PROFIT from Ireland? $$$ 爱超 波希米亚人VS戈尔韦联
2024-11-01
比赛分析
解读理由
Bohemians VS Galway United
Bohemians host Galway for this Irish Premier Division round 36 battle at Dalymount Park in Dublin early Saturday morning Beijing time. A total of 36 rounds will be played, so this is the last game for both teams. The level of this league is very low by European standards, even lower than for example the Finnish Veikkausliiga! Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of somewhat mediocre quality by this league's standards here.. Most importantly, my fans and I have yet another very promising opportunity here! Similarly to for example England, in Ireland doing everything you can to win the last home match is considered to be very important – to thank the loyal fans for their support throughout the long season – no matter if it has been a disappointment or a success. The bookmakers often fail to give this enough emphasis.. This factor is particularly important in matches where neither team have anything really left to play for.. This is the situation here. Galway, who were promoted to this level for this season, have played a pretty good season and are currently in 5th place. They have taken 51 points. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is smaller. Galway have a score difference of 32:28. Indeed, their offense has lacked speed, creativity and skill.. Even Drogheda, in second-last place, have scored 41 goals! The Galway defence has been surprisingly solid but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is still 37.75.
Bohemians finished in 6th place last season but this season has definitely been a disappointment. They are in 8th place with 41 points to their account. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is higher though! They have scored 38 goals and have allowed 42 goals. They do not have major weaknesses – or strengths in their game. Let's remember that according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Bohemians are the bigger team here – by a clear margin. Indeed, their players have an estimated total market value of 3.90 million euros. The Galway squad is valued at 1.65 million - which is a little too low though. The bookies see the visitors as the favourites here - offering them odds of around 2.55 to win. I cannot agree with them! With the expected lineups, taking the substantial home advantage into account, Bohemians are the favourites. We will take them with the +0.5 goals handicap option. Galway have failed to win any of their last three matches. In their last game they were priced around 1.55 to beat Sligo Rovers at home but couldn't. It was a 2-2 draw after a pretty entertaining game. Galway did have more shots on goal though – 7-4. Before this they lost to St. Patricks 1-2 away from home. Galway managed only two shots on target. In round 33 Galway were priced around 1.35 to beat Dundalk, the rock-bottom team, at home but it was a disappointing 1-1 draw. The visitors even had more shots on goal - 4-3. Both teams had 10 goal attempts.
Bohemians have lost one of their last four matches, winning 1/4. In their most recent game they locked horns with Waterford, in 7th place, on the road and took points through a 1-1 draw. They came very close to winning as Waterford's Glenfield scored the 1-1 goal in injury time, 90th+2 minute. Bohemians recorded one more shot on goal in this match. Before this they beat Sligo Rovers 2-0 on the road, after a solid performance. The final score does flatter Bohemians though. Indeed, Both teams managed four shots on target. In round 33 they lost to St. Patricks, currently in 3rd place, 1-3 at home as underdogs on the betting market. Their performance was okay before Tierney was sent off in the 50th minute. Bohemians' D. Devoy even missed a penalty in the 17th minute. When playing with 10 men, Bohemians were not able to deal with the pressure from St. Patricks - allowing three goals. On the 11th of last month they took a point from Derry City on the road through a 1-1 draw – as very clear underdogs according to the bookmakers. Bohemians did record more shots on target though. The hosts, on the other hand, recorded almost 18 goal attempts - Bohemians managed 13.
GOOD LUCK!
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波西米亚人VS戈尔韦联队
北京时间周六凌晨,波西米亚人将在都柏林戴利蒙特公园主场迎战爱尔兰超级联赛第36轮的戈尔韦。总共将进行36轮比赛,所以这是两队的最后一场比赛。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平很低,甚至比芬兰的维卡斯利加还低!足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以这个联赛的标准来看有点平庸的比赛。最重要的是,我和我的粉丝在这里又有了一个非常有前途的机会!与英格兰类似,在爱尔兰,尽你所能赢得最后一场主场比赛被认为是非常重要的——感谢忠诚的球迷在漫长的赛季中对你的支持——无论结果是失望还是成功。博彩公司往往没有给予这方面足够的重视。这一因素在两支球队都没有什么可踢的比赛中尤为重要。这是这里的情况。本赛季升到这个级别的戈尔韦,本赛季表现不错,目前排名第5。他们得了51分。然而,它们的期望值点数(xPTS)更小。戈尔韦队的比分是32:28。的确,他们的进攻缺乏速度、创造力和技巧。即使是排在倒数第二的德罗海达也进了41球!高威的防线出奇的稳固,但是他们的预期失球数(xGA)仍然是37.75。
波希米亚人上赛季排名第六,但本赛季绝对令人失望。他们以41分排在第8位。但是他们的期望值(xPTS)更高!他们进了38球,丢了42球。他们在游戏中没有主要的弱点或优势。让我们记住,根据一个著名的和受人尊敬的德国网站Transfermarkt.com,波西米亚人在这里是更大的球队——明显领先。事实上,他们的球员的总市值估计为390万欧元。戈尔韦队的总价是165万英镑,这有点太低了。博彩公司认为访客队是最受欢迎的球队,给他们开出了2.55的赔率。我不同意他们的看法!根据预期的阵容,考虑到主场的优势,波希米亚人是最受欢迎的。我们将采用+0.5目标障碍选项。戈尔韦最近三场比赛一场都没赢。在上一场比赛中,他们在主场击败斯莱戈流浪者队的价格在1.55左右,但没有成功。在一场非常有趣的比赛之后,双方以2比2战平。戈尔韦的射门次数更多,比分是7-4。在此之前,他们客场1-2输给了圣帕特里克队。戈尔韦只射正了两脚。在第33轮比赛中,高威队在主场击败排名垫底的邓多克队的价格在1.35左右,但结果是令人失望的1-1平局。客队甚至有更多的射门机会,比分是4-3。两队都有10次射门机会。
波希米亚人最近四场比赛输了一场,赢了四分之一。在他们最近的一场比赛中,他们在客场与排名第七的沃特福德发生了冲突,并以1-1的比分取得了积分。沃特福德的格伦菲尔德在伤停补时阶段(第90 +2分钟)打进1-1的进球,他们差一点就赢了。波希米亚人在这场比赛中又射门一次。在此之前,他们在客场以2-0击败了斯莱戈流浪者队,表现稳定。不过,最后的分数确实让波西米亚人感到高兴。事实上,两队都有4次射正。在第33轮比赛中,他们在主场1-3负于目前排名第三的圣帕特里克队,在博彩市场上处于劣势。在蒂尔尼在第50分钟被罚下之前,他们的表现还不错。波西米亚队的德沃伊甚至在第17分钟罚丢了一个点球。在10人的情况下,波希米亚人无法应对圣帕特里克的压力——他们丢了3个球。上个月11日,他们在客场1-1战平德里城,从德里城手中拿到1分——根据博彩公司的数据,他们显然处于劣势。不过,波西米亚人的射门次数确实更多。另一方面,东道主有近18次射门,而波希米亚人有13次。
好运!
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