GREAT results in this league! $$$ 丹麦超 中日德兰VS锡尔克堡
2024-11-25
比赛分析
解读理由
Midtjylland VS Silkeborg
Midtjylland welcome Silkeborg for this Superliga round 16 battle at MCH Arena in Herning Tuesday morning Beijing time. This is the first tier of Danish football. The level of this league is rather mediocre by European standards. A match of better than average quality by this league's standard's is expected here. Most importantly, we have yet another very promising betting opportunity! We have won eight of the last ten picks in this league! Firstly, I want to mention that Midtjylland are the reigning champions of Denmark. They took a great 63 points last season. Silkeborg were much worse, finishing in 6th place with only 36 points to their account. Their score difference was poor – 39:50 to be precise. The teams last locked horn in round 7, on the 1st of September and Midjylland took a fine 3-1 win. They recorded several more goal attempts and shots on target, In fact, Silkeborg have won only one of the last eight games between these two teams. Let's also remember that according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Midtjylland are the bigger team here – by a huge margin! Indeed, their players have an estimated total market value of 63 million euros, which is still slightly too low.. The Silkeborg squad is valued at only around 14 million. This is, too, is a bit too low though.. Based on my sophisticated, strongly data-based expert analysis, Midtjylland the current odds of around 1.65 on the home win – offered by the biggest bookmakers are too high. Let' not forget that they have won 6/7 home games in the Superliga this season - in front of their loud and demanding fans!
Midtjylland currently occupy the 4th place with 27 points in their pocket – four points behind the current leaders and the biggest team in Denmark, FC Copenhagen. Midtjylland have a score difference of 27:22. They have potential for improvement. Silkeborg are in 6th place with 25 points but their number of expected points (xPTS) is smaller.. I would not be at all surprised if they failed to finish in the top-6. Silkeborg have won three of their last 12 games, However, they have taken a lot of draws this season. In many of these games they have, however, had some luck on their side in many of these matches.. In their most recent match, Silkeborg took a 1-0 home win over Randers. However, the visitors recorded more goal attempts (14-12) and shots off target. They also generated more in expected goals (xG) 1.67-1.39 to be precise. Before this Silkeborg were outplayed by FC Copenhagen for most of the 90 minutes. Indeed, the hosts recorded close to 30 goal attempts and also had many more shots on goal (9-4) and shots off target. The xG numbers were 3.94-0.98 in Copenhagen's favour. On the 29th of October, Silkeborg defeated a very small team, Holbaek, 6-0on the road in a Lanspokal clash. Silkeborg recorded 28 shots on goal – the hosts managed only two! However, they were priced around 1.10 to win in the 90 minutes of play.. I will not give this result a lot of emphasis.. Before this Silkeborg were priced around 1.90 to win on the betting market but had to settle for a 1-1 draw at home witn Aalborg. However, they recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal and shots off target. They also generated more in xG – 1.45-0.79 to be precise. In round 12 Silkeborg faced Nordsjaelland on the road and it was a 1-1 draw. However, the hosts had 65.30% ball possession and also recorded many more goal attempts (16-5), shots on goal, shots off target (7-1) and corner kicks – 7-3.
It is true that Midtjylland have not been at their best recently. However, I will not overreact to some disappointing recent performances. 3/4 these games have, after all, been away matches. In their most recent game, Midtjylland lost to Viborg 0-1 on the road. However, either team could easily have won the game. Both teams had 16 goal attempts. Midtjylland recorded seven more shots on goal – and corner kicks – than the hosts. The xG numbers were 1.78-1.72 in the visitors' favour. Before this, Midtjylland were beaten by a tough Romanian team, FCSB, on the road in the UEFA Europa League (UEL). 2-0 was the final score. FCSB were excellent in this game, Midtjylland were not at their best but they, too, had their chances. Indeed, they generated 1.09 in xG and had 11 goal attempts. The Romanians managed 13 though. In round 14 Midtjylland lost to Bröndby 1-5 at home. No, it was, of course, not a great performance but the final score is hugely misleading and probably affects their odds against Silkeborg.. The ball possession was 50-50% and Bröndby recorded just two more goal attempts – 16-14. The xG numbers were 1.88-2.43. In round 3 of the UCL, about a month ago, Midtjylland showed how good they can be – defeating a pretty big Belgian team, Royale Union SG, 1-0 at home. The xG numbers were 2.04-0.74 in their favour!
GOOD LUCK!
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中荷兰VS锡尔克堡
北京时间周二上午,中荷兰将在海宁的MCH体育馆迎来希尔克堡的第16轮比赛。这是丹麦足球的第一梯队。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平相当平庸。按照这个联赛的标准,一场高于平均水平的比赛有望在这里上演。最重要的是,我们还有另一个非常有前途的赌博机会!我们赢得了这个联盟最近10次选秀中的8次!首先,我想说的是,中荷兰是丹麦的卫冕冠军。他们上赛季拿到了63分。西尔克堡则更糟糕,仅以36分排名第6。他们的比分差很小,准确地说是39:50。两队上一次交手是在9月1日的第7轮,米德日兰以3-1大胜。他们有更多的进球尝试和射门,事实上,希尔克堡在两队之间的最近八场比赛中只赢了一场。让我们也记住,根据一个著名的和受人尊敬的德国网站,Transfermarkt.com,米德日兰在这里是更大的球队-以巨大的优势!事实上,他们球员的总市值估计为6300万欧元,这仍然略低。锡尔克堡队的身价只有1400万左右。这也有点太低了。根据我老练的、强有力的基于数据的专家分析,米德吉兰德目前最大的博彩公司提供的主场获胜的赔率约为1.65,这太高了。别忘了他们本赛季在主场赢了6/7场超级联赛,而且是在他们的球迷面前!
中日兰目前以27分的积分排名第四,比目前的领头羊、丹麦最大的球队哥本哈根队落后4分。米德日兰的比分是27:22。他们有改进的潜力。锡尔克堡以25分排名第6,但他们的预期积分(xPTS)要少一些。如果他们没能进入前6名,我一点也不惊讶。锡尔克堡在过去的12场比赛中取得了3场胜利,然而,他们本赛季取得了很多平局。然而,在这些比赛中,他们在许多比赛中都有运气。在他们最近的一场比赛中,西尔克堡主场1-0战胜兰德斯。然而,客队的进球次数(14-12)和射偏次数更多。他们也产生了更多的预期目标(xG) 1.67-1.39。在此之前,希尔克堡在90分钟的大部分时间里都被哥本哈根击败。事实上,东道主的进球次数接近30次,射正(9胜4负)和射偏也更多。对哥本哈根有利的xG值为3.94-0.98。10月29日,在兰斯波卡的客场比赛中,西尔克堡队以6比6击败了一支非常小的球队霍尔贝克队。希尔克堡有28次射门,而主队只有2次射正!然而,在90分钟的比赛中,他们的价格在1.10左右。我不会给这个结果太多的强调。在此之前,希尔克堡在博彩市场上的胜率为1.90左右,但不得不在主场1-1战平奥尔堡。然而,他们记录了更多的射门尝试、射正和射偏。他们在xG(1.45-0.79)中也产生了更多。在第12轮,希尔克堡客场对阵北荷兰,双方1-1战平。然而,东道主的控球率为65.30%,并且射门次数(16-5)、射正、射偏(7-1)和角球次数(7-3)也更多。
米特日兰最近确实没有处于最佳状态。然而,我不会对最近一些令人失望的表现反应过度。毕竟,这些比赛中有3/4是客场比赛。在他们最近的一场比赛中,米特日兰客场0-1输给了维堡。然而,两队都有可能轻松赢得这场比赛。两队都有16次射门机会。米德日兰比主队多出了7次射门和角球。xG值为1.78-1.72,对客队有利。在此之前,在欧联杯(UEL)的客场比赛中,米德日兰被一支强硬的罗马尼亚球队FCSB击败。2比0是最后的比分。FCSB在这场比赛中表现出色,米德日兰没有达到最佳状态,但他们也有机会。事实上,他们的射门命中率为1.09,射门次数为11次。然而罗马尼亚人却成功获得了13枚金牌。第14轮,米特日兰主场1-5不敌Bröndby。不,当然,这不是一个伟大的表现,但最终的比分是巨大的误导,可能会影响他们对阵锡尔克堡的几率。控球率为50-50%,而Bröndby只记录了两次进球,16-14。xG值为1.88 ~ 2.43。在伦敦大学联赛第三轮,大概一个月前
在主场1-0击败了一支强大的比利时皇家联盟SG,展示了他们的实力。他们的xG值是2.04-0.74 !好运!
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