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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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Brazil too good 临场 巴西vs秘鲁

2021-07-06

比赛分析

美洲杯

已完赛

星期二2021-07-06 07:00

解读理由

Brazil vs Peru

The best South American football team in my opinion Brazil face Peru for the second time in two weeks. In that match the hosts crushed Peru 4-0. I do not expect a similar final score today but still Brazil are big favorites for sure. Their odds 1.62 to win by at least two goals are not super high but still represent decent value. In fact, it is hard to find any weaknesses in Brazil at all! I have watched all their matches in this year's Copa América and am impressed indeed. Of course it was not a surprise to see one of the best, or even the perhaps the best team in the World, to perform at high level.. Their 4-0 victory over Peru did show the difference in between the teams despite 4-0 being a little too clear win for Brazil in terms of expected goals and the way the match looked liked overall. Brazil had 55% ball possesission and had seventeen scoring attempts whereas Peru had seven.The main weakness for Peru is without a doubt their defense and I strongly believe Brazil with their amazing offensive talent, Neymar in particular, will take advantage of this. Playing at home at Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos in Rio de Janeiro Brazil will not stop attacking if and probably when they take the lead making sure we have over 65% chance of winning the pick! Peru have struggled in defense even against a lot worse opponents than Brazil. They did beat Paraguay in their most recent match in penalties after a 3-3 score after ninety minutes. Once again they were far from solid in defense in that match. Overall the match was very balanced. Versus Ecuador Peru again allowed two goals and the final score was 2-2 but Ecuador were the better team and created more goal expectancy and would have deserved to win by one goal. Brazil did not have an easy time versus Chile a few days ago but this was because Gabriel Jesus was sent off early in the second half. Brazil definitely showed great character and team spirit to grab a 1-0 win as Chile are a good team and certainly better than Peru in my opinion.To sum up Peru won't likely be able to stop the Brazilian offense and as Brazil's defense is solid I see little chances for Peru to deny Brazil a very probable clash of the South American titans in the final - Argentina are huge favorites to beat Colombia in the semifinals.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,最好的南美球队巴西将在两周内第二次面对秘鲁。在那场比赛中,东道主以4比0大胜秘鲁。我不希望今天有类似的进球,但巴西肯定是大热门。他们赢下至少两个球的几率是1.62,虽然不是非常高,但仍然代表着不错的价值。事实上,在巴西很难找到任何弱点!我看了他们今年所有的杯赛América,印象深刻。当然,看到世界上最好的球队之一,甚至可能是世界上最好的球队在高水平上表现,并不令人惊讶。4-0战胜秘鲁确实显示了两支球队之间的差异,尽管4-0的胜利对巴西队来说有点太明显了,从预期的进球和比赛的整体观感来看。巴西队有55%的控球率,17次得分,而秘鲁只有7次。毫无疑问,秘鲁的主要弱点是他们的防守,我坚信巴西队有着惊人的进攻天赋,尤其是内马尔,他们会利用这一点。在桑托斯奥林匹克体育场的主场比赛中,如果巴西队取得领先,我们将有超过65%的机会赢得选秀权,那么他们将不会停止进攻。即使面对比巴西更糟糕的对手,秘鲁的防守也很困难。在最近的一场点球大战中,90分钟后他们以3比3的比分击败了巴拉圭。在那场比赛中,他们的防守再一次不牢靠。总的来说,比赛非常平衡。在对阵厄瓜多尔的比赛中,秘鲁又丢了两个球,最终比分是2-2,但厄瓜多尔是更好的球队,创造了更多的进球预期,本应该以一球的优势获胜。巴西在几天前与智利的比赛中并不轻松,但这是因为加布里埃尔·赫苏斯在下半场一开始就被红牌罚下。巴西无疑展示了伟大的品格和团队精神,以1-0取胜,智利是一支好球队,在我看来肯定比秘鲁更好。总结秘鲁不太可能有能力阻止巴西进攻和巴西的防守坚固我看到小秘鲁否认巴西的机会很可能冲突的南美巨头在最后,阿根廷是巨大的收藏在半决赛中击败哥伦比亚。

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