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外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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STRONG results in this league! $$$

2024-11-01

比赛分析

解读理由

Gazisehir Gaziantep VS Goztepe



Gaziantep welcome Göztepe for this Turkish Super Lig round 10 battle at Kalyon Stadyumu very early Saturday morning Beijing time. The level of this league is high European standards, but still not top-6 level. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of slightly lower than average quality by this league's standards here. .Most importantly, my fans and I have yet another very promising opportunity here! We have won 7/10 last picks betting on this league. Göztepe were promoted (back) to this level - where they belong - for this season. They played very well in the 1. Lig last season, taking 70 points! Their score difference was excellent - 60:20 to be precise. Let's remember that according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Göztepe are the bigger team here – by a substantial margin. Indeed, their players have an estimated total market value of 36. million euros. The Gaziantep squad is valued at 22 million - which is a little too low though.. The hosts will be wiithout Stephen due to a tenderloin injury. Götztepe will be missing Dennis, Kanatsizkus, Miroshi and Solet. With the expected lineups, taking the home advantage into account I expect a very balanced clash – a 50/50 game  without a favourite. The bookies offer hosts odds of only around 2.25 on the home win so we will take the Göztepe +0.5 goals handicap.


Gaziantep have won only one of their last nine games! In their last match they did beat Konyaspor 3-1 at home as favourites on the betting market though. However, the final score is misleading! Both teams recorded 1.22 in expected goals (xG). Before this Gaziantep took a point from Kayserispor on the road (2-2). However, the hosts had 59% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts (14-8), shots on target and shots off goal. They also generated more in xG. In round 8 they were somewhat lucky to take a point from Besiktas at home through a 1-1 draw. The visitors, despite not being even close to their best, generated much more in xG. Göztepe have won four of their last six matches. In their last game they did well, beating Trabzonspor 2-1 at home. Göztepe recorded more goal attempts, shots on goal (7-4) and shots off target. The xG numbers were 2.66-1.67. Before this they were unlucky to lose to Eyupspor 0-1 away from home. Indeed, the visitors generated more in xG – 1.34-0.98 to be precise. Göztepe are currently in 6th place and have started the season even better than I would have expected in my in-depth preseason analysis! The bookies should stop undervaluing them.. Indeed, they have taken a fine 16 points and have a good score difference. The hosts, on the other hand, have struggled – to which the bookies have not reacted strongly enough.. They do have some potential for improvement though but I believe this will take time..  Gaziantep seem to be pretty low in confidence at the moment. They currently occupy 15th place in this league with a total of 19 clubs.



GOOD LUCK!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

加济安泰普VS戈兹特佩



北京时间周六凌晨,加齐安泰普欢迎Göztepe参加在加里昂体育场举行的土耳其超级联赛第10轮比赛。这个联赛的水平是欧洲的高水平,但仍然不是前6名的水平。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场比联赛平均水平略低的比赛。最重要的是,我的球迷和我在这里又有了一个非常有希望的机会!我们在这个联赛的最后一次下注中赢了7/10。Göztepe被提升(回到)到这个级别——他们本赛季属于这个级别。他们在第一场比赛中打得很好。上赛季,他得了70分!他们的比分差距很大,确切地说是60比20。让我们记住,根据一个著名的和受人尊敬的德国网站,Transfermarkt.com, Göztepe是更大的球队-以相当大的差距。事实上,他们的球员的总市值估计为36。百万欧元。加济安泰普队的价值是2200万欧元,这有点太低了。由于里脊受伤,东道主将失去斯蒂芬。Götztepe将会失去丹尼斯,卡纳茨库斯,三浩和索雷特。有了预期的阵容,考虑到主场优势,我预计会有一场非常平衡的比赛——50/50的比赛,没有最受欢迎的球队。博彩公司提供的主场胜率只有2.25左右,所以我们将采取Göztepe +0.5个进球的障碍。


加济安泰普最近九场比赛只赢了一场!在上一场比赛中,他们在主场3-1击败了科尼亚斯波尔,成为博彩市场上的热门球队。然而,最后的分数是误导!两队的预期进球(xG)均为1.22。在此之前,加济安泰普在客场从开塞利斯波尔拿到一分(2-2)。然而,东道主的控球率为59%,射门次数(14-8次)、射正和射偏次数都更多。他们在xG中也产生了更多。在第8轮比赛中,他们在主场1-1战平贝西克塔斯,从贝西克塔斯那里拿到了一分。客队尽管没有达到最佳状态,但在xG上却产生了更多。Göztepe赢了最近6场比赛中的4场。在上一场比赛中,他们表现不错,在主场2-1击败了特拉布宗斯波尔。Göztepe的进球次数、射正次数(7-4)和射偏次数更多。xG值为2.66 ~ 1.67。在此之前,他们不幸在客场0-1输给了埃乌普斯波尔。实际上,访问者在xG(准确地说是1.34-0.98)中生成的数据更多。Göztepe目前排名第六,赛季开始的表现甚至比我在季前赛的深入分析中预期的还要好!博彩公司应该停止低估他们。事实上,他们已经拿到了16分,并且有很大的分差。另一方面,东道主一直在挣扎——博彩公司对此反应不够强烈……他们确实有一些改进的潜力,但我相信这需要时间。加济安泰普现在似乎信心很低。他们目前在这个联赛中排名第15位,共有19家俱乐部。



好运!

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