Landskrona BoIS VS IFK Värnamo

Landskrona welcome IFK Värnamo for this Swedish Allsvenskan Relegation Final first leg battle at Landskrona Idrottsplats early Friday morning Beijing time. Allsvenskan is the first tier of Swedish football but the its level is not great by European standards. Landskrona played in the Superettan, 2nd tier, this season. As the stakes are sky-high I expect a nervous and defensive game here.. Both teams are expected to avoid risks and most probably this matchup will be decided in the 2nd leg.. The goal expectancy is even a bit lower than the bookies believe. Even if one team were to take a 1-0 lead I do not believe that the team trailing would significantly raise the risk level.. Värnamo finished in 14th place in the Allsvenskan – taking a lame 31 points. A total of 16 clubs play in the Allsvenskan. In terms of expected points (xPTS) Värnamo were the second-worst team in this league. They scored 30 goals and allowed 40 goals, However, their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) was significantly bigger. Landskrona, on the other hand, performed well in the Superettan, ending up in 3rd place with a fine 49 points to their account. They netted the ball 46 times and allowed 34 goals. Landskrna must feel pretty good about themselves and according to my sources they have a fine team spirit and I also trust their head coach quite a lot – especially in terms of tactical skills.. They can – and have to – improve if they want to defeat Värnamo on aggregate. The visitors do have an edge over Landskrona in all areas of the game. However, based on my strongly data-based expert analysis the gap between the two teams is smaller than the bookies seem to believe. Landskrona are a strong team in front of their fans and taking the home advantage into account Värnamo are only narrow favourites here. The bookies disagree, offering Värnamo odds of only around 2.10 to win. Landskrona +0.5 goals is the obvious smart bet here!

Let's not forget that Värnamo have won only one of their last seven games. In their last game they were priced around 1.85 to win at the time of kick to beat Elfsborg at home. Elfsborg had nothing to play for left. Even so, it was a goalless draw. Värnamo did record more goal attempts though.. In round 29 Värnamo performed well, beating Brommapojkarna 1-0 on the road as pretty clear favourites. However, Brommapojkarna had nothing left to play for and were extremely poor in this game. In round 28 Värnamo locked horns with Norrköping at home and lost 1-2. Värnamo were priced around 2.00 to win by the bookies. However, Värnamo's performance was okay as a whole. In round 27 Värnamo traveled to Göteborg and it was a 0-0 draw with GAIS. Either team could have won the game but – once again – Värnamo's lack of offensive speed and skill were a problem.. No. Landskrona have not been in peak-form recently. In their last game they were disappointing – losing to Utsikten 0-3 away from home. However, they had 63 % ball possession and did have their chances to score – recording seven goal attempts. The final score is definitely misleading! I will not overreact to this lame performance. Before this Landskrona played well at home against Degerfors, who won the Superettan. It was a 1-1 draw but Landskrona had 73.30% ball possession. In round 28 Landskrona showed how good they can be! Indeed, they swept past Brage, a dangerous opponent, 3-0 at home. Landskrona recorded many more goal attempts (11-4), shots on goal and shots off target!

GOOD LUCK!

Landskrona BoIS VS IFK Värnamo

北京时间周五凌晨，兰茨克鲁纳欢迎IFK Värnamo参加在兰茨克鲁纳Idrottsplats举行的瑞典奥尔斯venskan保级决赛首回合比赛。阿尔斯温斯坎是瑞典足球的第一梯队，但以欧洲的标准来看，它的水平并不高。Landskrona本赛季参加了超级联赛，二级联赛。由于赌注太高，我预计这将是一场紧张和防守的比赛。两支球队都希望避免风险，很可能这场比赛将在第二回合决定。预期进球甚至比博彩公司认为的还要低。即使一支球队以1比0领先，我也不认为落后的球队会显著提高风险水平。Värnamo以第14名的成绩结束了在阿尔斯温斯坎的比赛，拿到了31分。总共有16支俱乐部在阿尔斯温斯卡比赛。在期望得分（xPTS）方面Värnamo是联盟第二差的球队。他们进了30个球，丢了40个球，但他们的预期失球数（xGA）明显更大。另一方面，Landskrona在超级联赛中表现出色，最终以49分的成绩获得第三名。他们射门46次，失34球。兰德斯克纳肯定对自己感觉很好，根据我的消息来源，他们有很好的团队精神，我也非常信任他们的主教练——尤其是在战术技巧方面。如果他们想在总比分上击败Värnamo，他们可以——也必须——提高。客队在比赛的各个方面都比兰德斯克罗纳队有优势。然而，根据我以数据为基础的专家分析，两支球队之间的差距比博彩公司认为的要小。兰茨克罗纳在他们的球迷面前是一支强大的球队，考虑到主场优势Värnamo他们在这里的夺冠希望不大。博彩公司不同意，提供Värnamo的赔率只有2.10左右。Landskrona +0.5个进球显然是明智的选择！

别忘了Värnamo在过去的七场比赛中只赢了一场。在上一场比赛中，他们在主场击败埃尔夫斯堡，开球时的胜率约为1.85英镑。埃尔夫斯堡没有什么可打的了。即便如此，这也是一场0比0的平局。Värnamo确实记录了更多的进球尝试…在第29轮比赛中，Värnamo表现出色，在客场1-0击败了Brommapojkarna，这是非常明显的热门。然而，Brommapojkarna没有什么可玩的，在这场比赛中表现非常糟糕。第28轮Värnamo主场迎战Norrköping， 1-2输掉了比赛。Värnamo被博彩公司定价在2.00左右。不过，Värnamo的表现总体上还不错。在第27轮，Värnamo来到Göteborg，与GAIS 0-0战平。任何一支球队都可以赢得比赛，但是-再一次- Värnamo进攻速度和技术的缺乏是一个问题。不。Landskrona最近并没有处于巅峰状态。在上一场比赛中，他们的表现令人失望——客场0-3输给了尤锡克登。然而，他们有63%的控球率，并且确实有得分的机会——记录了7次射门。最后的分数绝对是误导！我不会对这蹩脚的表演反应过度。在此之前，兰德斯克罗纳在主场对阵德格弗斯的比赛中表现出色，后者赢得了超级杯。双方1-1战平，但兰茨克鲁纳的控球率为73.30%。在第28轮Landskrona展示了他们有多厉害！事实上，他们在主场3-0横扫了布拉日这个危险的对手。Landskrona的进球次数更多（11胜4负），射正和射偏！

好运！