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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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A GREAT match to bet on! $$$ 欧冠 利物浦VS皇马

2024-11-28

比赛分析

解读理由

Liverpool VS Real Madrid



Liverpool welcome Real Madrid for this UEFA Champions League (UCL) round 5 clash at Anfield Road early Thursday morning Beijing time. This the best of UEFA's three club competitions. In my expert opinion, Liverpool are a top-3 team in the world at the moment. Real Madrid, of course, are big and strong as well – at least with their best – or even close to the best lineup. However, they are missing several very important players, a top-3 player in the world, Vinicius Junior, being the most important absentee. Alaba, Carvajal, Militao, Rodrygo and Tchouameni are out as well. As for Liverpool, Alisson, the goalkeepers, Chiesa, Diogo Jota and Tsimikas are out. Even so, a game of only elite quality by this league's standard's is expected here. Most importantly, us serious, profit-hungry bettors have yet another very promising betting opportunity here! My fans and I have won 9/12 last picks betting on the UCL. Liverpool have won seven games in a row in front of their loud and very enthusiastic fans who are among the best in the world! With the expected lineups, taking the huge home advantage into account, I see Liverpool as clear favourites here. Odds of around 1.80 are available on the home win. Liverpool currently top the English Premier League – the best league in the world- standings with a whopping 31 points to their account. That's eight more than Man City, 2nd place, have taken! Liverpool's score difference is clearly the best in this league – 24:8 to be precise. Real Madrid, on the other hand, have not met the very high expectations so far this season. Toni Kroos retiring after the EURO 2024 has had a big negative effect on their game – most specifically the balance in midfield. Luka Modric, at nearly 40 years old, is already too old and slow for this level. Real are in 2nd place in the Spanish LaLiga and have a score difference of 28:11. They have been lucky in terms of both expected goals (xG) and expected goals allowed (xG). Their number of expected points (xPTS) is "only" 24.02.


Liverpool have won a stunning 13/14 their last games and must be sky-high in confidence! In their last game, last Sunday, they were, however, not at their best, despite beating Southampton 3-2 on the road. The xG numbers were 3.32-1.45 in their favour. Before this they comfortably beat a dangerous team, Aston Villa, 2-0 at home, allowing the visitors only two shots on goal. In round 4 of the UCL Liverpool destroyed a strong German team, the reigning champions of Bundesliga, Bayer Leverkusen, 4-0 at home. Liverpool generated over 4.00 in xG. Liverpool have won all four games in the UCL, scoring 10 goals and allowing just one! In round 10 of the English Premier League Liverpool were poor in the first half at home against Brighton, but improved in the 2nd half, proving their class. 2-1 was the final score. Real Madrid have won two twice and lost two times in their last four games. In the UCL they have taken six points and are in 21st place. In their last game they beat a small team, Leganes, 3-0 on the road as big favourites. They generated 1.93 in xG. In their last UCL Real lost to AC Milan 1-3 as big favourites on the betting market. Before this, the "Los Blancos" were priced around 2.00 to beat Barcelona at home but were terrible - especially defensively -  losing 0-4! Barca recorded many more goal attempts, shots on target and shots off goal. The xG numbers were 2.77-1.55 in the visitors favour!




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利物浦VS皇家马德里



北京时间周四凌晨,利物浦将在安菲尔德路迎来欧冠第5轮对阵皇马的比赛。这是欧足联三场俱乐部比赛中最好的一场。在我看来,利物浦现在是世界排名前三的球队。当然,皇家马德里也很高大强壮——至少在他们最好的时候——甚至接近最好的阵容。然而,他们缺少了几位非常重要的球员,世界排名前三的小维尼修斯是最重要的缺阵球员。阿拉巴、卡瓦哈尔、米里陶、罗德里戈和楚瓦梅尼也将缺席。至于利物浦,阿利松、门将、基耶萨、约塔和齐米卡斯都将缺席。即便如此,一场符合联盟标准的精英水准的比赛还是值得期待的。最重要的是,我们这些认真的、渴望利润的投注者在这里又有了一个非常有前途的投注机会!我和我的球迷在最近的欧冠比赛中赢了9/12。利物浦已经在世界上最好的球迷面前赢得了七连胜!考虑到预期的阵容,考虑到巨大的主场优势,我认为利物浦显然是夺冠热门。主场获胜的赔率约为1.80。利物浦目前在世界上最好的联赛——英超联赛中以惊人的31分排名第一。这比第二名曼城多了8个席位!利物浦的比分差距显然是联赛中最大的——确切地说是24:8。另一方面,皇马本赛季到目前为止并没有达到很高的期望。托尼·克罗斯在2024年欧洲杯后退役对他们的比赛产生了很大的负面影响,尤其是中场的平衡。莫德里奇已经快40岁了,对于这个水平来说已经太老太慢了。皇马目前在西甲联赛中排名第二,两队的比分差距为28:11。他们在预期进球(xG)和预期进球(xG)方面都很幸运。他们的期望点数(xPTS)“只有”24.02。


利物浦在最近的比赛中取得了惊人的13/14的胜利,他们一定信心十足!在上周日的最后一场比赛中,尽管客场3-2击败南安普顿,但他们并没有发挥出最佳状态。他们的xG值为3.32-1.45。在此之前,他们在主场以2-0轻松击败了一支危险的球队阿斯顿维拉,只让客队射进了两球。在欧冠联赛第4轮,利物浦主场4-0击败德甲卫冕冠军勒沃库森。利物浦在xG中产生了超过4.00。利物浦在欧冠四场比赛全胜,进10球只丢1球!在英超联赛第10轮,利物浦在主场对阵布莱顿的比赛中上半场表现不佳,但下半场有所改善,证明了他们的实力。2比1是最终比分。皇马在最近4场比赛中2胜2负。在欧冠联赛中,他们拿到了6分,排在第21位。在上一场比赛中,他们在客场以3比0击败了一支小球队莱加内斯,成为夺冠热门。在xG中生成1.93。在上一届欧冠联赛中,皇马以1-3不敌AC米兰,成为博彩市场上的热门球队。在此之前,“白衣军团”在主场击败巴塞罗那的价格在2.00左右,但表现糟糕——尤其是在防守端——0-4输掉了比赛!巴萨记录了更多的进球尝试、射正和射偏。比分是2.77比1.55,客队获胜!


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