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外籍分析师
葡萄牙人,职业高手,精通德甲、葡超等欧洲联赛,对各球队有深入和独特的了解。
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17/14 - Bundesliga + Premier League

2024-11-09

比赛分析

解读理由

Pick 1

FC St. Pauli vs FC Bayern Munich

St Pauli coming back to the Bundesliga has been rough, they lost their Coach from last season who was very important for them to make that amazing Bundesliga 2 campaign and they are also dealing with many injuries what hasn't helped this team to be better but with some luck they are coming of a very important road win over Hoffenheim by 2:0 what has put them in 15th place now. One strange thing about St Pauli is that they have been better on the road than at home, their home record is 2 draws and 2 losses with 0 goals scored and 5 goals against and now they will face the best team in the league, so I doubt that they will get their first win at home here.

For this game St Pauli is without Ahlers, Banks, Burchert, Metcalfe, Saad, Treu, Voll and Zoller.

Bayern started their season well, 1st place and a 3 points lead over Leipzig has put them in good position to get back to the Bundesliga title but still early but overall Bayern looks like once again the best team in Germany, something we couldn't say in the last 2 seasons. Their attack is the best in the league by far and road games have been mostly easy for them when facing weak competition, so far they won 4 games and had 1 draw on the road with an impressive 22:6 in goals and we can expect more to come here today.

For this game Bayern is without Boey, Ito, Pavlovic and Stanisic.

Bayern had a mid-week game in the Champions League but that games wasn't intense, Bayern controlled the whole game with a slow pace so I don't expect Bayern to have issues here with fatigue and I think that Bayern should and will win this game easily by 2 or more goals since they have been winning lately all their games in the Bundesliga by 3 or more goals and also St Pauli ain't a team to play very defensive so Bayern should be easily create many chances to score here, wouldn't be surprised to see St Pauli finally scoring at home too but overall I see Bayern winning here by 3:0 or 3:1.

Pick 2

Crystal Palace vs Fulham

Crystal Palace has been having a hard time with injuries, playing wise they have been performing way better than expected in my opinion but now with all these injuries in key players things will get harder for them even they finally won a home game vs Tottenham and after that they still got a 2:2 on the road vs Wolves but in the last day they just got another blow, Nketiah also got injured and combined with Wharton and Eze they are missing a lot of key players for them in this game and they will face a very organised team and a good team in my opinion where they have always a hard time, their last win against Fulham was in 2020 and their chances to get here another one are slim in my opinion with all their injuries.

For this game Crystal Palace is without Matheus, Chadi, Wharton, Eze, Hughes, Lerma, Nketiah and Holding.

Fulham has once again having a really good season what is normal, their squad is good but also their Coaching staff is good too so I don't expect them to struggle to survive like it was in the past, Fulham has now been a good team and surviving without any problems. Last weekend they won 2:1 against Brentford with two very late goals, 90+2 and 90+7 but even they scored late they were the better team and dominated the game. On the road Fulham record ain't that bright, 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses but if we look close those those games, their two losses on the road where against Manchester United and Manchester City and even they lost those games they played really well and had chances to get a better outcome, so overall Fulham has been playing well on the road too and their last three trips to this stadium they didn't lost, 2 draws and 1 win so they should come here with a lot of confidence.

For this game Fulham is without Lukic.

I really don't see Fulham has the underdog here especially with all those injuries problems on Crystal Palace side and with Fulham with their full squad ready for the game and also historically lately and especially under Coach Marco Silva they had amazing results vs Crystal Palace and that includes the games on the road and I think nothing will change today, I expect Fulham to get points here, of course I wouldn't be surprised if this game ends in a draw also but I would be surprised to see Fulham losing here in this conditions, so take Fulham to win or draw here.

Good Luck



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选择1

圣保利vs拜仁慕尼黑

圣保利重回德甲并不容易,他们失去了上赛季的教练,他对他们取得令人惊奇的德甲第二赛季非常重要,他们也在处理许多伤病,这并没有帮助球队变得更好,但幸运的是,他们以2:0战胜霍芬海姆,这是一场非常重要的客场胜利,现在他们排在第15位。关于圣保利的一个奇怪的事情是,他们在客场比在主场表现得更好,他们的主场战绩是2平2负,0进5负,现在他们将面对联赛中最好的球队,所以我怀疑他们能否在主场取得第一场胜利。

这场比赛,圣保利没有阿勒斯、班克斯、伯彻特、梅特卡夫、萨阿德、特鲁、沃尔和佐勒。

拜仁本赛季开局不错,以第一名的成绩领先莱比锡3分,这使他们在重返德甲冠军的道路上处于有利地位,但仍为时过早,但总体而言,拜仁再次成为德国最好的球队,这是我们过去两个赛季都无法做到的。到目前为止,他们的进攻是联盟中最好的,客场比赛对他们来说在面对弱对手时很容易,到目前为止,他们赢了4场比赛,客场1场平局,进球数22:6,令人印象深刻,我们可以期待今天更多的比赛。

本场比赛,拜仁没有博伊、伊托、巴甫洛维奇和斯坦尼西奇。

拜仁有周中在欧冠比赛,但比赛并不强烈,拜仁和缓慢控制整个游戏所以我不希望拜仁与疲劳的问题我认为拜仁应该会赢得这个游戏很容易由2个或更多的目标,因为他们已经赢得了最近所有的游戏在德甲3或更多目标和圣保利也不是一个团队发挥非常防守拜仁应该轻松地创建许多得分的机会,如果看到圣保利最终也在主场进球,我不会感到惊讶,但总的来说,我认为拜仁在这里会以3:0或3:1获胜。

选择2

水晶宫vs富勒姆

水晶宫在伤病问题上一直很艰难,在我看来,他们表现得比预期的要好得多,但现在他们的主要球员都受伤了,事情对他们来说会变得更加困难,即使他们终于在主场赢了托特纳姆热刺,之后他们仍然在客场2:2击败狼队,但在最后一天他们又受到了打击。恩凯提亚也受伤了,加上沃顿和埃兹,他们在这场比赛中失去了很多关键球员,在我看来,他们将面对一支非常有组织的球队,一支优秀的球队,他们总是很艰难,他们上一场战胜富勒姆是在2020年,在我看来,他们再次夺冠的机会很渺茫,因为他们都受伤了。

这场比赛水晶宫没有马修斯、查迪、沃顿、埃兹、休斯、勒玛、恩凯提亚和霍尔德。

富勒姆又一次有了一个很好的赛季,这很正常,他们的阵容很好,他们的教练组也很好,所以我不希望他们像过去那样挣扎求生,富勒姆现在是一支很好的球队,没有任何问题。上周末他们以2:1战胜了布伦特福德,在最后时刻打进了两个进球,分别是90+2和90+7,但即使他们进球很晚,他们仍然是一支更好的球队,并且控制了比赛。路上富勒姆记录不明亮,1赢,2平2损失,但如果我们关闭那些那些游戏,他们两个在路上损失对阵曼联和曼城,甚至他们失去了那些游戏他们踢得很好,有机会得到更好的结果,所以整体富勒姆已经打在路上,他们最后三次这个球场他们没有丢失,2平,1赢所以他们应该来这里有很多信心。

这场比赛富勒姆没有了卢卡奇。

我真的不认为富勒姆在这里处于劣势,尤其是水晶宫方面的伤病问题,富勒姆的全员阵容已经为比赛做好了准备,而且最近的历史,特别是在主教练马尔科席尔瓦的带领下,他们对水晶宫取得了惊人的成绩,这包括客场比赛,我认为今天什么都不会改变,我希望富勒姆能在这里拿到分。当然,如果这场比赛以平局结束,我也不会感到惊讶,但如果看到富勒姆在这种情况下输球,我会感到惊讶,所以让富勒姆在这里赢球或平局。

祝你好运

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