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外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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5/5 last WON in this league! $$$

2024-12-02

比赛分析

解读理由

Independiente Rivadavia VS Argentinos Juniors



Ind. Rivadavia and Argentinos Juniors lock horns in this Liga Profesional round 25 battle at Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini in Mendoza Tuesday morning Beijing time. This is the first tier of Argentinian football. The level of this league is high by global standards – but as a whole it is still somewhat far from that of the top-7 leagues.. A match of worse than average quality by this league's standard's is on the cards here,.. Most importantly, we have a very promising betting opportunity here! We have won the last five picks betting on this league! There is no doubt about the fact that Argentinos Juniors are the better team in terms of pure class here.. I will not let the standings fool me, as most of my fans are probably aware of by now.. In the Copa de la Liga Profesional, which was played before Liga Profesional started, Argentinos Juniors were hugely better than Ind. Rivadavia. Indeed, Rivadavia finished in last place in Group A with a pathetic eight points to their account. Their score difference was terrible, 13:25 to be precise. Argentinos Juniors, too, played in the Group A, finishing in 2nd place, qualifying for the Playoffs. They took 26 points and had a great score difference of 25:14. It is true that in the Liga Profesional Argentinos Juniors have been a disappointment so far. Indeed, they are in 24th place in this league with a total of 28 clubs. They have grabbed 26 points but their number of expected points (xPTS) is much bigger. Their score difference is 18:24. However, their number of expected goals (xG) is 22.35. The hosts currently occupy the17th place in the standings with 31 points in their pocket.. They have netted the ball 19 times, which is a pretty low number.. They especially lack individual skill and speed in offense.. Their defence, however, has been pretty solid - better than I would have expected in my in-depth preseason analysis.. Silly defensive mistakes have not been too common. They have conceded 24 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is still somewhat bigger.


Yes, Ind. Rivadavia have won two of their last three games but I will not get carried away by these wins.. In their last game they were lucky to beat Belgrano 2-0 on the road. The hosts recorded many more goal attempts (17-9), shots on goal, shots off target, total passes and completed passes!. Before this they upset River Plate at home - as big underdogs on the betting market - despite having only 35% ball possession. River Plate were strangely imbalanced on the pitch in this game where both teams recorded a big number of goal attempts, 27-19. Yes, the hosts do deserve some credit for their performance but the bookies seem to have overreacted to this win. Ind. Rivadavia very rarely perform this well.. Let's also remember that according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Argentinos Juniors are the bigger team here – by a substantial margin. Indeed, their players have an estimated total market value of some 32 million euros, which is slightly too low.. Some 37 million would be a more accurate number.. The Ind. Rivadavia squad is valued at around 13 million, which is a bit too low though.. Odds of over 2.60 are available on the away win here but we will take the visitors +0.5 goals handicap option with a big chance of winning – once again. They deserve to be quite clear favourites here! Before beating River Plate, Ind. Rivadavia lost to Racing Club 1-2 away from home. The hosts deserved to win - recording many more goal attempts (19-7) and shots on goal – 11-3. Before this they played two draws in a row. In round 20 they were lucky to get even a point from Estudiantes L.P away from home. Indeed, the hosts recorded 10 more goal attempts than the visitors!




GOOD LUCK!



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里瓦达维亚独立队VS阿根廷青年队



北京时间周二上午,里瓦达维亚队和阿根廷青年队在门多萨的胡安·包蒂斯塔·加尔甘蒂尼球场展开了西甲职业联赛第25轮的激战。这是阿根廷足球的第一梯队。按照全球标准来看,这个联赛的水平是很高的,但从整体上看,它与排名前七的联赛相比还有很大的差距。以联盟的标准来看,一场低于平均水平的比赛是有可能的。最重要的是,我们在这里有一个非常有前途的赌博机会!我们赌这个联赛赢了过去的五次签!毫无疑问,阿根廷青年队是一支实力更强的球队。我不会让排名欺骗我,因为我的大多数粉丝现在可能已经意识到…在职业联赛开始前举行的职业联赛杯(Copa de la Liga professional)上,阿根廷青年队的表现远远好于里瓦达维亚队(Ind Rivadavia)。事实上,里瓦达维亚以可怜的8分在A组垫底。他们的比分差太大了,准确地说是13:25。阿根廷青年队也参加了A组比赛,以第二名的成绩晋级季后赛。他们拿了26分,分差达到了25:14。到目前为止,阿根廷青年队在西甲的表现确实令人失望。事实上,他们在这个联赛中排名第24位,共有28家俱乐部。他们拿到了26分,但他们的预期积分(xPTS)要多得多。他们的比分差是18:24。然而,他们的预期目标数(xG)是22.35。东道主目前以31分的成绩排在积分榜第17位。他们只有19次进球,这是一个相当低的数字。他们尤其缺乏个人技术和进攻速度。然而,他们的防守相当稳固——比我在季前赛的深入分析中所预期的要好。愚蠢的防守失误并不常见。他们丢了24个球,但他们的预期失球数(xGA)仍然要大一些。


是的,里瓦达维亚队最近三场比赛赢了两场,但我不会被这些胜利冲昏了头。在上一场比赛中,他们很幸运地在客场以2比0击败贝尔格拉诺。东道主的进球次数(17胜9负)、射正次数、射偏次数、总传球次数和完成传球次数都更多。在此之前,尽管他们只有35%的控球率,但他们在主场击败了河床队——在博彩市场上是大输家。河床队在这场比赛中表现出了奇怪的不平衡,两队都有27-19的进球。是的,东道主的表现确实值得称赞,但博彩公司似乎对这场胜利反应过度了。印度里瓦达维亚很少表现得这么好…让我们也记住,根据一个著名和受人尊敬的德国网站,Transfermarkt.com,阿根廷青年队在这里是更大的球队-以相当大的优势。事实上,他们球员的总市值估计在3200万欧元左右,这个数字略低。大约3700万是更准确的数字。印度里瓦达维亚队的价值约为1300万欧元,这有点太低了。客场获胜的赔率超过2.60,但我们将采取客队+0.5个进球障碍的选项,有很大的获胜机会-再一次。他们在这里应该是非常明显的最爱!在击败河床队之前,印第安纳州里瓦达维亚队客场1-2输给了赛马会。东道主当之无愧地赢得了胜利——他们的进球次数(19胜7负)和射正次数(11胜3负)都更多。在此之前,他们连续打了两场平局。在第20轮比赛中,他们很幸运地在客场从estudeantes L.P那里得到了一分。事实上,主队的进球次数比客队多10次!




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