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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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Haka can't be under-estimated 哈卡VS拉赫蒂

2021-06-16

比赛分析

芬超

已完赛

星期二2021-06-15 23:30

解读理由

哈卡传统上是一支非常出色的主队。 Valkeakoski是芬兰传统的足球小镇,球迷人数有限。即使在困难时期,他们的粉丝也热情地支持他们自己。事实上,尽管哈卡在最近的一场比赛中以 1-2 输掉了比赛,但在主场对阵强大的赫尔辛基 HJK 的比赛中,他们又打了一场精彩的比赛。 HJK 确实控制了他们的比赛,但是哈卡可以为他们向 HJK 提供的挑战感到自豪,HJK 到目前为止在 Veikkausliiga 赢得了一场比赛。他们有时甚至能够控制球。在那场比赛之前,拉赫蒂在客场比赛中以 2-1 击败了 KUPS。 Kups 是 Veikkausliiga 中第二好的球队。 Kups 肯定是更好的球队,但哈卡再次没有被统治并且有效地利用了他们的机会。就本场比赛的可用球员而言,哈卡队的情况相当不错。 Mika Hilander、Aleksandar Vucenovic 和 Ndukaku Alison 回来了,只有两个人失踪了。前托特纳姆热刺球员泰姆·泰尼奥(Teemu Tainio)是一位崭露头角的教练,哈卡的气氛非常好!

拉赫蒂是这里的强队,但仍然不是 Veikkausliiga 的前四名,也不比哈卡强多少。他们在最近的比赛中以 3-1 击败了伊尔维斯,但我想说他们在预期进球方面有点幸运。在那场比赛中,伊尔维斯的整体表现稍好一些。在此之前,他们以 3-0 击败了可怜的 IFK Mariehamn。就预期进球而言,拉赫蒂本赛季总体上有点幸运,我将他们评为联盟第 7 佳球队,而且他们肯定被博彩市场高估了。哈卡在我的额定功率中排名第九。然而,团队之间的质量差异非常小,除了强大的 HJK 和糟糕的 AC Oulu。主场优势在 Veikkausliiga 并不是特别大,但它仍然存在,今天的比赛几乎是掷硬币(50-50%)。我们追求的是哈卡胜出或平局。

Haka vs Lahti

Haka are traditionally a very good home team. There will be a limited number of fans in Valkeakoski which is a traditional small football town in Finland. Their fans support their own with enthusiasm even in tougher times. Indeed, Haka played another good match at home versus mighty HJK from Helsinki in their most recent match despite losing 1-2. HJK did control they match but Haka can be proud of the challenge they offered to HJK who have won all but one match so far in Veikkausliiga. They were even able to control the ball at times. Before that match Lahti stunned KUPS in an away match winning 2-1. Kups are the second best team in Veikkausliiga. Kups were the better team for sure but again Haka were not dominated and used their chances effectively. Haka have pretty good situation in terms of players available for this match. Mika Hilander, Aleksandar Vucenovic and Ndukaku Alison are back and only two guys are missing. Teemu Tainio, a former Tottenham player, is a up and coming coach and the atmosphere in Haka is excellent!

Lahti are the stronger team here but still not top4 in Veikkausliiga and not considerably better than Haka. They beat Ilves in their latest match 3-1 but I would say they were a bit lucky in terms of expected goals. Ilves was slightly better in that match overall. Before that they beat poor IFK Mariehamn 3-0. Lahti have been a little lucky overall this season in terms of expected goals and I rate them as 7th best team in the league and they are certainly over-valued by the betting market. Haka are on ninth place in my power ratings. However, the differences in quality between teams, expect for mighty HJK and poor AC Oulu, are pretty small. Home advantage is not particularly big in Veikkausliiga but it is still there and the match is almost a coin toss (50-50%) today. We go for value which is on Haka or draw.

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