I waited with this bet until last moment because I wanted to see the most possible line ups and the latest odds movements for today's match up.

In last day or so odda slashed down really hard on Italy and that was very reasonable. There was information about unavailability of two key Belgium players De Bruyne and Eden Hazard. Public start heading into Italy win. According to the latest updates Kevin De Bruyne from Manchester City will start in first squad today. This is fantastic info for Belgium as he is one of the best player on the world. Belgium slashed down by 0.15 in last an hour on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and I fully agree with that trend. I expect even bigger drops prior to the kick off.

In overall there is no big difference between both teams teams and without any shadow of doubt value is on Belgium side. They won all 4 matches so far in this tournament and conceded only one goal, against in-form Denmark. Belgium is #1 in FIFA ranking for a reason. Italy is great as a team, but in my opinion they don't have a better players in overall. In last round they had some problems against Austria because they needed extra time to win.

Belgium is able to avoid loss in 90 minutes, especially with De Bruyne on the pitch.