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It's my best bet from Gold Cup so far! 金杯赛牙买加VS苏里南

2021-07-12

比赛分析

美金杯

已完赛

星期二2021-07-13 06:30

解读理由

In my opinion Jamaica is clear favorite of today's match up and they should be able to make 3 points here.

In overall Jamaica have really good H2H against Suriname as they won 4 of last 5 matches against them. Last time 2:1 at home in Concacaf qualifications.

Match going to be played in Orlando at Exploria Stadium. I believe this is better option for Jamaican players because many of them like Blake, Powell, Lawrence, Fisher or Burke plays in MLS and knows this ground very well. Only one player from Suriname (Leerdam) plays currently in MLS.

Because of many players from MLS and USL in squad Jamaica have other huge advantage - they have players in full match rhythm and this is extremely important. They are in good form. Striker Cory Burke scored 2 goals in last 4 matches MLS matches. Left defender Lawrence showed excellent performance in his last match for Toronto (he scored a goal). Goalkeeper Andre Blake kept clean sheet 6 times in 12 matches and will be very hard to break him down today.

Suriname is really overrated by bookies here. Of course they recorded comfortable wins against poor teams Cayman, Aruba or Bermuda (all of them outside top150 in FIFA rankings), but when they played against Canada (#91, team worse than Jamaica) they lost badly 0:4. Jamaica currently don't have a good streak, but they played against strong teams (at least one class above Suriname) like Serbia or USA and they still were able to score goals against them.

I believe Jamica shouldn't have big problems with goalscoring today. I mentioned before Burke, but even more dangerous is left-footed Leon Bailey from Bayer Leverkusen. He scored 9 goals and made 8 assists in last Bundesliga season. Suriname the most important player is team captain, central defender Ryan Donk. Of course, he is experienced player (35 years old), but his mobility is very limited and he will have big problems against quick Bailey. Jamaica scored more than one goal in their last 3 opening matches in Gold Cup. I believe they are able to continue this streak today.

This is first Gold Cup for Suriname, they don't have experience in such matches. On the other hand it's 12th Gold Cup for Jamaica, they played in semi finals in their last 3 appearances in a row. They lost in big finals in 2015 and 2017. For sure they coming with big ambitions here and they wants to start tournament in good style. I trust for them.


在我看来,牙买加显然是今天比赛的热门,他们应该能够在这里拿下 3 分。

总的来说,牙买加在对阵苏里南的比赛中表现非常出色,因为他们在过去 5 场比赛中赢了 4 场。上次他们主场2比1晋级。

比赛将在奥兰多的 Exploria 体育场进行。我相信这对牙买加球员来说是更好的选择,因为他们中的许多人像 Blake、Powell、Lawrence、Fisher 或 Burke都在美职效力,并且非常了解这里。目前苏里南 (Leerdam) 只有一名球员在美职效力。

牙买加队的许多球员还有另外巨大的优势——他们拥有良好的比赛节奏,这非常重要。他们的状态很好。前锋科里伯克在最近 4 场 美职比赛中打入 2 球。左后卫劳伦斯在最近一场比赛中表现出色(他打进一球)。守门员安德烈布莱克在 12 场比赛中 6 次保持零封,苏里南很难攻破他的球门。

苏里南被机构高估了。当然,他们在与开曼、阿鲁巴或百慕大(他们都在 FIFA 排名前 150 名之外)等实力较弱的球队中取得了轻松的胜利,但是当他们与加拿大(#91,比牙买加更糟糕的球队)交手时,他们以 0:4 惨败。牙买加目前的连胜表现并不好,但他们与塞尔维亚或美国等强队(至少比苏里南高一个级别)交手,他们仍然能够进球。

我相信 Jamica 今天的进球应该不会有大问题。我之前提到过伯克,但更危险的是来自于勒沃库森的左脚将莱昂贝利。他在上个德甲赛季打进9球并有8次助攻。苏里南最重要的球员是球队队长、中后卫莱恩·唐克。当然,他是一名经验丰富的球员(35岁),但他的机动性非常有限,面对快速的贝利,他会遇到很大的问题。牙买加最近3场金杯赛首战都打进1球以上。相信他们今天能够继续取得胜利。

这是苏里南首次参加金杯赛,他们没有这样的比赛经验。另一方面,这是牙买加第12届金杯赛,他们最近3从都打进了半决赛。他们在 2015 年和 2017 年的决赛中输球。可以肯定的是,他们是怀着雄心壮志来到这里的,他们希望以良好的状态开始比赛。我相信牙买加可以取胜。


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