Crvena Zvezda VS VfB Stuttgart

Crvena Zvezda (Red Star Belgrade) welcome Stuttgart for this UEFA Champions League (UCL) round 5 clash at Stadion Rajko Mitić very early Thursday morning Beijing time. This the best of UEFA's three club competitions. In my expert opinion, Red Star are the second-worst team in terms of pure class in this league. A game of only mediocre quality by this league's standard's is expected here – mainly because of the substantial difference in class between these two teams. Most importantly, us serious, profit-hungry bettors have yet another very promising betting opportunity here! My fans and I have won 8/10 last picks betting on this league – at the time of posting this preview. According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Stuttgart are the bigger team here – by a big margin! Indeed, their players have an estimated total market value of some 313 million euros, which is still a bit too low.. Some 345 million would be a more accurate number. The Red Star squad is valued at only around 79 million. This is a very small number by the UCL standards – but it's still slightly too high. Some 70 million would be a more realistic number.   Based on my sophisticated, strongly data-based expert analysis, Stuttgart have a 64% chance of taking all three points. Odds of slightly over 1.70 are available on the betting market! The hosts have lost all four games in the UCL so far and surely are not feeling confident ahead of this massive challenge. They have scored four goals but have conceded a whopping 16 goals – which is the biggest number in this league! In some games their defence has looked pretty amateurish.. Stuttgart have taken four points and have a score difference of 3:6. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is definitely bigger. They have scored three goals and have conceded six goals. They have been unlucky in terms of both expected goals (xG) and expected goals allowed (xGA).

Yes, Red Star top the Serbian Super Liga standings with 40 points but their number of xPTS is smaller.. Most importantly, this league is light-years worse than the German Bundesliga,the third-best league in the world. Last season Stuttgart were incredibly well, finishing in 2nd place! They even took more points than the biggest team in Germany, Bayern Munich!  This season they have, as expected, not been as strong.. They are in 9th place but their number of xPTS is 20.02. They have scored 21 goals but their number of xG is 23.57. Stuttgart have conceded 19 goals and their xGA is 18.02. I expect Stuttgart to climb up the standings as the season progresses! In their last game Stuttgart easily beat Bochum 2-0 at home. They had close to 60% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal (5-2), shots off goal and corner kicks. The xG numbers were 2.11-0.52. Before this they were very unlucky to lose to Frankfurt 2-3 at home. They recorded a whopping 22 goal attempts – and also had many more shots on target, shots off goal and corner kicks. The xG numbers were 2.94-1.45. In round 4 of the UCL Stuttgart were not at their best, losing to in-form Atalanta 0-2 at home. Atalanta were sharper in attacks and deserved to win. However, Stuttgart recorded one more goal attempt and should have scored once.. In round 3 of the UCL Stuttgart were excellent, despite beating Juventus only 1-0 away from. Stuttgart were priced around 4.00 to win by the bookies but recorded an impressive 22 goal attempts, Juventus had only seven! Moreover, the Germans record hugely more shots on goal – 10-1 to be precise. I was impressed with the way Stuttgart shut down the Italians' offense. Indeed, Juventus generated just 0.27 in xG – Stuttgart managed close to 3.00! Yes, Juventus' Danilo was sent off in the 84th minute but the Germans were in control on the pitch even before the sending off.. In the UCL opening round Stuttgart lost to the reigning champions of Europe 1-3 away from home but pushed the overwhelming favourites, the "Los Blancos" well. The score was 1-1 pretty late into the 2nd half.. The visitors even had more shots off goal. Real Madrid had just one more shot on target and generated only a little more in xG.

In their last game, Red Star took a narrow 1-0 away win over OFK Beograd. Red Star were, once again overvalued by the bookies -  priced around 1.10-1.12 to win..  The hosts - very surprisingly - even recorded more shots on goal – the visitors had many mpre goal attempts but did not really impress me as a whole.. In round 4 of the UCL Red Star had no chance at all at home against Barcelona. The hosts generated only 0.32 in xG – Barca managed 3.98. Red Star had just two shots on goal – and lost 2-5. In the UCL round 3 Monaco crushed Red Star 5-1 at Stade Louis II. The Serbs' defence looked almost hilariously vulnerable in this game! In round 2 of the UCL Inter beat Red Star 4-0 in Milan, despite not even beating their best. In the UCL opening round, Red Star were not terrible but their lack of individual skill and ability to deal with the UCL tempo, cost them all three points.. 1-2 was the final score at Stadion Rajko Mitić.  Benfica generated moderately more in xG..

I will be posting many more top-quality expert analyses on Wednesday!

GOOD LUCK!

该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:

塞维利亚VS斯图加特

北京时间周四凌晨，贝尔格莱德红星队将在拉季科米蒂奇球场迎来与斯图加特的欧冠第5轮比赛。这是欧足联三场俱乐部比赛中最好的一场。在我的专家看来，红星队是这个联赛中第二差的球队。以联盟的标准来看，这将是一场质量一般的比赛——主要是因为这两支球队在级别上的巨大差异。最重要的是，我们这些认真的、渴望利润的投注者在这里又有了一个非常有前途的投注机会！我和我的粉丝们在这个联赛的最后一次投注中赢了8/10 -在发布这个预览的时候。根据著名的德国网站Transfermarkt.com，斯图加特在这里是一支更大的球队——以很大的优势！事实上，他们球员的总市值估计约为3.13亿欧元，这仍然有点太低了。大约3.45亿是更准确的数字。红星队的身价仅为7900万英镑左右。按照伦敦大学学院的标准，这是一个非常小的数字，但仍然有点太高了。大约7000万是一个更现实的数字。根据我老练的、基于数据的专家分析，斯图加特有64%的机会拿到全部三分。在投注市场上，赔率略高于1.70 ！到目前为止，东道主在欧冠联赛中输掉了四场比赛，面对这场巨大的挑战，他们肯定没有信心。他们进了4个球，但丢了16个球——这是联赛中最多的！在一些比赛中，他们的防守看起来相当业余。斯图加特已经拿到了4分，目前的比分差距是3:6。然而，它们的期望值点数（xPTS）肯定更大。他们进了三球，丢了六球。他们在预期进球（xG）和预期进球（xGA）方面都不走运。

是的，红星以40分排名塞尔维亚超级联赛榜首，但他们的xPTS数量更少…最重要的是，这个联赛比世界第三好的联赛德甲还要糟糕好几光年。上个赛季，斯图加特的表现令人难以置信地好，他们获得了第二名！他们甚至比德国最大的球队拜仁慕尼黑拿了更多的分！这个赛季，正如预期的那样，他们并没有那么强大。他们排在第9位，但他们的xPTS数量是20.02。他们进了21个球，但他们的进球数是23.57。斯图加特丢了19个球，他们的xGA是18.02。我希望斯图加特能随着赛季的进展而上升！在上一场比赛中，斯图加特主场2-0轻松击败波鸿。他们的控球率接近60%，并且有更多的进球尝试、射正（5-2）、射偏和角球。xG值为2.11 ~ 0.52。在此之前，他们非常不幸地在主场2-3输给了法兰克福。他们的进球尝试次数高达22次，而且射正、射偏和角球的次数也更多。xG值为2.94 ~ 1.45。在欧冠联赛第四轮，斯图加特状态不佳，在主场0-2不敌状态良好的亚特兰大。亚特兰大的进攻更加犀利，他们理应获胜。然而，斯图加特又尝试了一次进球，本应该进一次的。在欧冠联赛第三轮，斯图加特表现出色，尽管他们在客场仅以1-0击败了尤文图斯。博彩公司对斯图加特的胜率定在4.00左右，但他们却有令人印象深刻的22次进球，而尤文图斯只有7次！此外，德国队的射门次数要多得多——准确地说，是10比1。我对斯图加特压制意大利进攻的方式印象深刻。事实上，尤文图斯在g赛季只创造了0.27个进球，而斯图加特却创造了接近3.00个进球！是的，尤文图斯的达尼洛在第84分钟被罚下，但德国人甚至在被罚下之前就已经控制了球场。在欧冠联赛的首轮比赛中，斯图加特客场1-3不敌欧洲卫冕冠军，但却力推热门球队“白衣军团”。下半场结束时比分是1比1。客队的射门次数甚至更多。皇马只多了一次射正，在xG上也只多了一点。

在上一场比赛中，红星队客场1-0险胜OFK贝尔格莱德队。红星队再次被博彩公司高估了，他们的价格在1.10-1.12左右。令人惊讶的是，主队的射门次数甚至更多，客队有很多进球前的尝试，但总体上并没有给我留下深刻的印象。在欧冠联赛第4轮，红星队在主场对阵巴塞罗那时根本没有机会。东道主在xG比赛中只取得了0.32的进球，而巴萨取得了3.98的进球。红星只有两个

射门入球，结果2-5输了。在冠军杯第三轮比赛中，摩纳哥队在路易二世球场5-1大胜红星队。塞尔维亚队的防守在这场比赛中不堪一击！在第二轮的欧冠联赛中，国米在米兰4-0击败了红星，尽管他们甚至没有击败最好的对手。在欧冠首轮，红星的表现并不糟糕，但他们缺乏个人技术和应对欧冠节奏的能力，导致他们全取三分。1比2是米蒂奇球场的最终比分。本菲卡在xG中产生了更多。

我将在周三发布更多高质量的专家分析！

好运！