are all available and should start. These are all the same players that helped Bayern reign supreme for a number of seasons.

The backline does look partially damaged and unreliable as right fullback Pavard is injured (replaced by Sarr) and should have young blood Nianzou + Upamecano start together in the centre. But to conquer these issues, as I’ve said, Gladbach frontline is not looking promising either and I doubt they’ll have much to offer to challenge Nagelsmann on his Bayern debut in the Bundesliga.

I am with visitors here and find the odds relatively interesting.


2021/22 德甲赛季的首场比赛,门兴格拉德巴赫和拜仁将会直接对决。两队是由两位新教练带领,分别是格拉德巴赫的阿迪·哈特和拜仁的朱利安·纳格尔斯曼。对于机构和专家来说,正确评估在卫冕冠军阵营中发生的所有变化并因此在不出错的情况下对其进行定价确实很困难。

在我看来,给定的指数过于尊重门兴格拉德巴赫。

除了从RB莱比锡系统引进攻击型中场沃尔夫外,俱乐部今年夏天在市场上什么也没做。他们的名单与 2020/21 赛季末的情况相同。更重要的是,领先的进攻球员 Embolo、Marcus Thuram 和 Allasane Plea 要么受伤,要么没有完全康复。德国资源 kicker.de 没有透露他们是否会首发,这让格拉德巴赫可能只能派上32 岁的狙击手 Stindl ,水平一般的边锋赫尔曼和拉兹洛·贝内斯(来自奥格斯堡,租借结束)。

中场缺少受伤的丹尼斯·扎卡里亚。

后卫常规左后卫本塞拜尼出局,将被 18 岁的乔·斯卡利取代。

所以整体都都有问题 + 在新教练许特尔的领导下。前主教练罗斯留给他的遗产不能被称为“体面”。格拉德巴赫上赛季一团糟,未能拿到欧战的资格。

对纳格尔斯曼来说,情况也不太乐观。但我将从我与格拉德巴赫结束的地方开始——在我看来,纳格尔斯曼继承了汉斯·弗里克为他留下的一支伟大的球队。他调整得非常好,他所要做的就是稳步前行,同时改善某些区域。穆勒、戈雷茨卡、萨内、格纳布里和莱万多夫斯基都可以上场。这些都是帮助拜仁在多个赛季中占据统治地位的球员。

后防确实看起来由于右后卫帕瓦德受伤(由萨尔取代),部分受损且不可靠,因此应该让年轻球员与乌帕梅卡诺一起在中路首发。但是为了克服这些问题,正如我所说的,门兴的前线看起来也不乐观,我怀疑他们在纳格尔斯曼在德甲的拜仁处子秀上有什么可以挑战的。

我看好做客的拜仁取胜。

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