Brondby IF VS Aalborg

Brondby host Aalborg in this Danish Superliga round 17 clash at Brøndby Stadion very early Saturday morning Beijing time. he level of this league is above average by European standards. A match better than average quality by this league's standard's is on the cards here. Sure, Brondby are the better team in terms of pure class. However, I struggle to understand the odds of around 1.40-1.43 on the home win offered by the biggest bookies – with the largest stake limits. We will take the Aalborg +1.5 goals handicap. Brondby have not met the (high) expectations so far. Indeed, they are only in the 7th place in the standings. They have grabbed 24 points. They have scored a fine 30 goals but their number of expected goals (xG) is smaller. Their defence has not been very solid – they have allowed 22 goals. They have been surprisingly vulnerable to fast counter attacks.. This is something Aalborg are, in fact, pretty good at. I expect them to be pretty defensive here – waiting for Brondby to make a mistake.. Aalborg have been decent this season, taking 18 points. Their score difference is 17:30. They have potential for limited improvement though...

Brondby have won onlt two of their last six games. Two of their last games have been draws. They were disappointing in their last game, against Sonderjyske on the road. Brondby were priced around 1.50-1.55 to win by the bookies but it was a 2-2 draw. However, the hosts had 53.40% ball possession and generated more in xG – 2.12-1.24 to be precise! Before this, Brondby were priced around 2.00 to beat Nordsjaelland at home. This was obviously too low.. The visitors had 66.20% ball possession and recorded mpre shots on goal – 4-2. The xG numbers were 1.33-1.34. In round 14 Brondby defeated Midtjylland 5-1 away from home but the ball possession was 50-50% and Brondby had just two more goal attempts – 16-14. The xG numbers were 2.45-1.93 in the visitors favour. Indeed, the final score is very misleading. We must give Aalborg some credit for nor losing any of their last five games! In their last game they faced Viborg at home as pretty clear underdogs on the betting market. No goals were scored, Viborg defended very well in this game. Consequently, Aalborg managed only two shots on goal – Viborg managed four. Before this Aalborg faced Lyngby on the road as underdogs and took a point though a 2-2 draw. The xG numbers were 2.13-1.84 in Aalborg's favour. In round 14 Aalborg would have deserved a win over Vejle at home but it was a 3-3 draw. The xG numbers were 2.94-0.71! On the 30th of last month, Aalborg were solid, beating Esbjerg 2-0 away from home. It was a Landspokal clash.

GOOD LUCK!

布朗比VS奥尔堡

北京时间周六凌晨，丹麦超级联赛第17轮的比赛将在布隆德比球场举行，布隆德比主场迎战奥尔堡。按照欧洲的标准，这个联赛的水平高于平均水平。一场高于联盟平均水平的比赛是有可能的。当然，从纯粹的等级来看，布隆德比是更好的球队。然而，我很难理解最大的博彩公司提供的主场胜利的赔率约为1.40-1.43 -最大的赌注限制。我们将采取奥尔堡+1.5个进球的障碍。到目前为止，布朗比还没有达到人们的（高）期望。事实上，他们只排在第7位。他们已经拿到了24分。他们打进了30个进球，但他们的预期进球数（xG）更少。他们的防守不太稳固，他们丢了22个球。面对快速反击，他们出奇地脆弱。事实上，这是奥尔堡人非常擅长的。我希望他们在这里保持相当的防守——等待布隆德比犯错。奥尔堡本赛季表现不错，拿到了18分。他们的比分差是17:30。不过，它们的改进潜力有限……

布隆德比在过去的六场比赛中只赢了两场。他们最近的两场比赛都是平局。他们在上一场客场对阵桑德兰斯克的比赛中表现得令人失望。博彩公司将布隆比的胜率定在1.50-1.55左右，但结果是2-2平局。然而，主队拥有53.40%的控球率，准确地说，在xG - 2.12-1.24中产生了更多的进球！在此之前，布隆德比在主场击败北荷兰的价格在2.00左右。这显然太低了…客队的控球率为66.20%，并以4-2的比分取得了6次射门。xG值为1.33 ~ 1.34。在第14轮比赛中，布隆德比客场5-1击败了米德日兰，但控球率是50-50%，布隆德比只尝试了两次进球，16-14。对客队有利的xG值是2.45-1.93。事实上，最后的分数很容易误导人。我们必须给奥尔堡一些信任，他们在过去的五场比赛中没有输掉任何一场！在上一场比赛中，他们在主场面对维堡，在博彩市场上他们显然处于劣势。没有进球，维堡在这场比赛中防守很好。结果，奥尔堡只有2次射正，而维堡有4次射正。在此之前，奥尔堡在客场对阵林比的比赛中处于劣势，并以2比2的比分取得一分。奥尔堡队的xG值为2.13-1.84。在第14轮，奥尔堡本可以在主场战胜维耶勒，但最终以3-3战平。xG值为2.94-0.71！上个月30日，奥尔堡在客场2-0击败埃斯比约，表现稳健。这是陆地上的冲突。

好运！