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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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GREAT results in this league! $$$

2024-11-22

比赛分析

解读理由

CA Independiente VS Gimnasia La Plata



Talleres Cordoba welcome Gimnasia L.P for this Liga Profesional round 23 battle at Estadio Libertadores de América in Avellaneda early Sunday morning Beijing time. This is the first tier of Argentinian football. The level of this league is high by global standards – but still rather from that of the top-7 leagues.. A match of only average quality by this league's standard's is expected here. The main reason for this is the substantial difference in class between these two teams. Most importantly, we have a very interesting betting opportunity here! We have won 10/13 last picks betting on this league! According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Independiente are the bigger team here – by a substantial margin! Indeed, their players have an estimated total market value of some 36 million euros, which is still a bit too low.. The Gimnasia L.P squad is valued at only around 16 million, which is a low number by this league's standards.. In the Copa de la Liga Profesional, which was played before the Liga Profesional started, Independiente were much better than Gimnasia L.P. Indeed, Independiente took 23 points, finishing in 6th place in Group A. Their score difference was good, 14:10 to be precise. Gimnasia L.P were lame, ending up in 10th place with 16 points in their pocket. They lost 5/7 away games.. At the moment they are in 15th place with 29 points but their number of expected points (xPTS) is 27.03. They have no obvious strengths – or weaknesses – in their game. Indeed, they have scored 20 goals and have allowed 19.. Independiente are in 13th place with 30 points – but their xPTS is 32.46. They can definitely improve! Taking the substantial home advantage into account, the hosts have a 55.50% chance of winning. Odds of very close to 2.00 are offered by the biggest bookies with the largest stake limits.


Gimnasia L.P. Have won only one of their last 10 games! This win, in fact, came in their most recent game – at home over Newells Old Boys 1-0. Gimnasia L.P. were priced around 2.00 to win and we can say that they deserved the narrow win. Indeed, they had more shots on goal but the visitors did have more ball possession, 57%, and managed more shots off target. Before this it was a goalless draw at home with Central Cordoba. Gimnasia L.P. were priced around 2.10 to win but the match was balanced as a whole.. Independiente have lost just one of their last seven games. This defeat came in their last match, away from home in the game, in the hands of Huracan, currently in 2nd place, as underdogs on the betting market. However, Independiente, too, could have won as they recorded more goal attempts – 10-7 to be precise. Before this Independiente were very strong, crushing Union de Santa Fe 3-0 at home. They recorded 14 goal attempts allowing the visitors just one! Moreover, Union de Santa Fe failed to record a single shot on goal - the hosts managed nine. They also generated hugely more in expected goals (xG). The visitors' N. Paz was sent off in the 44th minute when the score was 1-0 but Independiente probably would have won even without the red card.. In round 20 Independiente were the much better team against Sarmiento Junin on the road, recording 21 goal attempts and allowing the hosts just two shots on goal. However, Independiente lacked some creativity and the "last pass" was often not quite good enough..



GOOD LUCK!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

CA independent VS Gimnasia La Plata



北京时间周日凌晨,塔列斯·科尔多瓦将在阿韦亚内达的解放者体育场迎接Gimnasia L.P的第23轮比赛。这是阿根廷足球的第一梯队。按照全球标准来看,这个联赛的水平是很高的,但与前7强联赛相比还是有些差距。按照这个联赛的标准,这将是一场质量一般的比赛。造成这种情况的主要原因是这两支球队在班级上的巨大差异。最重要的是,我们在这里有一个非常有趣的赌博机会!我们上次赌这个联赛赢了10/13 !根据德国一家知名且受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com,独立队在这里是更大的球队——以相当大的优势!事实上,他们球员的总市值估计约为3600万欧元,这仍然有点太低了。Gimnasia l.p.球队的价值只有1600万左右,以联盟的标准来看,这是一个很低的数字。在联赛开赛前举行的西甲联赛杯上,独立队的表现比Gimnasia L.P.好得多。事实上,独立队以23分的成绩排名a组第6,他们的分差很好,确切地说,是14:10。Gimnasia l.p.表现不佳,以16分的积分排名第10。他们输掉了5/7场客场比赛。目前他们以29分排在第15位,但他们的期望积分(xPTS)是27.03分。他们在比赛中没有明显的优势或劣势。事实上,他们进了20个球,丢了19个球。独立队以30分排在第13位,但他们的xPTS是32.46。他们肯定可以提高!考虑到主场的巨大优势,东道主有55.50%的获胜机会。赔率非常接近2.00,由最大的博彩公司提供最大的赌注限制。


Gimnasia L.P.最近10场比赛只赢了一场!事实上,这场胜利来自他们最近的一场比赛——主场1-0战胜纽维尔老男孩队。Gimnasia L.P.的定价在2.00左右,我们可以说他们应得的微弱胜利。事实上,他们的射门次数更多,但客队的控球率更高,达到57%,而且射门次数也更多。在此之前,他们在主场0比0战平中央科尔多瓦。Gimnasia L.P.的定价在2.10左右,但比赛总体上是平衡的。独立队在过去的七场比赛中只输了一场。这场失利是他们的最后一场比赛,在客场比赛中,在目前排名第二的Huracan手中,在投注市场上处于劣势。然而,独立队也有可能赢得比赛,因为他们的进球次数更多——准确地说是10比7。在此之前,独立队非常强大,在主场3-0击败了圣菲联盟队。他们记录了14次射门,只让客队进了1球!此外,圣菲联盟队一球未射正,东道主却射正了9球。他们也产生了更多的预期目标(xG)。客队的帕兹在比分为1-0的第44分钟被红牌罚下,但即使没有红牌,独立队也可能获胜。在第20轮比赛中,独立队在客场对阵萨米恩托·朱宁的比赛中表现要好得多,他们有21次射门,只让东道主射正了2次。然而,independente缺乏一些创造力,“最后一关”往往不够好。



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