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外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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GREAT results in this league! $$$

2024-11-25

比赛分析

解读理由

Central Cordoba SDE VS Rosario Central



Central Cordoba welcome Rosario Central for this Liga Profesional round 24 battle at Estadio Unico Madre de Ciudades in Santiago del Estero early Tuesday morning Beijing time. This is the first tier of Argentinian football. The level of this league is high by global standards – but still quite from that of the top-7 leagues.. A match of mediocre quality by this league's standard's is expected here. Most importantly, we have a very lucrative betting opportunity here! We have won 5/6 last picks betting on this league! Central Cordoba have not won any of the last six games between the two teams! The teams last locked horns in July 2023 and Rosario Central took a comfortable 1-0 win. F. Oviedo scored the 1-0 goal in 9th minute already. The expected goals (xG) numbers were 2.45-0.82 in the hosts' favour. Last season, Rosario Central performed well, finishing in 8th place with 42 points to their account. Their score difference was good – 36:29 to be precise. Central Cordoba, on the other hand, were lame, ending up in 23rd place with only 29 points in their pocket. Their goal difference was weak – 20:30 to be precise. Opposing Central Cordoba is the main reason behind this pick. Let's also remember that according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Rosario Central are the bigger team here – by a significant margin! Indeed, their players have an estimated total market value of some 36 million euros, which is still slightly too low.. The Central Cordoba squad is valued at only around 12 million. The hosts will be without Cansinos, Casermeiro and Montoya. As for Rosario Central, Bravo, Komar, Mallo Blanco, Modica, O'conner and Quintana all injured. With the expected lineups, taking the home home advantage into account, Central Cordoba do deserve to be the favourites here – but only by a very narrow margin. The Rosario Central +0.5 goals handicap is the obvious smart bet here!


At the moment Central Cordoba occupy the 20th place with 28 points. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is smaller. They have scored a decent 26 goals but their defence is far from solid – mainly because of poor structure. Indeed, they have allowed 30 goals. This is the same number as Barracas Central, the rock-bottom team, have conceded.. Rosario Central, on the other hand, are in 23rd place with only 26 points to their account. No, they have not met my expectations but the bookies have overreacted to their winless streak.. Their score difference is much better than the hosts' – 24:23 to be precise. The hosts have won just one of their last five games. This win came in their most recent match, over Newells Old Boys 3-2 on the road. I want to highlight that Newealls Old Boys are in second-last place at the moment. Either team could easily have won the game. Indeed, the hosts had 55.80% ball possession and recorded more shots on goal and corner kicks. Central Cordoba had two more goal attempts though, Before this, Central Cordoba were okay against Estudiantes L.P. It was a 1-1 after a pretty defensive and balanced clash. In round 21 they were lame, playing a 0-0 draw with Gimnasia L.P. Central Cordoba recorded just one shot on goal. In round 20 Central Cordoba were priced around 2.25 but lost to San Lorenzo 0-1 at home. They lacked offensive creativity, speed and passing accuracy – recording just one shot on target! However, they still could easily have scored..


Rosario Central were pretty good in their most recent game, taking a point from Estudiantes L.P though a 1-1 draw. They were priced around 5.00 to win by the bookies but both teams had the same number of goal attempts (10) and shots on goal – three. Before this they were the slightly better team on the pitch against San Lorenzo at home but the visitors escaped with a 1-0 win. San Lorenzo deserve credit for defending in an extremely well organized way, Most of the hosts' attacks were, in all honesty, a bit too slow and predictable.. In round 21 Rosario Central were far from their best against Ind. Rivadavia at Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantin but C. Quintana's goal brought them a point – 1-1.




GOOD LUCK!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

中央科尔多瓦SDE VS罗萨里奥中央



北京时间周二凌晨,中科尔多瓦将在圣地亚哥德尔埃斯特罗的马德雷城市体育场迎来西甲联赛第24轮对阵罗萨里奥。这是阿根廷足球的第一梯队。按照全球标准来看,这个联赛的水平是很高的,但与前7名联赛相比还有很大差距。按这个联赛的标准来看,这将是一场质量一般的比赛。最重要的是,我们有一个非常有利可图的赌博机会!我们在这个联赛中赢了5/6 !中央科尔多瓦在两队之间的最近六场比赛中没有赢过一场!两队上一次交锋是在2023年7月,罗萨里奥中央以1-0轻松取胜。奥维耶多在第9分钟就打进了1-0的进球。预期进球数(xG)为2.45-0.82,对东道主有利。上个赛季,罗萨里奥中央队表现出色,以42分的成绩排名第8。他们的比分差距很大,准确地说是36:29。另一方面,中央科尔多瓦队表现不佳,仅以29分排名第23位。他们的净胜球差很小,准确地说是20:30。反对中央科尔多瓦是这一选择背后的主要原因。让我们也记住,根据一个著名的和受人尊敬的德国网站,Transfermarkt.com,罗萨里奥中央是更大的球队,以显著的优势!事实上,他们球员的总市值估计约为3600万欧元,这仍然略低。中央科尔多瓦队的价值仅为1200万美元左右。东道主将没有卡西诺斯、卡塞梅罗和蒙托亚。至于罗萨里奥中央,布拉沃、科马尔、马洛·布兰科、莫迪卡、奥康纳和金塔纳都受伤了。考虑到预期的阵容,考虑到主场优势,中央科尔多瓦确实应该成为这里的大热门——但只是非常微弱的差距。罗萨里奥中心+0.5个进球障碍显然是明智的赌注!


目前中央科尔多瓦以28分排名第20。然而,它们的期望值点数(xPTS)更小。他们打进了不错的26球,但是他们的防守并不稳固——主要是因为他们的防守结构不佳。事实上,他们已经丢了30个球。这与排名垫底的巴萨中央队的失球数相同。另一方面,罗萨里奥中央队仅以26分排在第23位。不,他们没有达到我的期望,但是博彩公司对他们的连胜反应过度了。他们的比分差距比东道主大得多——准确地说是24:23。东道主在最近五场比赛中只赢了一场。这场胜利发生在他们最近的一场比赛中,客场3-2战胜纽维尔老男孩队。我想强调的是,纽威尔士老男孩队目前排名倒数第二。团队可以很容易地赢得了比赛。事实上,东道主的控球率为55.80%,射门和角球次数也更多。在此之前,中央科尔多瓦队在对阵大学生队的比赛中表现还不错,双方在防守和平衡方面取得了1-1的平局。在第21轮比赛中,他们表现不佳,0-0战平了Gimnasia L.P.,中央科尔多瓦只射门一次。在第20轮比赛中,中央科尔多瓦的定价在2.25左右,但在主场0-1输给了圣洛伦佐。他们缺乏进攻的创造力、速度和传球的准确性——只有一次射正!然而,他们仍然可以轻松得分。


罗萨里奥中央在最近的一场比赛中表现不错,虽然1-1战平了学生队,但他们从学生队那里拿走了一分。博彩公司对两队的胜率定价在5英镑左右,但两队的射门次数(10次)和射门次数(3次)相同。在此之前,他们在主场对阵圣洛伦佐的比赛中表现稍好,但客队以1-0获胜。圣洛伦索的防守组织得非常好,这值得称赞。说实话,东道主的大多数进攻都有点太慢,太容易预测了。在第21轮比赛中,罗萨里奥中央在胡安·包蒂斯塔·加甘坦球场与里瓦达维亚队的比赛中表现不佳,但金塔纳的进球让他们以1-1的比分拿到了一分。




好运!

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