It's the final game in group C where the Netherlands as hosts are leading the group, while visitors from N.Macedonia are bottom-placed and without chances to move further. Sounds crazy, but yes, I am putting my stakes on Macedonia +1.5 Asian handicap.

The Netherlands secured the next stage of EURO 2020 with 2 wins in the first 2 games so they will be rotating their squad for this match to keep their most important players healthy and ready for the next phase. In both games, the Netherlands showed great attacking ability but their defensive positioning is not best. They conceded two vs Ukraine but were lucky to have a clean sheet versus Austria. It's a traditional and well-known thing that Dutch teams are always lacking instability in defense. That's because they put a lot of focus on the attacking phase, for 2/3 and 3/3 of the pitch - focus on movement when their teams have the ball in their legs. Their philosophy is ball possession and everything is cool when they have a ball but concentration is not so high on defensive tasks in Dutch DNA. Anyway, they are for sure heavy favorites to win this game, but let's first speak a little bit about visitors.

North Macedonia is one of the three weakest sides in the tournament but they showed great heart in both matches against Ukraine and Austria. They scored in both games, which can be considered a success. The thing with this side is lack of experience in big competitions, which made them making some basic mistakes in first games which later produced goals for their opponents. It could be because Macedonians had a hidden ambition to reach the next stage and obviously, some of the players were scared for such a big task. Their temperament did not help this time either. However, even qualification to EURO 2020 is a huge success for the nation. Don't think that they are disappointed with this result - I spoke with few people from the country and there is not a single bad vibe towards the national team. Fans in Macedonia are expecting a motivated side today, the side that will go 101% to get at least 1 point at this tournament. Important info - captain of North Macedonia Goran Pandev will play today his last game ever for the national team and is a special moment for the whole nation as he is a real hero in his country. Teammates will be definitely motivated to prove their worth and help their captain to create a good result against a reputable opponent as the Netherlands definitely is, in his last game.

The game will take place in Amsterdam, where the Dutch team looks good, still, there will be no 100% pushing from the home side. But don't get me wrong, it doesn't mean the Netherlands will not attack and look for goals- it just means they will be with a rotated side and even opponents from N.Macedonia will ask for an open game. So, I think we will see a couple of goals in this match, the open match is expected. No doubt, the home team is a huge favorite to win this one, but I think there is a hidden value in backing handicap on visitors not to lose by 2 or more goals. In the end, I can imagine two results which will help the bet to be won: 3-2 for Netherlands or 2-2 draw.

Keep the stakes below average for this one, it's a risky pick - but with a value in my eyes, still, it's worth a shot. Best, Aleksandar

这是C组的最后一场比赛，东道主荷兰队领跑小组，而来自北马其顿排名垫底，没有机会晋级。看起来很疯狂，但是我还是看好北马其顿不会输2球以上。

荷兰在前 2 场比赛中取得 2 场胜利，确保了晋级欧洲杯的下一阶段，因此他们将在本场比赛中轮换阵容，以保持他们最重要的球员健康，并为下一阶段做好准备。两场比赛，荷兰队都展现出了强大的进攻能力，但他们的防守并不是最好的。他们在对乌克兰的比赛中丢了两球，但很幸运在对阵奥地利的比赛中没有失球。荷兰队在防守上总是缺乏稳定性，这是一个传统的、众所周知的事情。那是因为他们非常注重进攻，他们的理念是控球，当他们有球时，一切都顺利，但在荷兰的 DNA 中，防守任务并没有那么重。无论如何，他们肯定是赢得这场比赛的热门，让我们再来看看客队。

北马其顿是本届赛事中最弱的三支球队之一，但他们在对阵乌克兰和奥地利的两场比赛中都表现出了极大的热情。他们在两场比赛中都取得了进球，可以说是成功的。他们的问题是缺乏大型比赛的经验，这使得他们在第一场比赛中犯了一些基本错误，后来为对手创造了进球。可能是因为马其顿人有进入下一阶段的隐藏野心，显然一些球员对这么重要的任务感到害怕。然而获得 2020 年欧洲杯的资格对这个国家来说已经是一个巨大的成功。不要认为他们对这个结果感到失望——我和这个国家的几个友人交谈过，他们对国家队没有任何不好的感觉。马其顿的球迷期待着今天有一支积极进取的球队，这支球队将以 101% 的努力在本次比赛中获得至少 1 分。重要的信息 - 北马其顿队长 Goran Pandev 今天将参加他为国家队效力的最后一场比赛，这对整个国家来说都是一个特殊的时刻，因为他是国家的真正英雄。队友们肯定会被激励去证明自己的价值，并帮助他们的队长在与荷兰队的最后一场比赛中创造一个好成绩。

比赛将在阿姆斯特丹举行，荷兰队看起来很不错，但主队不会100%投入。但是不要误会我的意思，这并不意味着荷兰不会进攻 - 这只是意味着他们将轮换阵容，北马其顿也会打的更加开放。所以我认为我们会在这场比赛中看到更多的进球。毫无疑问，主队是赢得这场比赛的大热门，但我认为支持让客队会输2球以上。最后，我认为两个可能的比分：预测荷兰 3-2 或 2-2 平局。

最好把本金保持在平均水平以下，这是一个冒险的选择 - 但在我看来仍然值得一试。祝好运