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外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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7/8 last WON in this league! $$$

2024-11-18

比赛分析

解读理由

Banfield VS Club Atletico Tigre



Banfield and Tigre lock horns in this Liga Profesional round 23 battle at Estadio Florencio Sola in Buenos Aires. This is the first tier of Argentinian football. The level of this league is high by global standards – but still quite far from the top-7 leagues.. A match of lower than mediocre quality by this league's standard's is on the cards here. Most importantly, we have a very lucrative betting opportunity here! We have won 7/8 last picks betting on this league. I will post more picks in the next 1-5 hours. These two teams last locked horns in July 2023 and Banfield "escaped" with a 2-1 away win. However, Tigre had close to 70% recorded many more goal attempts (23-8), shots on goal (8-2), shots off goal, corner kicks, attacks and especially dangerous kicks – 85-23. Banfield have been very disappointing in this league. They are only in the 25th place in this league with a total of 28 clubs. They have taken a lame 22 points and have a poor score difference. Indeed, nothing in their game has impressed me.. They have netted the ball only 20 times and have allowed 28 goals. Their number of expected goals allowed (xG) is, however, even bigger. They are missing Alvarez, Bonifacio, Cabrera, Diaz, Enrique, Gomez, Palavecino and Perez. As for Tigre, Arias, Marchese, Monzon and Protti are injured. With the expected lineups, even taking the (mediocre) home advantage into account – I see Tigre as slim favourites here. The biggest bookies disagree -  offering Banfield odds of only around 2.50 to win.. Consequently, we will take the Tigre +0.5 goals handicap. Banfield have, after all, won only two their last eight games in front of their fans..


Tigre have not been great either but have still taken 26 points and are in 19th place. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is still 28.74. They have much more offensive power than the hosts – mainly thanks to a better offensive structure. They have scored 25 goals and have conceded 28 goals. Neither team have won any of their last three games. Tigre were very far from their best in their last game, losing to Defensa Y Justicia 0-4 at home in their match. Yes, the visitors deserved all three points but the final score is still very misleading. Indeed, Tigre had 11 goal attempts - the visitors managed 16 and did record more shots on goal, but "only" by a margin of three. I believe this result affects the odds against Banfield too much.. Before this Tigre lost to the current leaders, Velez Sarsfield, 0-1 on the road but pushed the hosts well. They were big underdogs on the betting market but both teams managed just two shots on target. The hosts did record more goal attempts though. Before these two defeats Tigre were unbeaten in five consecutive games! In round 18 Tigre showed how good they can be – crushing one of the biggest teams in Argentina, Boca Juniors, 3-0 at home – as clear underdogs according to the bookies! They allowed the visitors only two shots on goal, recording eight themselves. Banfield were lame in their last game, losing to Argentinos Jrs 0-1 on the road. Banfield managed just two shots on goal. Before this Banfield were the favourites to beat Belgrano at home but it was a 1-1 draw. The visitors recorded more goal attempts and shots off goal. Both teams managed two shots on target. In round 20 Banfield were outplayed by River Plate. Indeed, the hosts took a 3-1 win, recording 21 goal attempts and eight shots on goal. Banfield shot on the hosts' goal just twice. Banfield were pretty imbalanced on the pitch for the most of the 90 minutes..




GOOD LUCK!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

班菲尔德VS老虎竞技



班菲尔德和老虎将在这场在布宜诺斯艾利斯的弗洛伦西奥·索拉球场进行的西甲职业联赛第23轮比赛中发生冲突。这是阿根廷足球的第一梯队。按照全球标准来看,这个联赛的水平是很高的,但与排名前七的联赛相比还有很大的差距。按照这个联盟的标准,一场低于中等水平的比赛是有可能的。最重要的是,我们有一个非常有利可图的赌博机会!我们上次赌这个联赛赢了7/8。我会在接下来的1-5小时内发布更多的精选。这两支球队上一次交锋是在2023年7月,班菲尔德以客场2-1获胜“逃脱”。然而,老虎队接近70%的进球次数(23-8)、射正(8-2)、射偏、角球、进攻,尤其是危险的射门——85-23。班菲尔德在这个联赛中表现得非常令人失望。他们在这个联赛中只排在第25位,总共有28家俱乐部。他们只得了可怜的22分,分差很小。的确,他们的比赛没有什么让我印象深刻。他们只进了20次球,丢了28个球。然而,他们允许的预期目标数量(xG)甚至更大。他们缺少阿尔瓦雷斯、博尼法乔、卡布雷拉、迪亚兹、恩里克、戈麦斯、帕拉维西诺和佩雷斯。至于老虎,阿里亚斯、马切斯、蒙松和普罗蒂都受伤了。考虑到预期的阵容,即使考虑到(平庸的)主场优势,我认为老虎在这里是微弱的热门。最大的博彩公司不同意——给班菲尔德的赔率只有2.50左右。因此,我们将采用Tigre +0.5的进球障碍。毕竟,班菲尔德在过去的八场比赛中只在球迷面前赢了两场。


老虎队的表现也不太好,但仍然得到了26分,排在第19位。他们的预期点数(xPTS)仍然是28.74。他们的进攻能力比东道主强得多,这主要得益于他们更好的进攻结构。他们进了25个球,丢了28个球。这两支球队最近三场比赛都没有赢过一场。老虎队在上一场比赛中远未达到最佳状态,在主场0-4输给了卫冕冠军Justicia。是的,客队理应得到全部三分,但最后的比分仍然很容易误导人。事实上,老虎队有11次射门尝试——客队有16次射门尝试,射门次数也更多,但“只”多出3次。我相信这个结果对班菲尔德的影响太大了。在此之前,老虎队在客场0-1输给了目前的领头羊萨斯菲尔德,但却很好地推动了东道主的比赛。在博彩市场上,他们是大输家,但两队都只射正了两球。不过,东道主的进球次数确实更多。在这两场失利之前,老虎队是连续五场不败的!在第18轮比赛中,老虎队展示了他们的实力——他们在主场以3比0击败了阿根廷最强大的球队之一博卡青年队——根据博彩公司的预测,他们显然是不被看好的球队!他们只让客队射门两次,自己却射了8次。班菲尔德在上一场比赛中表现不佳,客场0-1输给了阿根廷人。班菲尔德只有两脚射门。在此之前,班菲尔德是在主场击败贝尔格拉诺的最大热门,但结果是1-1战平。客队的进球次数和射偏次数更多。两队都射正了两次。在第20轮比赛中,班菲尔德被河床队击败。事实上,东道主以3-1取胜,他们有21次射门和8次射门。班菲尔德仅有两次射门击中主队球门。在90分钟的大部分时间里,班菲尔德在球场上都很不平衡。




好运!

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