Confianca SE vs Coritiba PR

I expect a balanced match here so odds on visitors are too high. First of all the match is played at Arena Batistão without spectators because of Covid-19 situation so home advantage is very small here. Coritiba are in great form having won three of their latest matches. They have beaten Guarani 2-0 both Vitoria and Villa Nova 1-0. Coritiba have indeed played well especially defensively. Indeed, they have not allowed a goal for in their three most recent matches. In their most recent match Guarani did have sixteen scoring attempts and would have deserved a goal and perhaps a draw would have been a justified reult. However, they certainly don't allow their opponenets too many dangarous scoring chances and Guarani only had four shots on target despite being solid favorites in this match. Coritiba didn't dominate the match in any of the latest three matches but we should not be too worried about this as they clearly have tactics that work in most matches. They are very dangerous in counter attacks which, I believe, will hurt Confiance today. At the end of the day the key for grabbing at least a draw today which would mean we win our Coritiba +0.5 handicap bet will be rock-solid defense.

Confianca have not scored in their two most recent matches and are in disappointinf form. They have won only one of their latest five matches. The hosts were badly dominated in an away match versus Operario in their latest match. Yes, they were underdogs in that match but ball possession was 64-36% and both scoring chances and attempts were strongly in the hosts's favor. There is no qustion it was a disappointing performance. If they don't find something new especially in offense for today's match they likely won't win. Before the Operario match they beat Vila Nova at home 1-0 as clear favorites but that was not a particularly convincing performace either. Vila Nova conrelled the ball (61-39% possession) and in general the match was pretty balanced. On the 20th of June they were clearly the worse team versus Sampaio Correa losing 1-3 and defended quite badly. They will have to be a lot more solid especially in defense to take a win versus in-form Coritiba. However, having said all this the hosts do have potential for better and are slim favorites in today's match but value is definitely on the visitors +0.5 goals.

我预测这是一场平衡的比赛，所以来访者的几率太高了。首先，由于 Covid-19 的情况，比赛在没有观众的 Arena Batistão 进行，因此主场优势非常小。科里蒂巴在最近的三场比赛中状态良好。他们以 2-0 击败了瓜拉尼和维多利亚 1-0。科里蒂巴确实打得很好，尤其是在防守端。事实上，他们在最近的三场比赛中都没有进球。在他们最近的比赛中，瓜拉尼确实有 16 次得分尝试，本应打进一球，也许平局是合理的结果。然而，他们当然不会让对手有太多危险的得分机会，尽管瓜拉尼在这场比赛中是绝对的热门，但只有四次射门。科里蒂巴在最近的三场比赛中都没有统治比赛，但我们不应该太担心这一点，因为他们的战术显然适用于大多数比赛。他们非常危险反击，我相信，今天会伤害 Confiance。归根结底，今天至少获得平局的关键是坚如磐石的防守，这意味着我们赢得指数。

康菲加最近两场比赛都没有进球，状态令人失望。他们最近的五场比赛只赢了一场。东道主在最近一场客场对 Operario 的比赛中表现不佳。是的，他们在那场比赛中处于劣势，但控球率为 64-36%，得分机会和尝试都对东道主有利。毫无疑问，这是一场令人失望的表演。如果他们在今天的比赛中没有找到新的东西，特别是在进攻端，他们很可能不会赢。在 Operario 比赛之前，他们在主场 1-0 击败 Vila Nova 作为明显的热门，但这也不是特别令人信服的表现。 Vila Nova 控球（61-39% 控球率），总体来说比赛相当平衡。他们在 6 月 20 日很明显，与桑帕约科雷亚的比赛中表现较差的球队以 1-3 输掉了比赛，防守也很糟糕。他们必须更加稳固，尤其是在防守端，才能战胜状态良好的科里蒂巴。然而，话虽如此，东道主确实有潜力变得更好，但客队更有机会赢下比赛。